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pilight



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PostPosted: 02/27/21 10:09 am    ::: Fun Brackets Reply Reply with quote

Every year since 2004 I've run a bracket competition among ratings systems. Our entries this year...

Real Time RPI

http://realtimerpi.com/ncaab/college_Women_basketball_power_rankings.html

Massey

https://www.masseyratings.com/cbw/ncaa-d1/ratings

Sonny Moore

http://www.sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

OMNI

http://omnirankings.com/wcb/Macro/Team%20Ratings.htm

College Sports Madness

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/womens-basketball/top-25-rankings

D-I Sports Net

https://d1sportsnet.com/womens-basketball/rankings/d1wpoll.php

LRMC

https://www2.isye.gatech.edu/~jsokol/lrmcW/

Her Hoop Stats

https://herhoopstats.com/stats/leaderboard/team/hhs_net_rtg/2021/ncaa-d1-natl/

Natstat.com

https://natstat.com/wbb/tcr

AMSTS

https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/

plus NET, RPI, and the polls

Historical winners

2004 Massey
2005 Sagarin
2006 Sagarin (2)
2007 Massey (2)
2008 RPI
2009 Massey (3)
2010 AP & ESPN polls
2011 Moore
2012 Massey (4)
2013 Reid
2014 Sagarin (3)
2015 Sagarin (4)
2016 Sagarin (5) and AP Poll (2)
2017 Hero Sports
2018 Real Time RPI
2019 Donchess

We lost Donchess, Hero Sports, and TalismanRed this year. We added AMSTS. As always, I am taking suggestions for new entries.



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GlennMacGrady



Joined: 03 Jan 2005
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PostPosted: 02/27/21 12:01 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Whatever happened to Sagarin?
pilight



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PostPosted: 02/27/21 12:06 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

GlennMacGrady wrote:
Whatever happened to Sagarin?


He quit doing women's ratings



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 02/28/21 8:33 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I would add the Warren Nolan ELO chess ratings. These are similar to the Sagarin ELO ratings and I believe are overall more balanced than any other rating.


pilight



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PostPosted: 03/16/21 10:11 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Normally the ratings systems are pretty chalky. This year is no exception. 20 of the 32 first round matches were unanimously chosen for the higher seed.

What upsets do the systems predict? Out of the 14 systems...

Florida State and Lehigh were each picked once

BYU and South Dakota were each picked twice

Central Florida, FGCU, Michigan State, and Washington state were each picked three times

North Carolina was picked five times

Marquette and South Dakota State were each picked eight times

Stephen F Austin was picked nine times


There's also usually a general agreement on which team will win. This year eight picked UConn, four picked Stanford, and two picked South Carolina



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GlennMacGrady



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PostPosted: 03/17/21 12:50 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The NatStat team context ratings are ridiculous right now. The ELO ratings are much more rational. But maybe all ELO ratings are the same or similar. Don't know.

How did NatStat TCR fare the last time?
pilight



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PostPosted: 03/21/21 10:58 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

After an all chalk day one...

Massey, OMNI, Moore, Her Hoop Stats, and NET are at 150. Moore, HHS, and NET are down a S16.

College Sports Madness, LRMC, and NatStat are at 140

D-I Sports Net and the Polls are at 130

RPI and Real Time RPI are at 120 and both down a S16

AMSTS is at 110



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pilight



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PostPosted: 03/22/21 11:27 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Massey, Moore, Her Hoop Stats, and NET are at 280. Massey is down one S16. Moore is down two S16s. NET is down three S16s. HHS is down four S16s and an E8.

OMNI and NatStat are at 270 and each down one S16.

LRMC and the AP Poll are at 260 and each down one S16.

College Sports Madness is at 250 and down one S16.

D-I Sports Net, Real Time RPI, RPI, and the Coaches Poll are at 240. D-I Sports Net and the Coaches are down one S16. RPI and Real Time are down two S16s.

AMSTS is at 230 and is S16 intact!



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PostPosted: 03/23/21 10:13 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Massey and Moore lead at 400. Each had Arkansas in the S16.

OMNI and NatStat are at 390. Each had Arkansas in the S16

LRMC, Her Hoop Stats, and NET are at 380. LRMC had Arkansas in the S16. NET had Arkansas and Rutgers in the S16. HHS had Arkansas in the S16 and Rutgers in the E8.

College Sports Madness is at 370. They had Arkansas in the S16.

D-I Sports Net and the Polls are at 360. Each had Arkansas in the S16.

RPI and Real Time RPI are at 340. Each had Gonzaga in the S16.

AMSTS is at 330. They have all eight of their choices alive for tomorrow.



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PostPosted: 03/24/21 11:03 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Massey leads at 520

OMNI and NatStat are at 510. NatStat had UCLA in the E8.

LRMC and Moore are at 500

NET is at 480

College Sports Madness is at 470

D-I Sports Net and the Polls are at 460

AMSTS is at 450

Her Hoop Stats, RPI, and Real Time RPI are at 440. HHS had Rutgers in the E8.



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PostPosted: 03/27/21 9:26 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

LRMC goes 4/4 to take the lead at 660

OMNI got 3/4 to take second at 630. They had NC State in the F4.

Massey is at 600. They had NC State in the F4.

NatStat is at 590. They had NC State in the F4.

Moore is at 580. They had NC State in the F4.

NET is at 560. They had NC State in the F4.

College Sports Madness is at 550. They had Texas A&M in the F4.

D-I Sports Net and the Polls ae at 540. All three had NC State in the F4.

AMSTS is at 530. They had Texas A&M in the F4.

Her Hoop Stats, RPI, and Real Time RPI are at 520. HHS had NC State in the F4. RPI and Real Time had Texas A&M in the finals.



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PostPosted: 03/28/21 10:23 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

LRMC is at 780. They had Maryland in the F4.

OMNI and NatStat are at 710. OMNI had Maryland in the F4.

Moore is at 700. They had Maryland in the F4.

Massey and NET are at 680. Massey had Maryland in the F4.

D-I Sports Net and the Polls are at 660

AMSTS is at 650

Her Hoop Stats and RPI are at 640

Real Time RPI is at 600



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PostPosted: 03/29/21 10:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

LRMC is at 860

OMNI and NatStat are at 790

Moore is at 780

Massey and NET are at 760

D-I Sports Net and the Polls are at 740

AMSTS is at 730

Her Hoop Stats and RPI are at 720

Real Time RPI is at 600



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PostPosted: 03/30/21 10:09 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

NatStat leads at 950

LRMC has 940

NET has 920

College Sports Madness has 910

D-I Sports Net and the Polls are at 900

AMSTS is at 890

Her Hoop Stats is at 880

OMNI is at 870

Moore is at 860

Massey is at 840

RPI is at 800

Real Time RPI is at 680



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PostPosted: 04/02/21 10:51 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

NatStat is at 1110

LRMC is at 1100

NET is at 1080

College Sports Madness is at 1070

D-I Sports Net and the Polls are at 1060

Her Hoop Stats is at 1040

OMNI is at 1030

Moore is at 1020

Massey is at 1000

AMSTS is at 890

RPI is at 800

Real Time RPI is at 680



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PostPosted: 04/04/21 7:22 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

LRMC wins at 1420!

NET is at 1400

OMNI is at 1350

Massey is at 1320

NatStat is at 1110

College Sports Madness is at 1070

D-I Sports Net and the Polls are at 1060

Her Hoop Stats is at 1040

Moore is at 1020

AMSTS is at 890

RPI is at 800

Real Time RPI is at 680



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