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ClayK



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PostPosted: 03/13/18 10:42 am    ::: 538 weighs in Reply Reply with quote

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/this-may-be-the-best-uconn-team-ever/



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 03/13/18 11:15 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

smh



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summertime blues



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PostPosted: 03/13/18 11:43 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Nah.



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#Occasionalwnbafan



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PostPosted: 03/13/18 1:33 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Let's see if LouConn can be the driving force behind This team winning it all, and her getting her 1st MOP award.
GlennMacGrady



Joined: 03 Jan 2005
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PostPosted: 03/14/18 12:14 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

538 says that the closest first round game probability will be #7 Cal (53%) vs. #10 UVa (47%), and that Notre Dame will likely be the first #1 seed to lose.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-march-madness-predictions/womens/
Shmermerer1



Joined: 04 Aug 2014
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PostPosted: 03/14/18 1:54 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

GlennMacGrady wrote:
538 says that the closest first round game probability will be #7 Cal (53%) vs. #10 UVa (47%), and that Notre Dame will likely be the first #1 seed to lose.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-march-madness-predictions/womens/


That game will probably have the most overall turnovers of any game in the tournament as well 😝


Fighting Artichoke



Joined: 12 Dec 2012
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PostPosted: 03/14/18 9:35 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

GlennMacGrady wrote:
538 says that the closest first round game probability will be #7 Cal (53%) vs. #10 UVa (47%), and that Notre Dame will likely be the first #1 seed to lose.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-march-madness-predictions/womens/

That's only because Notre Dame matches up with UConn in the final four. Note Dame had a better chance to make the final four than Louisville and at every stage before that (where they aren't a statistical tie). And Notre Dame has a better chance to win the championship than Louisville.


PUmatty



Joined: 10 Nov 2004
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PostPosted: 03/14/18 11:26 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

GlennMacGrady wrote:
538 says that the closest first round game probability will be #7 Cal (53%) vs. #10 UVa (47%), and that Notre Dame will likely be the first #1 seed to lose.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-march-madness-predictions/womens/


Confused Confused Confused

Well, no. They have Louisville predicted as the first No. 1 to lose.


readyAIMfire53



Joined: 20 Nov 2004
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PostPosted: 03/14/18 7:41 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

PUmatty wrote:
GlennMacGrady wrote:
538 says that the closest first round game probability will be #7 Cal (53%) vs. #10 UVa (47%), and that Notre Dame will likely be the first #1 seed to lose.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-march-madness-predictions/womens/


Confused Confused Confused

Well, no. They have Louisville predicted as the first No. 1 to lose.


Well, Louisville is playing the fifth #1 seed...



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GlennMacGrady



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PostPosted: 03/15/18 6:59 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

PUmatty wrote:
GlennMacGrady wrote:
538 says that the closest first round game probability will be #7 Cal (53%) vs. #10 UVa (47%), and that Notre Dame will likely be the first #1 seed to lose.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-march-madness-predictions/womens/


Confused Confused Confused

Well, no. They have Louisville predicted as the first No. 1 to lose.


Yes, my mistake.
cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 12851
Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.


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PostPosted: 03/21/18 6:16 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

their odds now are really whack:

SCarolina <1%
Tex 1
Or 2
Nd 3
Lou 4
MSU 6
Baylor 10
CT 74



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