RebKell's Junkie Boards
Board Junkies Forums
 
Log in Register FAQ Memberlist Search RebKell's Junkie Boards Forum Index

2018 WNBA odds
Goto page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6  Next
 
Post new topic   Reply to topic    RebKell's Junkie Boards Forum Index » WNBA
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/21/18 1:49 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 21

Washington 6 @New York 165
Phoenix 2.5 Minnesota 160.5

Mystics should be able to get back on track after losing their last two. I will take Wash and the under.

I saw an early line of pick'em. Generally I go against the moves, but I like the Mercury. Phoenix has been playing higher scoring games in the past week, playing more up tempo. This may be the adjustment since losing Sancho Lyttle. Phoenix and over.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/21/18 2:02 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Wash -6



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/22/18 7:00 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
Wash -6


1-0, 29-25-1



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/22/18 11:56 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 22

Seattle 2 @Atlanta 163.5
Dallas 4 Connecticut 177
Las Vegas 8 Indiana 165.5
Los Angeles 4 @Chicago 167.5

The Storm have won 8 of 9, the Dream have won 6 in a row. The teams have split with road wins. Seattle is playing its third road game in 5 days, which is just enough for me to take the Dream.

Dallas is playing as well as anyone, even though they lost their last outing. This is a great position to bounce back. I like the Wings.

Las Vegas isn't a top team but they are much better now than they were at the start of the season. Indiana has won three times this season. They followed up their first 2 wins with a 19 and a 27 point loss. I'll take the Aces.

I don't know what to make of LA except to stay away Pass

Friday I lost the LA-Indiana total when the teams couldn't combine for 6 points in the last 2:24. With 21 seconds left Indiana couldn't even hold onto the ball to get fouled and LA couldn't score after the steal. But that is what happens when you are going bad. Yesterday I took the Mercury so seeing a few highly questionable calls go against them early hurt. Bonner got 3 quick fouls and then Diana went off and got ejected - the second technical was bad, but she was so out of control she probably would have gotten a more deserved T in the next few minutes. The Lynx fell apart in the 4th quarter; not quite enough to lose the game, but their 11 points was bad enough to make the game go under. Overall 1-3 for the day which brings me to 56-56-1 for the season.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/22/18 12:43 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 22

Seattle 2 @Atlanta 163.5
Dallas 4 Connecticut 177
Las Vegas 8 Indiana 165.5
Los Angeles 4 @Chicago 167.5

I hate when two hot teams square off- I'd rather them make my life easy by whippin' up on some mediocre talent. Even though I'm looking forward to this game, I'm making no play.

I'm gonna assume Diggins' hatred of all things CT carries the day at the casino. Dallas should bounce back from their shitty performance in Chicago- they have no back-back games excuse today. Meanwhile, the SUN join LA and MINN in being a massive disappointment.

Laimbeer and the Aces are improving while Indy is simply putrid. Not sure if LV will get a double-digit win here, but I'll take my chances.

Who knows what to expect from LA? Like I've said, I hate them, hate watching them. In fact, generally I don't bother. Chicago could win this game outright, but I'm not banking on it.

The plays:

Dallas -4
LV -8



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/22/18 12:54 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:

I'm gonna assume Diggins' hatred of all things CT carries the day at the casino.



The game is actually in Dallas.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/23/18 6:05 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:

I'm gonna assume Diggins' hatred of all things CT carries the day at the casino.



The game is actually in Dallas.


Ha. Figures. Makes my call even more wrong. Laughing



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/23/18 6:07 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
July 22

Seattle 2 @Atlanta 163.5
Dallas 4 Connecticut 177
Las Vegas 8 Indiana 165.5
Los Angeles 4 @Chicago 167.5

The plays:

Dallas -4
LV -8


1-1, 30-26-1



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/24/18 1:25 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 24

Connecticut 4.5 Washington 171
Seattle 11 @Indiana 165.5
Minnesota 12 New York 155
Los Angeles 4 Atlanta 155.5

Connecticut went 7-1 to start the season but is only 6-11 since. Washington has been more consistent, winning 5 of its first 8 and second 8 before going 4-4 in its last 8. I like the Mystics plus the points, and I also like the under.

Seattle has been on the road for a week. This is their 4th game with one rest day in between each. I don't think that the Storm will slip up but 11 seems too much to lay on the road. On the other hand, Indiana has not been able to win or even cover at home since June 16. Pass

Minnesota no longer takes these games for granted so I can't count on the Lynx sleepwalking their way to a single-digit victory. Pass

Atlanta is the hottest team in the league. LA has lost its last 4 at home. I'm not thrilled about it but I'll take the Dream to keep on their roll.

Sunday I was 2-1 so I am now an unimpressive 58-57-1.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/24/18 5:16 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 24

Connecticut 4.5 Washington 171
Seattle 11 @Indiana 165.5
Minnesota 12 New York 155
Los Angeles 4 Atlanta 155.5

The Sun crushed Wash in their 1st meeting, but the Mystics won the next two. CT is coming off a surprising win in Dallas (10-20 3s will do that) while Wash won at NY Sat, after losing in Dallas 5 days ago. What does it all mean? Idk, but I'll hope CT shoots 5-20 from tonight. 171 Under

Storm's 4 games in 7 days road trip ends tonight at Indiana. Big spread, but after playing Atlanta Sunday, tonight's game should be a dream. Rolling Eyes Sea-11

Minn gives me no confidence either way. Punt.

Atlanta is the hot team; Sparks ain't what they used to be. The obvious play is Atlanta getting points, but again I'll punt here.

The plays:

171 Under
Seattle -11



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/25/18 10:00 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
July 24

Connecticut 4.5 Washington 171
Seattle 11 @Indiana 165.5
Minnesota 12 New York 155
Los Angeles 4 Atlanta 155.5

The plays:

171 Under
Seattle -11


2-0, 32-26-1 [27-10]



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/25/18 1:25 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 25

Phoenix 5 Chicago 170.5

I know the uniforms will say Phoenix (actually Casino Arizona Talking Stick and Verizon) but this will be a very different team today. Briann January and Yvonne Turner are the only two guards available with Taurasi suspended and Mitchell out for personal reasons. Brittney Griner has back spasms but will presumably be playing. DeWanna Bonner is healthy and available. Camille Little, Stephanie Talbot, Angel Robinson and Marie Gulich round out the lineup. I know that the Sky aren't that good and this seems like a tough spot schedule-wise. A day game on a one game road trip before the All-Star break. But I will gladly take the Sky getting points against a decimated Mercury squad. I also have to believe that Phoenix will try to slow this game down and stay out of foul trouble so I will also take the under.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/25/18 2:35 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The Phoenix line has moved to 7.5 which I assume means that Griner is playing and healthy. (I hope it is not something more problematic for the Sky.)


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/25/18 5:05 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The Sky win made me 1-1 today and puts me at 59-58-1 at the break. A few points on today's game. When the line moved up I was able to take the Sky straight up at +240 so the game was quite profitable. But I have to wonder why Brondello with a short bench would start Talbot over Little. When I saw that lineup I knew the total was in big trouble. The Mercury had only 8 players, but that included 3 centers. The minutes tell the story; Bonner (38), Talbot (37), Turner (34) and January (34). Robinson (23) Griner (16) and Gulich (11) shared the post and Little played only 7 minutes after playing 32 vs. the Lynx and averaging nearly 20 per game this season. With such a short bench why go to a small lineup, particularly against a team that wants to run.

Finally, the Flagrant 2 against Griner was horrible. That was in no way a vicious swing of her elbow; it was a player who by virtue of her size had her elbow aligned with Dolson's face. Referees always have trouble officiating big, physical players (just ask Wilt Chamberlain or Shaquille O'Neal), but this was embarrassing. Griner and Cambage are the two most dominant players in the game so it is understandable that they can become frustrated when actions fouls them are rarely called but they get called far more for much less. It looked like resignation rather than disgust from Griner after that play. Pitiful.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/28/18 2:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

All Star Game

Delle Donne 3 Parker 239


They put up a line so I'll make a pick. I'll take team Parker and the under. Parker's team has a little more youth and more players I like. The under is based on the line. Last year they scored 251 and that was the game pace throughout (65 in the first quarter). But with somewhat more balanced teams and the potential for some defense late if the game is close, I'll hope for a 120-117 final. Just no overtime.


Shades



Joined: 10 Jul 2006
Posts: 49187



Back to top
PostPosted: 07/28/18 5:25 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The final was 119-112. That was close.



_________________
Nnekalonians 1:14 - Thou shalt not accept that which is not earned
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/29/18 10:34 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I had to sweat a bit at 115-112 with a minute to go, but no OT meant 2-0 so I am now 61-58-1.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/31/18 1:07 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 31

Atlanta 4 Washington 162
Dallas 11 Chicago 184.5
Seattle 3 @Phoenix 167

I should have gotten up earlier. Some big moves in today's games this morning and I would prefer betting against the opening line. Atlanta opened as a 3 point favorite. The Dream are playing better than anyone right now, so even at 4 I will take them.

The Wings opened at 10 with a total of 181. I like Dallas and will lay the 11. These two teams have played twice this month and the home team has won both games, 108-85 and 114-99. Now the total is the highest of the season (ASG doesn't count), and while I was looking to take the over, like the rent in NYC, the total is just too damn high.

Seattle opened as a 1.5 point favorite. I actually think that is the right line, but the extra 1.5 is not enough for me to play the Mercury. If Dev Peters is in shape and can be assimilated I think she could be a factor the rest of the season so I will be watching tonight.

A word of caution. Teams can sometimes get reset after a break. Shooting may be a little off. So even though I have two plays that I would like quite a bit otherwise, there isn't that much conviction behind them.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 07/31/18 4:24 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

July 31

Atlanta 4 Washington 162
Dallas 11 Chicago 184.5
Seattle 3 @Phoenix 167

Teams can reset, as you say, and hot teams can lose their momentum. So can hot (27-10) bettors, unfortunately. Hoping this isn't the case for the Dream and I.

Dallas looks like the proper play here, but for some reason the 11 scares me. Not sure why. Pass. Or not. Hmmm. Yeah, pass.

I want to take PHO here, based on how DT and BG finished before the ASG break. A little extra motivation maybe. Also, the Storm have had a few days of hearing how great they are and might be a little less than ready.


The plays:

Atl -4
Pho +3



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/01/18 8:40 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
July 31

Atlanta 4 Washington 162
Dallas 11 Chicago 184.5
Seattle 3 @Phoenix 167

Teams can reset, as you say, and hot teams can lose their momentum. So can hot (27-10) bettors, unfortunately. Hoping this isn't the case for the Dream and I.

Dallas looks like the proper play here, but for some reason the 11 scares me. Not sure why. Pass. Or not. Hmmm. Yeah, pass.

I want to take PHO here, based on how DT and BG finished before the ASG break. A little extra motivation maybe. Also, the Storm have had a few days of hearing how great they are and might be a little less than ready.


The plays:

Atl -4
Pho +3


Alright! Off to another great start. Instead of taking the hot HOME favorite, I should have picked the hot ROAD favorite. Laughing

0-2, 32-28-1 (27-12, 0-2)



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/01/18 2:40 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 1

Connecticut 12 New York 166
Las Vegas 3.5 Phoenix 173.5

Today I will make no plays. This isn't because I went 0-2 last night and dropped my season record to 61-60-1, but rather for the reason I stated in why I wasn't putting much conviction behind them. Teams are resetting for the last 2 1/2 weeks of the season.

I believe that Connecticut is poised to make another push and could be a hot team going into the playoffs. I expect the Liberty to be the worst team the rest of the way. I would put their over/under for wins in August at 2 (out of 9) and I'd be tempted to take the under. But the Liberty have played the Sun twice and both have come down to the final possession. I'll watch today, but I believe this could be a Sun blowout.

Las Vegas is now favored over Phoenix. What a reversal of fortune. Phoenix was a 12 point favorite for their first game and a 6.5 point favorite in their first game in Las Vegas. A 10 point line adjustment in only 6 weeks seems overdone (the total is also 10 points higher), but the Aces have become a competitive team, particularly at home where they have won 4 of their last 5. A win here gets them to .500 and puts them squarely in the playoff hunt. If I had to I would take the Mercury because the adjustment is too much, but for tonight I watch.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/02/18 12:02 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

One thing I love about picking games is that, regardless of thought process or contradictory positions, in the end you land on one side or the other. It is black and white. I went 0-2 Tuesday, then passed today and went 2-0 on the sides that I liked. The thought process was the same both days but today I decided not to call my leans plays. In a bad year that is what happens. No complaints, no regrets.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/02/18 5:15 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 2

Dallas 7 @Indiana 170
Los Angeles 3 Minnesota 152

I like Dallas in this spot. Cambage should be able to have a big day against the front court of Indiana. Diggins being out scares me off the total, but I will lay the points.

At the start of the season this was the game that was supposed to decide the #1 seed in the playoffs. Now it looks more like a game to stay in the race for a double bye. LA has lost its last 5 at home, but with Ogwumike back in the lineup I believe the Sparks can get it together for a big win. I also like the over because of the low total. their first 3 games have been 153, 146 and 155, but both teams have been scoring more of late.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/02/18 5:45 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 2

Dallas 7 @Indiana 170
Los Angeles 3 Minnesota 152

Tonight I guess we'll see how much not having Diggins matters in Indy.

The nightcap is beyond my handicap. No result would surprise me, other than a 200 total point affair in regulation.

The play:

Dallas -7



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/03/18 7:10 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
August 2

Dallas 7 @Indiana 170
Los Angeles 3 Minnesota 152

Tonight I guess we'll see how much not having Diggins matters in Indy.

The nightcap is beyond my handicap. No result would surprise me, other than a 200 total point affair in regulation.

The play:

Dallas -7



Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes

0-1, 32-29-1 (27-13, 0-3)

i need a trip to NH.



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/03/18 5:40 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 3

Washington 8.5 Las Vegas 169.5
Atlanta 8.5 Chicago 170
Seattle 6.5 Minnesota 162

Washington has split with Las Vegas, winning by 5 at home and losing by 12 in Las Vegas, but both of those games were in the first two weeks of the season. This looks like a somewhat difficult trip for the Aces, flying cross country to play a game with only 1 day of rest (their first time this season. But looking at their results after traveling 1000 miles with 0 or 1 day of rest the team has played well (the glory of youth). I expect they can keep this game close so I will take the points.


Atlanta had been the hottest team in the league before they lost on Tuesday. This looks like a good bounce back opportunity. The Sky have won two straight road games over Phoenix and Dallas, but Atlanta is a different type of team. I will take the Dream.

Last night I went 1-2 to fall to .500 on the year. Minnesota looked like an old team that just didn't have it anymore. Cheryl Reeve gave up and rested her starters in the 4th quarter so they would have something left in the tank tonight. I suspect that the Lynx will come out strong tonight and I may even bet them in the first half. But for the full game I have to take the better team. The Storm can take a solid step toward wrapping up a double bye tonight, and I think they will. Storm -6.5


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/03/18 5:44 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:

i need a trip to NH.



Other than Dartmouth I have never found a good reason to go there. I prefer Vermont or Maine. That said, if it helps to get you back on track, go wherever you need to.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/04/18 12:07 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 4

New York 5.5 Indiana 159.5

The two worst teams face off in the worst venue, and Indiana couldn't even fly in the night before for a day game. It has all the drama of a WBB game between Iona and Fordham. The WNBA should invite the top college players so they can gain insight into their future. I'm undecided on the Gaels or the Rams but I will root for a lot of points, because overtime seems appropriate. OVER


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/04/18 2:04 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

New York 5.5 Indiana 159.5

Losers R Us matchup. Fitting that I'm looking for my 1st post-ASG break win somewhere in this fiasco.

Zowie B makes 4 3s, Charles get 22/11, Liberty rolls to a 20-pt win.

The play:

NY -5.5



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/04/18 11:13 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
New York 5.5 Indiana 159.5

Losers R Us matchup. Fitting that I'm looking for my 1st post-ASG break win somewhere in this fiasco.

Zowie B makes 4 3s, Charles get 22/11, Liberty rolls to a 20-pt win.

The play:

NY -5.5


This is becoming eerily like the beginning of the year for me- teams are setting some type of record as my picks are demolished. The Liberty totaled 2 points in the 4th. How is this possible? (i picked them).

0-1, 32-30-1, (27-14, 0-4)



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/05/18 11:43 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 5

Connecticut 9 Las Vegas 171.5
Dallas 2.5 Washington 173.5
Minnesota 6 Atlanta 156
Los Angeles 7.5 Phoenix 161

Presumably Las Vegas has gotten well rested and will actually play this game. Even though Connecticut has righted its ship of late this line seems a little too high. Hopefully the Aces players can be focused today and I believe they will be. If so I don't see a double-digit outcome. LV +9.

Washington won't get stood up today. These two teams are probably the only two that would benefit from Friday's game being ruled a forfeit. Dallas is reeling, having lost its last 4, including 2 losses to Chicago and a loss to Indiana. My understanding is that Diggins will be back for the Wings. This is really a must win for Dallas and I think they will find a way. Dallas -2.5

Minnesota is overrated. I will be looking for spots to bet against them the rest of the season. But this isn't one of them. Atlanta hasn't lost a road game since June, but that game was in Minnesota. Pass

When healthy Los Angeles is one of the top 2 teams in the WNBA, and right now they are healthy. Phoenix has not beaten a playoff team in a month. The problem is that 8 of the Mercury's last 11 losses have been by less than 10 points. LA won their only other game this season by 8. Pass

After going 2-0 Friday I lost the total on yesterday's game by more than 30. That puts me at 63-62-1.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/05/18 2:05 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 5

Connecticut 9 Las Vegas 171.5
Dallas 2.5 Washington 173.5
Minnesota 6 Atlanta 156
Los Angeles 7.5 Phoenix 161

I am adrift at sea, rudderless, unable to pick even my nose, much less the W.

Goddamn stupid all-star game. Evil or Very Mad

The NH North Country (lakes, mountains, wildlife, few humans, no sales tax) beckons.

No Plays.



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/05/18 5:09 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Toliver scores the last 8 so I go 0-2 today and drop below .500. Not good.

It looks like Seattle will be about a 9 point favorite tomorrow morning with a total of 163. No play for now, but I'm not sure I will be up early enough to post an official line.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/06/18 9:31 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 6

Seattle 9.5 @New York 164

New York is the worst team in the league now. What I don't know is whether they might come together for one home game in a real arena. My guess is no. Seattle -9.5


Luuuc



Joined: 10 Feb 2005
Posts: 18753



Back to top
PostPosted: 08/06/18 6:37 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
I am adrift at sea, rudderless, unable to pick even my nose, much less the W.

Goddamn stupid all-star game. Evil or Very Mad

Probably worth a mental note for next season to avoid wagering on the first few games after the all star break, because you never quite know which teams are going to come back sharper from it, and which are going to be more sluggish.
Down here it's the same with the football league. There's a mid-season break, and the week afterwards always throws up a lot of unexpected results.



_________________
Seems rike no one takes me serirousreee
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/07/18 2:21 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 7

Atlanta 8 Las Vegas 166
Seattle 12 @Indiana 165.5
Minnesota 4.5 @Chicago 166
Phoenix 2.5 Washington 170



Atlanta is the hottest team in the WNBA, having won 10 of 11. Less well known, Atlanta's last 8 games have all gone under. Las Vegas has allowed 213 points in their last 3 losses, but that is only because 1 game was a forfeit. A win by Atlanta tonight will all but decide the 8 playoff teams and keep them a game ahead for the second double bye. As bad as the Aces defense has been, and believing that their could be some tension lingering, I will take Atlanta and the over.

Seattle vs Indiana. Best vs worst. (Actually right now I have NY rated below Indiana, but records are records.) The Storm will win, but I am not going to lay 12 points on the road. I expect this to be similar to the New York game yesterday where the Storm can turn it on whenever they want. But I do like the under. Indiana has been playing defense lately, with their last 4 going under. Both previous games between these teams went under, 73-62 in Seattle and 92-72 in Indiana.

Minnesota is no longer a quality team. They have had numerous opportunities to step up against other good teams and have consistently come up short. The Lynx are 4-6 in their last 10, but those wins were over Indiana (twice), New York and Phoenix (where Taurasi picked up 2 technicals in the first half, and the Lynx nearly blew a 15 point lead in the fourth quarter. The Sky was an 8.5 point underdog whem they beat the Lynx earlier this season, Pass.


Phoenix needs a win to stay in the hunt for a bye. Washington can still claim a double bye. The Mercury are only 2-8 in their last 10. These two teams have split the first two games, with the road team winning both. I like the Mystics.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/08/18 1:43 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 8

Los Angeles 9 @New York 155
Connecticut 2.5 @Dallas 173.5

The Liberty are the worst team in the league now. I will not bet on them the rest of the season. The only question is will I bet against them. Today the answer is no. The Sparks are playing the front end of a back-to-back, with a game tomorrow at Atlanta. I'm not convinced the Sparks will put forth a full effort, particularly in the fourth quarter when they already have a comfortable lead.

The Sun-Wings game is all about Diggins. She is listed as questionable, but the line has moved down from 4 to 2.5. Sunday I believed she would play and lost as a result. Not knowing today I will pass for now.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/08/18 2:06 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Accidentally hit submit. I hate not having at least 1 play so I may find inspiration later.

Yesterday I was 3-1 due to a nice run by Atlanta to cover against Las Vegas. That leaves me at 67-65-1. But the prime takeaway is that 4 of the 8 teams that played last night hit the century mark. Defense may be hard to find the rest of the regular season.


Shades



Joined: 10 Jul 2006
Posts: 49187



Back to top
PostPosted: 08/08/18 2:22 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The last score between Dallas and Connecticut was 92-75. That’s with Diggins playing and Stricken going off for a very rare 24 pts. I know scores in general have been very high lately, but the under on the Dallas game is looking somewhat tempting.



_________________
Nnekalonians 1:14 - Thou shalt not accept that which is not earned
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/09/18 12:31 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 9

Washington 1 Seattle 172
Los Angeles 2.5 @Atlanta 154
Minnesota 2 @Las Vegas 165.5

The Mystics have every reason to put forth a strong effort. If Los Angeles beats Atlanta, a win would leave them in a three way tie for the second bye. Seattle need only 2 wins to earn the top seed, but this won't be the day for it. Mystics -1.

That is what I would have said if I had gotten up in time, but alas 8:30 has come and gone.

Atlanta continues to win. I'm sure that LA was looking forward to this came and didn't put forth their best effort yesterday, but having to play down to the final buzzer against the Liberty can't help them tonight. I like Atlanta, even without Angel, and I also like the over.


Las Vegas has completely given up on defense. In their last 3 games they have allowed 109, 109 and 104. Strangely, despite thos 3 losses and the forfeit the Aces are still not out of the playoff race. A win over the Lynx would get them within 1.5 games of the Wings. The Aces also have an easy schedule, including Indiana, New York and Dallas. I haven't like the Lynx for awhile, but I believe that Moore and Fowles will pull things together to dowse the Aces hopes and I also like the over.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/09/18 5:57 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
August 9

Washington 1 Seattle 172
Los Angeles 2.5 @Atlanta 154
Minnesota 2 @Las Vegas 165.5

The Mystics have every reason to put forth a strong effort. If Los Angeles beats Atlanta, a win would leave them in a three way tie for the second bye. Seattle need only 2 wins to earn the top seed, but this won't be the day for it. Mystics -1.

That is what I would have said if I had gotten up in time, but alas 8:30 has come and gone.

Atlanta continues to win. I'm sure that LA was looking forward to this came and didn't put forth their best effort yesterday, but having to play down to the final buzzer against the Liberty can't help them tonight. I like Atlanta, even without Angel, and I also like the over.


Las Vegas has completely given up on defense. In their last 3 games they have allowed 109, 109 and 104. Strangely, despite thos 3 losses and the forfeit the Aces are still not out of the playoff race. A win over the Lynx would get them within 1.5 games of the Wings. The Aces also have an easy schedule, including Indiana, New York and Dallas. I haven't like the Lynx for awhile, but I believe that Moore and Fowles will pull things together to dowse the Aces hopes and I also like the over.




To paraphrase Isla, to Rick...I can't fight it anymore. I can't do it again. Oh, I don't know what's right any longer. You have to think for both of us. For all of us.

The Plays:

Atl +2.5/154 Over
Minn -2.5/165.5 Over



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/09/18 8:12 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

They couldn't even let the Sparks throw up a meaningless 3.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/10/18 11:10 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 10

Connecticut 9.5 @Chicago 177.5
Phoenix 12 Indiana 166.5

Neither one of these games excites me. The Sun have returned to their form of earlier in the season. They beat the Sky 110-72 on June 1 and I wouldn't be surprised to see the same type of game, but this is the first of a home-and-home series. That could work against a blowout. As for the total, 177.5 is almost high enough to tempt me on the under. Almost. Pass

Phoenix has not been the same since the loss of Sancho Lyttle. Griner, Taurasi and Bonner continue to have decent stats but the team as a whole has been bad. The Mercury are 2-9 over the last 11 and haven't beaten a playoff team in over a month. But the Fever isn't a playoff team. This is a game where they should be able to get well. They have beaten Indiana by 18 and 19 this season and I expect another easy win. Phoenix -12.

Yesterday was a frustrating 2-2, winning both sides but losing both totals with ugly 4th quarters. 69-67-1 for the season.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/10/18 7:54 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 10

Connecticut 9.5 @Chicago 177.5
Phoenix 12 Indiana 166.5

"Yesterday was a frustrating 2-2, winning both sides but losing both totals with ugly 4th quarters."

Indeed. Yet, 2-2 is an improvement from 0-4, so thanks for the resuscitation. Wink

34-32-1 [29-16, 2-6]


The Plays:

177.5 Over ...On Allie! on Stricklen! on Jonquel! on Courtney!...
Pho -12



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/11/18 11:43 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 11

Atlanta 6 Dallas 167.5
Las Vegas 10.5 Indiana 167

Atlanta has been the best surprise of the season, They come into this game having won 11 of 12 and are 1 game ahead of Washington. They also hold the tiebreaker over all of their pursuers. Dallas has lost its last 6 and if it weren't for Las Vegas' slump could be playing itself out of the playoffs. This should be easy for the Dream, but coming off their big win over LA and without Angel, I see a letdown looming. All the trends keep me from playing the Wings so I will pass.


Las Vegas looked like they were ready to make a playoff run coming into August, but the Aces haven't won in 4 outings and an "inning" this month. With the Wings collapse and a very favorable schedule they still have a shot, but it is a slim one. Indiana is the perfect opponent, particularly playing a back-to-back after losing at Phoenix last night. I will take the Aces.


Last night Phoenix won easily in my only play to raise my season record to 70-67-1.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/11/18 12:52 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 11

Atlanta 6 Dallas 167.5
Las Vegas 10.5 Indiana 167

Two teams going in opposite directions. After Dallas won at LA on 7/12, their season fell apart. Atlanta beat LA last time out. Will that win kick-start a Dream slumber? Hope not. Atl -6.

Vegas should blow Indy out, but I don't trust them. Did they all sleep well last night?

The Play:
Atl -6

Well, the fresh NH air worked its magic again, giving me a 2-0 night yesterday.

2-0, 36-32-1 [31-16, 4-6]



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/12/18 11:53 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 12

Atlanta 6 @New York 160
Washington 9.5 Dallas 172.5
Connecticut 12.5 Chicago 179
Seattle 1 @Minnesota 162.5
Phoenix PK Los Angeles 162

One week to go. Before I look at today's games let's look at where everyone stands and what they have to play for.

Seattle 23-8
Already has the double bye locked up, and needs any 2 wins or Atlanta losses to get the #1 seed.

Atlanta 21-10
Needs 2 wins to wrap up a double bye, but could fall to fourth if they lose their final 3 road games.

Washington 19-11
Can finish anywhere from second to seventh.

Los Angeles 18-12
Can finish anywhere from second to seventh. Wins today and Tuesday vs. NY would set up a big final weekend on the East Coast at Washington and Connecticut for a first round bye.

Connecticut 17-13
Four home games remaining to capture a first round bye.

Minnesota 17-13
The Lynx weren't supposed to be fighting for a first round bye, but that is where they find themselves. Games against Seattle, Washington and Connecticut in the final week make the path difficult, but if they are a championship team this would be a good time to show it.

Phoenix 17-14
Even with 3 wins the Mercury are probably destined to play in the first round.

Dallas 14-16
Needs any 2 wins or LV losses to make the playoffs. This could be accomplished by beating the Aces in Dallas on Friday, but otherwise their schedule is tough and the Aces' is not.

Las Vegas 13-18
Just get to Dallas with a chance to make the playoffs.

Chicago 11-19
Hanging on to the slimmest of playoff chances

New York 7-22
Indiana 5-26
Eliminated

Now to today's games

Nothing seems to be slowing Atlanta. Now they have to travel for a day game on a back-to-back. If they were playing a team that cared at all this would really be a challenge, but it is the Liberty. I'll take Atlanta.

Dallas also has to travel and they have the extra problem of Cambage maybe missing another game. Dallas played well against Atlanta but couldn't win again. I will take the Mystics.

Connecticut just lost to the Sky, but I can't see that happening again. I like the Sun to win and for the game to go over as they hit triple figures.

Minnesota needs this game while Seattle can lose this game and still wrap up the number 1 seed with wins at home against New York and Dallas. I don't think it matters. The Storm are the better team and this is a way of proving to themselves and everyone else that they are the team to beat going into the playoffs. Seattle.

Phoenix hasn't beaten a playoff team since July 5 and I don't expect that to change here. LA wants to avoid the first round and to do so they need a win today. I think they get it. LA


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/12/18 1:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Atlanta 6 @New York 160
Washington 9.5 Dallas 172.5
Connecticut 12.5 Chicago 179
Seattle 1 @Minnesota 162.5
Phoenix PK Los Angeles 162

Back-back w/ travel is a concern, but I like Atl.

Seattle only needs to beat an over-the-hill gang? Nice. Seattle.

LA is the better team, Pho problem w/ good teams is duly noted above. LA

The plays:

Atl -6
Seattle -1
LA pk

The resurgence continued w/ last night's Atl cover.

1-0, 37-32-1 [32-16, 5-6]



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 10698
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/13/18 2:45 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

2-1 Sunday, now 39-33-1 [34-17, 7-7].



_________________
Silly, stupid white people.
calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3043
Location: Carson City


Back to top
PostPosted: 08/14/18 2:47 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

August 14

Connecticut 8.5 Dallas 177
Minnesota 9.5 Chicago 163.5
Los Angeles 14 New York 154.5

Three games, no clear choices. I don't know how to read the situation with the Wings. Firing the coach in the final week of the season is strange, but when you fight with the boss publicly and things aren't going well for the team it was inevitable. What I really don't know is where the players stand. In the end, this game isn't as important as it may seem because the Wings will play the Aces in their next game. I'll take the Sun even though I was not impressed with them the way they played against the Sky in their last two games.


Chicago is playing their best basketball of the season. Minnesota has long been a team that wasn't interested in winning big, just winning. But as winning has become less certain the Lynx have covered more big spreads. The Lynx can still get a first round bye. I'll take the Sky to compete hard and I might even make a small bet on them winning outright at 4/1.


The Liberty just don't care. They have been awful. Even when they ran off to a 16 point lead over Atlanta in their final home game, it was just a matter of time before they collapsed. Now they get to finish the season with a 4 game western road trip and nothing to play for (because they have no pride.) I hate laying 14, but I'll do it here.


Sunday I was 3-3, losing both the side and total on the Sun who didn't come out ready to play. They even came back strong and were covering the spread in the 4th but they let the Sky come back to cover. 73-70-1 for the season.


Tomorrow I will be driving down to Vegas (450 miles) to see the Liberty. I thought it would be a good game when I bought the tickets, but that is just another bet I lost. Las Vegas in August, where better for a quick getaway. The biggest upset is that the current weather prediction for Thursday is a high of 96. I'll still be surprised if it doesn't hit 100, and be happy it isn't 115.


Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    RebKell's Junkie Boards Forum Index » WNBA All times are GMT - 5 Hours
Goto page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6  Next
Page 4 of 6

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum


Powered by phpBB 2.0.17 © 2001- 2004 phpBB Group
phpBB Template by Vjacheslav Trushkin