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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/08/17 11:55 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for August 8:

Minnesota 7 @Atlanta 164
Connecticut 7 Seattle 169
New York 9 Indiana 158

On 8/8 it seems all games avoided being an 8 point spread. New York is my favorite play of the night. The Liberty is coming off a 5 game road trip in need of a win. Indiana is 3-10 on the road, and has lost those 10 games by an average of 18 points. As the old promotion proclaimed, I love New York. Initially I believed I would like Connecticut. These two teams have switched places from the end of May. At that time Seattle was in the discussion for the 3rd best team and Connecticut was outside the playoffs. How things have changed? And yet the Sun have a few key injuries and UConn West (Stewie, Bird, and KML) is returning home to honor Coach Dailey. Pass. Similarly for Minnesota, the trend would say to take the Lynx laying less than 9, but this is a game where they would have been a double digit favorite save the injury to Whalen and the poor performance against Indiana. As a result there effort could match what they did last time out so I will just pass. So just the one play. Go Liberty.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/10/17 6:14 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds of August 10:

Dallas 2.5 Phoenix 171.5
Chicago 6 San Antonio 159.5

Dallas is playing better of late and seems to be making a push to move up in the playoff order. A win today could put them in position to host a first round game. Courtney Paris has been playing well the last few games. Phoenix has yet to win in Dallas since the Wings relocated (0-2) and is 2-4 overall, although they won the last game by 42 points. That was with Brittany Griner. Without her I like the Wings and I like the under.

Chicago and San Antonio were the two worst teams in the league in May and June. When they met on June 30, Chicago was 3-11 and San Antonio was 0-14. In the ensuing 6 weeks the Sky is 7-5 and the Stars are 5-7. The Stars got their first win that night and I suspect the Sky want payback. The Sky have been the worst home team this season at only 3-9, but they are 3-2 in their last 5. I'll take the Sky, and while I lean toward the over, I will pass on the total.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/11/17 2:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for August 11:

Atlanta 2.5 New York 159.5
Minnesota 5.5 Los Angeles 162

Atlanta seemed to get some help at the trade deadline, but so far the Dream has been 0-3. Two of the losses came to Minnesota however, and this looks like a good spot for them to get their first win with Boyette and Young. They need it to stay tight in the race for the final playoff spot. I'll take the Dream. Minnesota without Whalen against LA at full strength seems like an even matchup. I suspect that the Lynx will try to amp up the defense so I will play the under.

My record for the year has slipped to 64-49-1 (57%).


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/12/17 10:25 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for August 12:

Connecticut 10 Dallas 175.5
Washington 7.5 Indiana 156.5
Atlanta 3 @San Antonio 157.5
Phoenix 4 Seattle 164.5

San Antonio has been playing much better of late and the same can not be said of Atlanta. The Dream made a nice comeback last night but came up short against New York and now have to travel to play a back-to-back game. I like the Stars and the over. Griner is supposed to be back tonight for Phoenix. While I doubt she will play full minutes, I suspect this will help the Mercury as they push for the #5 seed. I'll take the Mercury and the under..


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/13/17 1:03 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for August 11:

Los Angeles 2.5 @New York 158.5

Yes, I went 1-3 yesterday as this season turns absolutely average after a wonderful start, but the events in Charlottesville yesterday put everything in perspective. I can win every game the rest of the season or lose every one and it won't matter as long as we have people in this country who believe that they want to relitigate the Civil War more than 150 years after it supposedly ended. My sympathies go out to the families of Heather Heyer, Lt. H Jay Cullen and Berke MM Bates. I can only hope our President comes to his senses and denounces in no uncertain terms the groups responsible for this senseless loss of life and learns that its not just Muslims, Mexicans, North Koreans, Blacks, women, and other people who speak ill of him that can be terrorists.

Having said that, life goes on and so do my picks. Today I ride with the Sparks to hopefully not let down after their performance against the Lynx. I'll take LA.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/15/17 1:32 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for August 15:

Connecticut 4.5 @Atlanta 166.5

Atlanta traded its first round draft pick because it thought they could make the playoffs. Wrong. I'll take the Sun.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
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Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/16/17 11:41 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for August 16:

Los Angeles 6 @Washington 158
Minnesota 7 @Seattle 164.5

This is a big game for the Sparks but I'm not sure how much they can really get up for it. I will pass. The Storm put on a scoring show for their new coach in Phoenix. I expect more of the same at home. Minnesota has all but wrapped up the #1 seed so I am not sure of their motivation so I expect they will go along with a high scoring game. I'll take the over.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/18/17 2:09 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for August 18:

Phoenix 3.5 @Washington 161.5
Connecticut 6 New York 167.5
Minnesota 15.5 Indiana 157
Los Angeles 7.5 @Chicago 165
Seattle 9.5 San Antonio 155.5

Connecticut is currently the best team in the WNBA. The Liberty were the last team to beat the Sun and I believe they will get payback. I'll lay the 6. Minnesota should never be a 15.5 point favorite. Even having lost 3 of their last 4 I don't see the Lynx putting a hurting on Indiana. I'll take the Fever. I saw Chicago beat the Sparks in LA. Even though the Sky have been the worst home team in the league they have won their last two and even if they don't win this one, I expect they can stay in this game. I'll take the Sky. I've been burned by the Storm the last two games. Not knowing the status of Sue Bird I can't make a play on this game.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/19/17 2:35 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for August 19:

Dallas 4.5 Atlanta 173

As I continue to make my full turnaround from 70% all the way to 50% (hopefully I won't quite make it there), I have yet another game that looks really good. The Wings are a decent game that has something to play for and Atlanta looks like a team in total disarray. The line is too low. The Wings fly high.

Meanwhile, as the saying goes, when the going gets tough (and man, have things been tough for me lately), the tough get going. So go I shall. Up to Idaho tomorrow to see the eclipse. 15 hours of driving for 2 minutes of blissful darkness and a lifetime of memories (well maybe 15-20 years of memories, as I'm already in my 60's). Still, there are really very few truly once-in-a-lifetime experiences, and even if it is just a matter of the moon blocking out the sun for a moment, I think of how people must have thought a thousand years ago when they didn't know it was going to happen. It is truly an amazing happenstance.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 8305
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump is not president.


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PostPosted: 08/19/17 9:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rdF7o08KXw



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1378
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 08/20/17 8:30 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Sorry for the lack of a post Today. I just got to Idaho for the eclipse. Back home Tuesday.


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