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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/07/17 6:49 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Yesssss....a meaningless (to the game) 3 at the buzzer by KMac ensures a winning night.

2-1, 6-6.



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/07/17 8:05 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for Jun 7:

New York 3.5 Atlanta 158.5
Phoenix 1 @Indiana 162

These are early lines, but when there is an 8 AM (PDT) I can't wait for the more settled line. New York looks very good to me as does the under in the early game. I hope that Brittany Boyd contributed to the Liberty's success by taking former Cal teammate Layshia Clarendon out on the town for a late night to celebrate her recent marriage.

I also like Phoenix and the over in the late game. Phoenix has started to play more up tempo. They are coming off a poor outing at New York and I hope they can bounce back against a game but outgunned Fever team. Four plays out of two games. I must be too tired to make rational decisions.














p


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/07/17 8:49 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

4-0 today to bring my record to 22-11.. New York was a 3.5 point favorite and wins by 15. The under was 158.5 and the total comes up 137. Phoenix is a 1 point favorite and wins by 8. And the over was 162 and it sails over with a 188 total. How easy can it be? Never mind that I took a favorite and over that would have both lost without the overtime, I call it 4 easy winners. Laughing Laughing


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/09/17 3:05 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 9:

Minnesota 6 @Washington 159.5
Seattle 5.5 @Indiana 162.5
Los Angeles 7 @Dallas 165.5

Three home underdogs of more than 5 points. This shows the increasing chasm between the top teams and the rest. I'll take two of the dogs, Indiana and Dallas. Neither one of these teams has nearly the talent of their opponent, but I believe they will both put forth solid efforts and may be able to stay within the line. My primary concern, particularly with Dallas, is the team has shown a propensity to foul late that can turn a 5 point loss into a 10 point loss, but I will take that risk.

I will also take the Lynx over the total. Both teams can score and play defense, but it seems so far that the good teams lean toward offense in big matchups.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/10/17 9:37 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 10:

Connecticut 2 Atlanta 155.5
San Antonio PK Chicago 162.5
Phoenix 1.5 Los Angeles 162.5

The Sparks imploded in the 4th quarter and were run off the court by a game but under-talented Wings team. LA may bounce back but I doubt it, so I will take Phoenix and the over today. Connecticut has had a week off and I don't like playing teams that have been on such a long break. Chicago and San Antonio look like the worst teams in the league. I'm tempted to take the under, but I will pass.

Yesterday I was 3-0 to push my season record to 25-11.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/10/17 7:02 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

You're hot as shit! Sorry to cool you down:

Merc and the Over. :/



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/11/17 7:05 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

My mediocrity continues...

1-1, 7-7

(at least I had Tapwrit)



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/11/17 11:51 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
You're hot as shit! Sorry to cool you down:

Merc and the Over. :/


The year gas gone well so far. But I also know that there is always a bit of luck that goes into this, and so far it has been more on my side. My 1-1 yesterday still leaves me at 26-12.

Odds for June 11:

Washington 6 Indiana 163
New York 3.5 Seattle 159.5
Minnesota 10 Dallas 171

I like the Mystics. They are a tier 2 team (Minnesota is the only tier 1).The concern is the status of EDD, but even without her I think the Mystics might be able to cover the line. Minnesota is the best team in the league by a large margin. But when favored by 10 or more points this season they are 0-4 against the spread. In their first game against the Wings they squeaked out a 2 point win, 89-87. I believe that this will not be enough for the Lynx to play 40 minutes, so i'll take the Wings. I also think that the total has been adjusted so much that there is enough value for me to take the under. I considered playing the Storm getting points as Stewart and Bird should be motivated playing in the Big Apple. But Seattle hasn't shown enough on the road so I will pass.


Richyyy



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PostPosted: 06/11/17 1:27 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I hope you've been backing these picks with cash, calbearman76. Keep a 70% success rate going and you'll be rolling in it. Hell, do it for a while and people will start paying for your picks, and you won't even have to back them yourself.

In my experience these things tend to plummet annoyingly back to earth, but hopefully you're just better at it than I am Smile.



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/11/17 6:15 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Richyyy wrote:
I hope you've been backing these picks with cash, calbearman76. Keep a 70% success rate going and you'll be rolling in it. Hell, do it for a while and people will start paying for your picks, and you won't even have to back them yourself.

In my experience these things tend to plummet annoyingly back to earth, but hopefully you're just better at it than I am :).


Being from Nevada, I do spend some time at my local bookie. This has certainly been a good year so far, but I don't get carried away with my success. I am well aware that luck plays a big role, and my goal is always 60%, because I know that 70% is unattainable over the long run. If I start to drift downward so be it, but please, Richyyy, stay away from words like "plummet." Seriously. Thank you for your kind words.

Today I went 2-1 with the Mystics (and EDD) winning easily. The Lynx also did a good job of sitting on the lead and slowing the game down in the second half, but they never let the lead fall to single digits in the fourth quarter. Overall record 28-13, 68%.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/12/17 9:02 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

With the season 1 month old I thought it might be interesting to look at the current odds to win the championship.

Minnesota 3/2
Los Angeles 16/5
Washington 11/2
New York 8/1
Seattle 10/1
Phoenix 11/1
Atlanta 16/1
Indiana 20/1
Connecticut 35/1
Dallas 35/1
Chicago 80/1
San Antonio 125/1

I certainly wouldn't make any of these bets, but the odds are interesting, if only to clarify the oddsmakers current rankings of the teams.

While I don't use early offshore odds to make my picks because they are often quite different from what I consider the official odds that are released by Las Vegas books in the morning, I have seen LA as a 12 point favorite over Dallas (total 170) and Seattle an 8 point favorite over Atlanta (159).


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/13/17 12:15 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 13:

Seattle 8.5 Atlanta 164
Los Angeles 11.5 Dallas 171.5

Funny the way the one bet I really liked last night is the line that moved 4 points, the Storm over. As a result my only play for today is LA over.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/13/17 8:32 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 13:

Seattle 8.5 Atlanta 164
Los Angeles 11.5 Dallas 171.5

Funny the way the one bet I really liked last night is the line that moved 4 points, the Storm over. As a result my only play for today is LA over.


164 Over
171.5 Under



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/13/17 10:17 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

How can you handicap a 31 point 1st quarter followed by a 52 point second. Oh well, at least I have a chance now. Best of luck to you, huskies fan, on your over with Seattle. I leaned that way, but the line was too rich for me.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/13/17 11:24 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 13:

Seattle 8.5 Atlanta 164
Los Angeles 11.5 Dallas 171.5

Funny the way the one bet I really liked last night is the line that moved 4 points, the Storm over. As a result my only play for today is LA over.


164 Over
171.5 Under


Looks like you got your over, Amazing the way overtimes can bail you out. Of course you still need 11 points in the OT. On the other hand you lost your under because of 21 points in the last 70 seconds, so overall 1-1 seems fair.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/14/17 10:01 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for Flag Day:

Connecticut 1.5 New York 161

No pick yet. I may get some inspiration later but for now I pass.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/14/17 6:02 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for Flag Day:

Connecticut 1.5 New York 161

No pick yet. I may get some inspiration later but for now I pass.


New York

0-1, 8-9



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/15/17 1:16 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 15:

Indiana 4.5 Atlanta 164.5
Los Angeles 14.5 San Antonio 161

Making up for yesterday's pass today I have two plays. Atlanta-Indiana under 164.5 - Atlanta has gone over in its last two games, but only because of allowing 104 against Connecticut and then overtime in Seattle, Before that they were 6-1 on the under and have only scored 80+ points twice in regulation. San Antonio +14.5 - If they put 15 points on the Stars side of the scoreboard I have no question that LA could catch and pass them, maybe even in the first half. But the Stars hang close and the Sparks showed that even a 22 point lead in the 4th quarter didn't assure covering an 11.5 point spread against the Wings.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/15/17 11:54 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

2-0 today, 3-0 for the week so far, and now 31-13 for the year (70%). Ready for the inevitable fall.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/16/17 4:59 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 16:


New York 1 @Dallas 171.5
Phoenix 8.5 Chicago 163.5

Only 4 teams have lost 3 or more games at home this season, the two cellar dwellers and today's two home teams. Dallas has perhaps the smallest home court advantage, but this is a winnable game. I want to take the Wings but the Liberty played so poorly against Connecticut that Bill can't be happy. I'll pass. Phoenix struggled out of the gate but has been playing much better of late. Chicago is bad. The Mercury beat the Sky 99-91 at Chicago two weeks ago and I see more of the same, but with a bigger spread. I like both Phoenix and the over.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/16/17 7:06 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 16:


New York 1 @Dallas 171.5
Phoenix 8.5 Chicago 163.5


NY

PHO & Over



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/16/17 7:51 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 16:


New York 1 @Dallas 171.5
Phoenix 8.5 Chicago 163.5


NY

PHO & Over

I'm rooting for you today. Actually I root for you every day you don't go against me.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/16/17 10:01 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 16:


New York 1 @Dallas 171.5
Phoenix 8.5 Chicago 163.5


NY

PHO & Over



13 pts left on the FT in the first half alone. Naturally, I have the Over.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 06/16/17 11:10 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

2-1 for a sterling 10-10 overall. The Mediocrity March continues...



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/16/17 11:14 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


Randy



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PostPosted: 06/17/17 6:47 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


I'm shocked people overseas care enough about the WNBA to bet on it. Or is it just that they are gamblers and look for something to bet on?


Luuuc



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PostPosted: 06/17/17 7:01 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Randy wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


I'm shocked people overseas care enough about the WNBA to bet on it. Or is it just that they are gamblers and look for something to bet on?


I'm overseas and I did very well in the early part of last season, before the bookmakers got their heads around who was good and who wasn't.
I also got the (IMO) extremely generous price of $3.60 prior to this season for the Lynx to win the title, so I got on board that one real fast!



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justintyme



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PostPosted: 06/17/17 7:08 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Luuuc wrote:
Randy wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


I'm shocked people overseas care enough about the WNBA to bet on it. Or is it just that they are gamblers and look for something to bet on?


I'm overseas and I did very well in the early part of last season, before the bookmakers got their heads around who was good and who wasn't.
I also got the (IMO) extremely generous price of $3.60 prior to this season for the Lynx to win the title, so I got on board that one real fast!

Oh my! That would put you in quite the pickle if the finals turn out to be Lynx vs. Merc. Cheer with the heart or with the wallet!

Or perhaps just cheer for the Merc with a reeeeally nice consolation prize if they lose?



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Luuuc



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PostPosted: 06/17/17 7:34 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

justintyme wrote:
Luuuc wrote:
Randy wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


I'm shocked people overseas care enough about the WNBA to bet on it. Or is it just that they are gamblers and look for something to bet on?


I'm overseas and I did very well in the early part of last season, before the bookmakers got their heads around who was good and who wasn't.
I also got the (IMO) extremely generous price of $3.60 prior to this season for the Lynx to win the title, so I got on board that one real fast!

Oh my! That would put you in quite the pickle if the finals turn out to be Lynx vs. Merc. Cheer with the heart or with the wallet!

Or perhaps just cheer for the Merc with a reeeeally nice consolation prize if they lose?

Laughing Mercury ain't getting to the finals this season!
(but I'd still cheer for them 100% if they did)



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/17/17 10:46 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for 6/17:

Minnesota 9 Connecticut 162

Jonquel Jones is the breakout star of the season. I am looking forward to next year when she gets to play side by side with Chiney. But this is 2017, not 2018. The Lynx have won their last 5 games by double digits, ever since winning back to back games by only 2 vs. Dallas and Connecticut. I'll take the Lynx -9.

As for overseas betting, you can bet on almost anything. Have a feeling that Matthew Fraser is about to be upset in the (What sport am I talking about? Answer below) You can bet on that. Like Albania to steal a game from Macedonia in Volleyball? You can bet on that. Like the Melbourne Demons over the Western Bulldogs in the AFL? You can bet on that. And if athletics aren't your thing you can bet on Planet Dog vs. Gambit in the Prodota Cup (Dota 2, an E-sports contest). Answer - Crossfit Games.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/18/17 1:12 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 18:

Washington 8 Dallas 175.5
Los Angeles 8 Phoenix 163.5
Indiana 1 @Chicago 163
Seattle 10.5 San Antonio 161.5

Coming off a loss I need a quick bounce back and with 4 games to chose from there are some good choices. Washington is my top pick laying 8 against the Wings. I also like LA-Phoenix over. I suspect that Diana want to set the all time WNBA scoring record in Southern California. Unless the game stays close I expect a shootout. I also like Seattle-SA over. This is the heralded return of Kelsey Plum to the northwest. The crowd would like nothing more than to see Seattle win and Plum score 30. I don't think the Storm will sit on a lead so I see a high scoring second half.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/19/17 1:24 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

It had to happen sometime, but this was a bad weekend, 0-3 today, 0-4 for the weekend. That leaves me at 32-17 for the season.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/21/17 3:47 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 21:

Dallas 7 San Antonio 163.5

Trying to bounce back from a bad weekend, I'll take Dallas and lay the points.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/23/17 4:46 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 23:

Atlanta 3.5 Chicago 163
New York 4.5 Connecticut 163
Minnesota 9.5 Washington 166.5
Dallas 3 @San Antonio 164.5
Seattle 5 Phoenix 160

Haven't won a game in a week, but I'm trying not to second guess myself. I'll take Atlanta over Chicago and Dallas over San Antonio. I'll also take New York-Connecticut over 163. Time to turn things around.


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PostPosted: 06/23/17 6:38 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 23:

Atlanta 3.5 Chicago 163
New York 4.5 Connecticut 163
Minnesota 9.5 Washington 166.5
Dallas 3 @San Antonio 164.5
Seattle 5 Phoenix 160

Haven't won a game in a week, but I'm trying not to second guess myself. I'll take Atlanta over Chicago and Dallas over San Antonio. I'll also take New York-Connecticut over 163. Time to turn things around.


Atl. Minn. Dallas



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PostPosted: 06/23/17 6:45 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 23:

Atlanta 3.5 Chicago 163
New York 4.5 Connecticut 163
Minnesota 9.5 Washington 166.5
Dallas 3 @San Antonio 164.5
Seattle 5 Phoenix 160

Haven't won a game in a week, but I'm trying not to second guess myself. I'll take Atlanta over Chicago and Dallas over San Antonio. I'll also take New York-Connecticut over 163. Time to turn things around.


Atl. Minn. Dallas

You are a brave man, agreeing with me when I am in such a slump. Best of luck.


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PostPosted: 06/24/17 6:50 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 23:

Atlanta 3.5 Chicago 163
New York 4.5 Connecticut 163
Minnesota 9.5 Washington 166.5
Dallas 3 @San Antonio 164.5
Seattle 5 Phoenix 160

Haven't won a game in a week, but I'm trying not to second guess myself. I'll take Atlanta over Chicago and Dallas over San Antonio. I'll also take New York-Connecticut over 163. Time to turn things around.


Atl. Minn. Dallas


2-1, 12-11. (4-2 last 6, may be getting on track...)



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PostPosted: 06/24/17 12:31 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 24:

Los Angeles 6 Indiana 167.5

These teams played earlier and the Fever came away with a 93-90 home victory. The line has moved down .5 point but the total has gone up 9.5 points. I'll take Indiana and the under.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/25/17 3:43 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for 6/25:

Connecticut 5 @Dallas 174.5
Washington 5.5 @Chicago 172.5
Minnesota 18.5 San Antonio 155.5

I included the Connecticut game for informational purposes only as the game started a few minutes ago. I like 18.5 points so I will take San Antonio to cover.


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PostPosted: 06/27/17 10:15 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 27:

Washington 4.5 Seattle 166
Los Angeles 1.5 @Connecticut 170

Last week I was mired in a 5 game skid, nut I have bounced back to go 4-2, leaving me at 36-20 for the year. Today I'll take Washington and lay the points.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 06/28/17 10:38 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 28:

Indiana 3.5 @Chicago 165

More interesting scheduling from the WNBA. The Fever play their only two games in Chicago within 10 days. On June 18 Indiana was a 1 point favorite and won 91-79. Today the game has been bet up to 3.5, which is enough for me to take the Sky, even if they are winless at home. The Indiana win was their only road win this season.


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PostPosted: 06/29/17 5:33 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 29:

Washington 6.5 New York 169
Connecticut 6.5 Seattle 168

I have made the point before that the early, overseas lines are not always reliable. Both games today opened at 4 overseas, but opened at 6.5 here this morning. I will still lay the points with the Sun, but I can't quite to get on the Mystics now. But I will take the Mystics under.


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PostPosted: 06/30/17 3:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 30:

Los Angeles 7.5 @Atlanta 158
Chicago 2 @San Antonio 155.5
Minnesota 7.5 @Phoenix 163

Yesterday's 2 wins brings me to 3-1 for the week and an overall record of 39-21 (65%). I was expecting to take the under in the LA-Atlanta game, but the total was dropped 5 points from when they played earlier this season. The Monique Currie trade makes me a little wary of San Antonio, but I will take the Sky-Stars game over. Phoenix started off the season as a defensive team, but they have gone over 6 of their last 8. Likewise Minnesota has gone over in 5 of their last 6. I'll take the Lynx-Mercury over. Strangely, even though I generally look long and hard at home underdogs and there are three today, I can't quite get to any of them, so just the 2 overs to wind up June.


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PostPosted: 07/01/17 11:53 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 1:

Connecticut 3 @Indiana 166.5
Dallas 4.5 Seattle 173.5

Both Connecticut and Indiana have played better than I expected and are both at 7-7. When they played earlier Indiana was a 6.5 favorite and won by 2, but now they are a 3 point underdog. In their last 7 games the total points in Sun games have averaged 178, with the lowest total being 166. I like the Fever but not quite enough to make it a pick, but I will take the over.

Seattle got off to a hot start this season because of a 6 game home stand where they went 5-1, with the only loss to Minnesota. But the road has been a different story with a 1-5 record, the only win coming over San Antonio. The Storm are playing their third road game in 5 days and I think that means another loss. I'll take the Wings.


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Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/02/17 7:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Somehow I had a misstep this morning and did not properly post my picks. The odds were:

Los Angeles 6.5 Washington 167.5
New York 4.5 @Atlanta 155.5

I actually had taken LA and over in the first game and Atlanta and under in the second, which would have garnered me a 3-1 record, but since they weren't posted, they don't count. That leaves my record at 42-22 (65.6%).


There are no games the next two days. I will be on the road the rest of the week, but hopefully I will be able to make my posts from Las Vegas.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1428
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/05/17 12:34 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

[Odds for July 5:

Dallas 6.5 Atlanta 165
Connecticut 9.5 @San Antonio 163.5
Phoenix Pk Washington 162.5

Sitting in Las Vegas at my favorite sports book (the Westgate Superbook) watching Wimbledon on 5 of their 15 big screen TVs. I may make a few more wagers, but for purposes of my picks I like the Mercury to win and also go over the total.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1428
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/06/17 10:45 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 6:

Minnesota 6.5 Los Angeles 165
Seattle 3.5 New York 161


The Las Vegas trip started off well with two wins. Tonight we are treated to the first head to head match up of last year's finalists. I look for the Lynx to show they are the team to beat so I will lay the points. Seattle is at home where they are very good. The Liberty have been inconsistent. I'll take the Storm.

Now it is time to face the 110 degree heat.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 8639
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump is not president.


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PostPosted: 07/06/17 1:10 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

If i were you, I'd stay in LV the rest of the W season and live large.

Tonight we go head-head as I hedge twice:

LA +6.5
NY +3.5



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1428
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/06/17 4:40 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
If i were you, I'd stay in LV the rest of the W season and live large.

Tonight we go head-head as I hedge twice:

LA +6.5
NY +3.5


I can't say I'm rooting for you, but good luck. If I were to stay down here I'd be living smaller, because the weather (currently 112 at 2:30) is what is really hot. Then again, I could benefit by losing 10 or 50 pounds.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1428
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/07/17 12:19 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 7:

Indiana 1 @Atlanta 158
Phoenix 10 @San Antonio 156

Atlanta has not been a good home team, but with the exception of a few games in Chicago Indiana is winless on the road. It is rare that a line catches me off guard this far into the season but I am quite surprised to see the Fever favored. I'll take the Dream. I also like the under. The teams played last month in Indiana and scored only 64 points in the first half, even though the final total was 159. Atlanta has generally played lower scoring games at home.

This game marks the return of Monique Currie to San Antonio which should motivate her. But there are many cross currents favoring the home team. The Stars embarrassed themselves in the last game and should come out ready to atone. The Mercury had a big win two nights ago and could be flat. Taurasi (and perhaps the whole team) could be looking forward to Penny Taylor's retirement ceremony Sunday. I'll take the Stars and also take the over.

Yesterday I split my two picks to leave me at 45-23 for the season. Today I will be going to see the NBA summer league and the biggest diva in all of round ball (sorry Diana and Angel), Lonzo Ball. Six games on two courts. Wouldn't it be great if the WNBA did this in the present for one day? Better to be inside than out in the projected 115 degree heat this afternoon. Then it's a 7 hour drive home overnight to end my Vegas stay..


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