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ClayK



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PostPosted: 06/08/18 4:39 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

You pay more attention than I do, but I like Dallas giving six.



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/08/18 5:34 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

ClayK wrote:
You pay more attention than I do, but I like Dallas giving six.



I agree, but Dallas has gotten disinterested in games and allowed lesser teams to come back. I certainly wouldn't take the Fever, but I need to see more from the Wings against inferior competition to see if they have a killer instinct.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/09/18 9:53 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 9

Connecticut 4 Minnesota 166

The Sun return home after a 4 game road trip. After winning their first 5 games they lost at Atlanta and escaped a second loss with a 4 point play in the final second against New York. Meanwhile the Lynx broke a four game losing streak against Washington in their last game. Perhaps Maya Moore's return to Connecticut will get her going again, but she is suffering through her worst season as a pro so far. Her scoring and rebounding aren't too far off, but her assists and steals are at career lows while her turnovers are at a career high. I like the Sun and I also like the under.

Yesterday the Sky hung in for 32 minutes against the Mercury, trailing by only 7. But over the next 7 minutes they were outscored 20-5 to send me to defeat. That moves my season record to 19-12-1.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/09/18 3:48 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Nice result today as both Connecticut and under came in. That puts my record at 21-12-1. Tomorrow there should be some big lines. Phoenix. Los Angeles and New York should all be double-digit favorites and Seattle will be about 7.5 over Atlanta.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/10/18 12:13 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 10

New York 9 Indiana 158
Los Angeles 13 Chicago 163.5
Phoenix 12.5 Las Vegas 167.5
Seattle 7.5 Atlanta 166.5

New York is 2-4, Indiana is 0-7. The two teams played an overtime game in Indiana last weekend. I was looking to bet the over but the line has been adjusted up 2.5 points from their last game, even though the game was under in regulation. Despite being winless the Fever have only lost 2 games by double digits and the Liberty have not won a game by more than 6, but I can't quite get myself to trust the Fever. Pass

Los Angeles is coming off an abyssmal game vs Seattle. They scored only 63 points and lost by 25 at home. I look for a much better effort today. I won't lay the 13, but I like the over.

Phoenix has won 4 in a row after a 3 game losing streak. Briann January has settled in to her position with the Mercury and Griner has gone 50-76 from the floor over her last 5 games. Las Vegas will need to slow down Griner and I don't think they can. The early line yesterday was 15 and the total was 171. The current line looks much more reasonable. I will still take the under but I can't play a side at this line.

Seattle is coming off a thrashing of LA. Stewart, Loyd and Howard are all playing better than ever, and Sue Bird is still running the team well. Seattle is the highest scoring team this season (173) while Atlanta is the lowest (157). I think the home team can control the pace so I will take the over.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/10/18 2:06 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
June 10

New York 9 Indiana 158
Los Angeles 13 Chicago 163.5
Phoenix 12.5 Las Vegas 167.5
Seattle 7.5 Atlanta 166


All 4 overs.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/10/18 2:25 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Midway thru period 1 of game 1, i concede. Smile



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/10/18 3:42 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Don't give up on the Liberty. All you need is an overtime.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/10/18 8:17 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
Midway thru period 1 of game 1, i concede. Smile


Yes!! Laughing

0-4

3-10-1

Starting cold just like last yr. I hope the same rally follows.



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Fighting Artichoke



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PostPosted: 06/11/18 1:04 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
Midway thru period 1 of game 1, i concede. Smile


Yes!! Laughing

0-4

3-10-1

Starting cold just like last yr. I hope the same rally follows.

This slow start makes up for your hot start in the college season. Of course you remained hot there after the blistering start.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/12/18 9:57 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Fighting Artichoke wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
Midway thru period 1 of game 1, i concede. Smile


Yes!! Laughing

0-4

3-10-1

Starting cold just like last yr. I hope the same rally follows.

This slow start makes up for your hot start in the college season. Of course you remained hot there after the blistering start.



I can recall nothing from WCB last year. Wink



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/12/18 1:44 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 12

Indiana 3 Las Vegas 160.5
Dallas 2.5 Phoenix 169.5
Seattle 10.5 Chicago 169
Los Angeles 8 Atlanta 150.5


Indiana and Las Vegas are playing for worst team in the league. Las Vegas has already won once and I believe Indiana will be able to tie them at one tonight. Look for a showcase of the top 2 draft picks, A'ja Wilson and Kelsey Mitchell. It may be a third rookie that decides this game however, as Stephanie Mavunga has played well in spurts, and I hope she will choose tonight to play well against Wilson. Fever -3.

Dallas lost to Phoenix on opening night. Now they get the Mercury at home and I believe they can get some payback. Cambage-Griner II goes to the Aussie. Dallas -2.5

Seattle beat Chicago 95-91 a few weeks ago and now they play again in Seattle, The Storm had a huge win vs LA and followed it with a pitiful loss to Atlanta. They should bounce back but I don't trust them enough to lay double digits. Pass.

Los Angeles allowed only 59 points against Chicago Sunday, the first team to be held under 60 this season. The same day Atlanta beat Seattle 67-64, the first team to win a game without scoring 70 points. (Las Vegas and Phoenix also scored less than 140 total points, so the three lowest scoring games of the season were all played on the same day.) I look for LA and Atlanta to return to scoring so I'll take this game over the very low total.


Sunday I was 1-2 as I didn't see the scoring drought coming. That leaves me at 22-14-1 for the season.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/12/18 3:05 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
June 12 Los Angeles allowed only 59 points against Chicago Sunday, the first team to be held under 60 this season. The same day Atlanta beat Seattle 67-64, the first team to win a game without scoring 70 points. (Las Vegas and Phoenix also scored less than 140 total points, so the three lowest scoring games of the season were all played on the same day.)


There's a direct link between that fact and my taking all 4 Overs Sunday.

On to tonight's action:

2 shit teams sparring, w/ the home team desperate for win #1 and giving 3. Anything can happen. I'll pass.

It's Kong vs Godzilla in Big D. Godzilla for the win, -2.5.

Ignoring the 3rd degree burns I suffered Sunday, I'll go Over in Seattle, 169, and LA, 150.5



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/13/18 9:51 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 13

Connecticut 10 Washington 170
New York 10 Las Vegas 161.5

I am off to Seattle for the Storm game on Friday so I will pass on today's games. Yesterday Indiana battled back to give me hope with an overtime but then they collapsed. Dallas continues to not hold leads. And LA and Atlanta scored 45 points in the first quarter but then put up three 31point quarters. And that is how you go 0-3, which makes me 21-17-1 for the season.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/13/18 10:43 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

You know things are bad when a 1-2 night is cause for celebration. That puts the record at 4-12-1. Putrid futility.


[June] 13

Connecticut 10 Washington 170
New York 10 Las Vegas 161.5

It's desperation time. Both favorites and both Overs.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/13/18 8:02 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

1-3, 5-15-1.

how low
can i
go?



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/14/18 2:37 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
1-3, 5-15-1.

how low
can i
go?


You can’t get desperate. Maybe you should take a day off


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/14/18 2:46 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 14

Atlanta 9.5 Indiana 159.5

I may not have lost a wager yesterday but I certainly lost a bet to a big rock which blew out a tire as I was driving up to Seattle. As a result I only made it as far as Eugene. I will take the under in tonight’s game.
..


Randy



Joined: 08 Oct 2011
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PostPosted: 06/14/18 6:38 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
June 14

Atlanta 9.5 Indiana 159.5

I may not have lost a wager yesterday but I certainly lost a bet to a big rock which blew out a tire as I was driving up to Seattle. As a result I only made it as far as Eugene. I will take the under in tonight’s game.
..


Just FYI - its a morning game 11:30 start time.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/14/18 12:12 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
1-3, 5-15-1.

how low
can i
go?


You can’t get desperate. Maybe you should take a day off


Except I liked the under in today's Fever-Dream game but forgot it was a g.d. morning game. Laughing



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/15/18 12:33 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 15

Los Angeles 3.5 @Washington 160.5
Dallas 9 Las Vegas 170
Connecticut 1.5 @Seattle 173

Washington continues to be the best surprise of this young season. Los Angeles has traditionally been a week Road team although this year they have been playing better. I will take the Mystics plus the points.

Dallas has been unable to close out victories so even though I would like to lay the points I can’t trust them. The total also seems high but I will pass on the game.

I like Seattle at home, particularly since Connecticut has been struggling of late and is traveling across country for the game. I’ll take the Storm plus the points and hope to enjoy a home victory in person.
I’m


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/15/18 1:10 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 15

Los Angeles 3.5 @Washington 160.5
Dallas 9 Las Vegas 170
Connecticut 1.5 @Seattle 173

Since May 24th, no LA game has totaled more than 152. I'll go Under.

Can Cambage stay on the floor? Will Wilson? This may be a single-digit margin either way. LV +9.

The Storm D might be exactly what the Sun needs. Possible 200-pt affair here. Taking the Over.



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pilight



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PostPosted: 06/15/18 1:25 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
Can Cambage stay on the floor? Will Wilson? This may be a single-digit margin either way. LV +9.


I'm not an expert, but I do know you should never bet a road team based on a number. If you don't think they can go in there and win the game, don't bet them.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/16/18 7:12 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
June 15

Los Angeles 3.5 @Washington 160.5
Dallas 9 Las Vegas 170
Connecticut 1.5 @Seattle 173

Since May 24th, no LA game has totaled more than 152. I'll go Under.

Can Cambage stay on the floor? Will Wilson? This may be a single-digit margin either way. LV +9.

The Storm D might be exactly what the Sun needs. Possible 200-pt affair here. Taking the Over.



Naturally, LA found its offense.

Naturally, LA missed a wide-open, "meaningless" 3 to seal my fate in Dallas.

At least the expected scoring orgy ocurred in Seattle.

1-2, 6-17-1



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/16/18 12:25 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 16

Atlanta 4.5 at Indiana 151.5
Minnesota 7 New York 155.5
Phoenix 3.5 Connecticut 170

The Atlanta-Indiana total dropped eight points from its last game I’m still not sure that the line has adjusted enough. I will take Indiana and I will also take the under.

I don’t know what to make of Minnesota so I will pass on their game with New York. Connecticut has seemingly stopped playing defense and traveling from Seattle to Phoenix for a game the next night won’t help. I should probably play the over as well but I will just take Phoenix laying the points.

Yesterday I was one and one which brings me to 24-18-1 for the season. The game in Seattle was certainly a no defense affair I was very disappointed with the crowd which looked to be less than 3,000. I haven’t checked the box score to see what they reported.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/16/18 5:30 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 16

Atlanta 4.5 at Indiana 151.5
Minnesota 7 New York 155.5
Phoenix 3.5 Connecticut 170

To help Indy get off the schnide, I'll take Atl

To help CT get back on track, I'll take Pho.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/17/18 11:58 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
June 16

Atlanta 4.5 at Indiana 151.5
Minnesota 7 New York 155.5
Phoenix 3.5 Connecticut 170

To help Indy get off the schnide, I'll take Atl

To help CT get back on track, I'll take Pho.


1-1, 7-18-1



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/17/18 5:07 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 17

Los Angeles 9.5 @Chicago 163.5
Phoenix 6.5 @Las Vegas 163

Sorry for the late post. I will take Chicago under as my only play for the day


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/18/18 10:57 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Saturday I was 2-1 with wins by Indiana and Phoenix. But I am still scratching my head at how the Fever scored 61 points in the second half to send the game over. When I first saw the score I actually thought it might be a misprint (I had seen the halftime score before The Red Sox-Mariners game started.) I'll go back and watch the second half to see what happened.

Yesterday LA and Chicago went under to bring the weekend to 3-1, which puts me at 27-19-1.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/19/18 11:51 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 19

Washington 8.5 Chicago 168
Atlanta 6 New York 150.5
Minnesota 7 Dallas 165
Seattle 11 Las Vegas 168
Los Angeles 13 Indiana 152.5


These are the current lines. Back home, I will be updating some statistics today and I will update the odds and make my picks later.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/19/18 5:51 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 19 (updated odds)

Washington 9.5 Chicago 168.5
Atlanta 6 New York 150.5
Minnesota 8 Dallas 165.5
Seattle 10.5 Las Vegas 168
Los Angeles 12.5 Indiana 153.5

The Mystics and Sky are playing a home-and-home series. Both of these teams have shown a willingness to score against the right opponents. I like the over.

Atlanta just played arguably the worst game by any team this season, losing by 32 to previously winless Indiana. They are also potenially without Tiffany Hayes. The Liberty haven't been too good either. New York is a 6 point favorite even though they haven't won a game by more than 6 all year. I'll take the Dream to bounce back from their embarassing loss.

Minnesota seems to be playing a little better of late. The Lynx beat Dallas by 8 earlier this season, 76-68. I will take the under.

Seattle and LA are both big favorites. I lean toward both big dogs but I can't quite bet them. I will take the LA game over the total because a blowout early could lead to less defense.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/22/18 6:01 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 22

Connecticut 6 @Atlanta 165
Los Angeles 4.5 @Dallas 163
Washington 5.5 @Chicago 167
Phoenix 2.5 Minnesota 163.5
Seattle 11.5 Indiana 165.5
New York 1.5 @Las Vegas 160.5


I like the Sparks and Wings to go under. Dallas with Cambage does not run up and down the court as much as last season and LA has been the best defensive team this year. The Mystics and Sky have been among the higher scoring teams, so despite their under game on Tuesday I will take the over again tonight.


Phoenix has been playing the best of any team lately. This is a big game for the Lynx, but I'll take the Mercury at home. I like Seattle to go over the total, Finally I will take the Liberty to return the favor vs Las Vegas by beating them at home, and I'll even lay the points.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/24/18 1:10 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

June 24

Dallas 2.5 Seattle 171.5
Connecticut 8.5 Indiana 165.5
Los Angeles 10 New York 151.5
Minnesota 6.5 @Las Vegas 163
Phoenix 7 @Chicago 165

Last year I started strong but fell apart after I started traveling. This year I didn't start quite as strong, but once I started traveling (to Seattle last weekend, and now to Las Vegas) I fell off just as badly. In the past week I have gone 1-8 (which drops me to 28-27-1 for the season), and even though there were a few bad beats the truth is that I have completely lost a feel for the league. That said, I will continue to make my selections as if I know what is going on. But I won't be pulling too much green out of my pocket to support my picks.


Seattle's shooting has fallen off since I saw them score triple digits against the Sun. Today they face a Wings squad that has averaged 93 points a game at home. When they played earlier in Dallas the Wings won 94-90. It is a high total but I will take the over anyway.

I have given up trying to figure out the Sun and the Fever. Pass


Los Angeles lost its third game of the season and after the first 2 they turned up the defense in the next game, winning and going under in the next game. The Liberty look like a team that won't make the playoffs. Katie Smith looks like she isn't quite ready to be a head coach. I will take the Sparks and the under.

Las Vegas has scored at least 80 points at home in each of their first 5 games. Minnesota looks like they are righting their ship. I expect to see some scoring this afternoon at the Mandalay Bay so I will take the over. I just hope there is a better crowd than what I saw on TV Friday. It will be close to 110 outside at game time, so being in an air-conditioned arena for the heat of the day seems like the way to go.

Phoenix lost on Friday to end their 8 game winning streak. Chicago looks like a good team to get well against. I can't quite lay 7 on the road, but I do think that the Mercury will tighten up their defense. The Sky are on a 6 game skid and have only scored 80 in one of those games. I will take the under and hope these two teams don't repeat their 96-79 game when they played earlier this year in Phoenix.


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