RebKell's Junkie Boards

undersized_post · Posted: 03/19/21 4:46 pm ::: Upset Predictions

I think it would be a fun game to predict, for each "higher" seed, which team with that seed is most likely to be upset by a lower seed? Or to put it the other way around, which team of each "lower" seed do you see as most likely to pull off the upset?

If no one else bites, I'll post my thoughts a bit later.

Phil · Posted: 03/19/21 4:51 pm :::

I like Marquette as a possible upset against Virginia Tech.

I know I won't get any points for a bold selections, but I like the thread idea, and will look for other options.

myrtle · Posted: 03/19/21 4:53 pm :::

1. NCState
2. Maryland
3. Georgia
4. WVU
5. Missouri St
6. Michigan
7. Alabama
8. South Florida

Phil · Posted: 03/19/21 5:03 pm :::

I suspect some will suggest Oregon. The knock on Oregon is they haven't beaten a ranked opponent. Technically true. They have a win against Oregon State probably ought to be ranked, but they aren't and you can arguably dismiss in-state rivalries as not necessarily proving who is better overall. However, while I haven't beaten anybody who have they lost to? Losses to Stanford, Arizona, UCLA and Oregon State. Their worst loss is to a team ranked number 17 by Massey. Not even Stanford can claim a better "worst loss".

I get that Oregon isn't quite the team they were very recently and miss Ionescu a lot, but does South Dakota have the horses to beat them? I confess I haven't seen South Dakota play, so I don't know but I'm not quite ready to pull the trigger.

Phil · Posted: 03/19/21 5:13 pm :::

I could see Oregon knocking off Georgia. I like Georgia's chances, especially if Stati can avoid mental mistakes.

pilight · Posted: 03/19/21 5:16 pm :::

1 South Carolina Cool

2 Louisville
3 Tennessee
4 West Virginia
5 Georgia Tech
6 Texas
7 Virginia Tech
8 Syracuse

_________________
I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home

Phil · Posted: 03/19/21 5:31 pm :::

Please help me understand your selection of Texas. Are you really suggesting that Bradley has a chance against Texas? I confess I know almost nothing about Bradley, but I'm trying to wrap my heads around the thought that they could beat someone like Texas.

pilight · Posted: 03/19/21 5:37 pm :::

myrtle · Posted: 03/19/21 5:42 pm :::

Howee · Posted: 03/19/21 5:55 pm :::

PUmatty · Posted: 03/19/21 6:22 pm :::

1. S Carolina
2. Louisville
3. Arizona
4. W Virginia
5. Georgia Tech
6. Rutgers
7. Iowa State
8. S Florida

Phil · Posted: 03/19/21 9:17 pm :::

Phil · Posted: 03/19/21 9:17 pm :::

undersized_post · Posted: 03/19/21 10:09 pm :::

My mostly uneducated and wild hunches as to the most likely 1st round upsets:

16. Mercer over SC. Mercer had 2-seed Iowa on the ropes two years ago... With 24 turnovers that game, Iowa quite frankly didn't deserve to win.
15. Marist over Louisville. Louisville is clearly the weakest of the 2's I think.
14. Stony Brook. AZ is ride or die with Aari... if she has a bad day anything can happen.
13. Lehigh. Just have not had a good impression of WV this season.
12. Central Michigan. They took down 3-seed Ohio State three seasons ago, and guards Micaela Kelly and Molly Davis can go OFF if not defended well. Unfortunately my Iowa Hawks are prone to not defending well Embarassed

11. FGCU. Kierstan Bell, enough said.
10. Michigan State. They have momentum from the Big Ten tournament. Shout out to Marquette as well.
9. Washington State. They've had incredibly good games and incredibly bad games this year so you can't count them out.

2nd round ideas...
Rutgers over Arizona
Northwestern over Louisville
Oregon State over SC
Oregon over Georgia
FGCU or Michigan over Tennessee

GlennMacGrady · Posted: 03/20/21 2:04 pm :::

I think all the #1 teams could be upset before the Final Four. That would make things interesting. As a wild guess ranking of this possibility:

1. N.C. State
2. S. Carolina
3. UConn
4. Stanford

_________________
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Stormeo · Posted: 03/21/21 12:06 am :::

This is the first bracket that I've cared enough to fill out in... a while. Here are the matchups where I picked the lower seed winning:

First Round:
11 South Dakota over 6 Oregon
10 Marquette over 7 Virginia Tech
9 Washington State over 8 Florida State

Second Round:
8 Oregon State over 1 South Carolina
5 Georgia Tech over 4 West Virginia
5 Gonzaga over 4 Indiana
6 Rutgers over 3 Arizona

Sweet Sixteen:
8 Oregon State over 5 Georgia Tech

Elite Eight:
2 Louisville over 1 Stanford

My Final Four matchups are 2 Louisville vs. 2 Maryland and 1 UConn vs. 1 NC State. Championship between Maryland & UConn...
...and I'm picking Maryland.

SDHoops · Posted: 03/21/21 12:57 am :::

Everybody loves an underdog, but for this year I'd love to see the top overall seeds Stanford and UConn meet in the ship. Tara with the win..

mzonefan · Posted: 03/21/21 8:17 am :::

I do not want to upset anyone, but please do not put my team in your upset predictions as it’s very upsetting to me. Razz

pilight · Posted: 03/22/21 9:11 am :::

Last time a tournament had an all chalk day in the first round was 2010. The other first round day featured four upsets, all by double digit seeds, including loss by #6 seed Texas.

_________________
I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home

undersized_post · Posted: 03/22/21 9:14 am :::

purduefanatic · Posted: 03/22/21 2:59 pm :::

Hard to upset when the refs suck...looking at you refs of the Wright State vs Arkansas game. That intentional foul call was absolutely ridiculous. Flopping is for soccer. I don't care for Wright State at all, but they kinda got hosed in the 4th quarter. I will be shocked if they can hold on to win this game.

* Edit - They held on even after a bogus 10 second call as well. So glad Arkansas lost.

summertime blues · Posted: 03/22/21 3:54 pm :::

purduefanatic · Posted: 03/22/21 5:00 pm :::

Was Gonzaga really a 5 seed? I know they are good and this is the only time I have seen them play this year, but I was pretty underwhelmed.

pilight · Posted: 03/22/21 5:03 pm :::

purduefanatic · Posted: 03/22/21 5:23 pm :::

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