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Randy



Joined: 08 Oct 2011
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PostPosted: 06/17/17 6:47 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


I'm shocked people overseas care enough about the WNBA to bet on it. Or is it just that they are gamblers and look for something to bet on?


Luuuc



Joined: 10 Feb 2005
Posts: 19781



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PostPosted: 06/17/17 7:01 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Randy wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


I'm shocked people overseas care enough about the WNBA to bet on it. Or is it just that they are gamblers and look for something to bet on?


I'm overseas and I did very well in the early part of last season, before the bookmakers got their heads around who was good and who wasn't.
I also got the (IMO) extremely generous price of $3.60 prior to this season for the Lynx to win the title, so I got on board that one real fast!



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justintyme



Joined: 08 Jul 2012
Posts: 7875
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PostPosted: 06/17/17 7:08 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Luuuc wrote:
Randy wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


I'm shocked people overseas care enough about the WNBA to bet on it. Or is it just that they are gamblers and look for something to bet on?


I'm overseas and I did very well in the early part of last season, before the bookmakers got their heads around who was good and who wasn't.
I also got the (IMO) extremely generous price of $3.60 prior to this season for the Lynx to win the title, so I got on board that one real fast!

Oh my! That would put you in quite the pickle if the finals turn out to be Lynx vs. Merc. Cheer with the heart or with the wallet!

Or perhaps just cheer for the Merc with a reeeeally nice consolation prize if they lose?



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Luuuc



Joined: 10 Feb 2005
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PostPosted: 06/17/17 7:34 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

justintyme wrote:
Luuuc wrote:
Randy wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Win the total by a half point, lose the side by a half point. It could have been worse. 1-1 tonight, 32-13 for the season.

Overseas line for tomorrow is Minnesota 10.5, total 161.5.


I'm shocked people overseas care enough about the WNBA to bet on it. Or is it just that they are gamblers and look for something to bet on?


I'm overseas and I did very well in the early part of last season, before the bookmakers got their heads around who was good and who wasn't.
I also got the (IMO) extremely generous price of $3.60 prior to this season for the Lynx to win the title, so I got on board that one real fast!

Oh my! That would put you in quite the pickle if the finals turn out to be Lynx vs. Merc. Cheer with the heart or with the wallet!

Or perhaps just cheer for the Merc with a reeeeally nice consolation prize if they lose?

Laughing Mercury ain't getting to the finals this season!
(but I'd still cheer for them 100% if they did)



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/17/17 10:46 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for 6/17:

Minnesota 9 Connecticut 162

Jonquel Jones is the breakout star of the season. I am looking forward to next year when she gets to play side by side with Chiney. But this is 2017, not 2018. The Lynx have won their last 5 games by double digits, ever since winning back to back games by only 2 vs. Dallas and Connecticut. I'll take the Lynx -9.

As for overseas betting, you can bet on almost anything. Have a feeling that Matthew Fraser is about to be upset in the (What sport am I talking about? Answer below) You can bet on that. Like Albania to steal a game from Macedonia in Volleyball? You can bet on that. Like the Melbourne Demons over the Western Bulldogs in the AFL? You can bet on that. And if athletics aren't your thing you can bet on Planet Dog vs. Gambit in the Prodota Cup (Dota 2, an E-sports contest). Answer - Crossfit Games.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/18/17 1:12 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 18:

Washington 8 Dallas 175.5
Los Angeles 8 Phoenix 163.5
Indiana 1 @Chicago 163
Seattle 10.5 San Antonio 161.5

Coming off a loss I need a quick bounce back and with 4 games to chose from there are some good choices. Washington is my top pick laying 8 against the Wings. I also like LA-Phoenix over. I suspect that Diana want to set the all time WNBA scoring record in Southern California. Unless the game stays close I expect a shootout. I also like Seattle-SA over. This is the heralded return of Kelsey Plum to the northwest. The crowd would like nothing more than to see Seattle win and Plum score 30. I don't think the Storm will sit on a lead so I see a high scoring second half.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/19/17 1:24 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

It had to happen sometime, but this was a bad weekend, 0-3 today, 0-4 for the weekend. That leaves me at 32-17 for the season.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/21/17 3:47 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 21:

Dallas 7 San Antonio 163.5

Trying to bounce back from a bad weekend, I'll take Dallas and lay the points.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/23/17 4:46 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 23:

Atlanta 3.5 Chicago 163
New York 4.5 Connecticut 163
Minnesota 9.5 Washington 166.5
Dallas 3 @San Antonio 164.5
Seattle 5 Phoenix 160

Haven't won a game in a week, but I'm trying not to second guess myself. I'll take Atlanta over Chicago and Dallas over San Antonio. I'll also take New York-Connecticut over 163. Time to turn things around.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 12083
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus.


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PostPosted: 06/23/17 6:38 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 23:

Atlanta 3.5 Chicago 163
New York 4.5 Connecticut 163
Minnesota 9.5 Washington 166.5
Dallas 3 @San Antonio 164.5
Seattle 5 Phoenix 160

Haven't won a game in a week, but I'm trying not to second guess myself. I'll take Atlanta over Chicago and Dallas over San Antonio. I'll also take New York-Connecticut over 163. Time to turn things around.


Atl. Minn. Dallas



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/23/17 6:45 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 23:

Atlanta 3.5 Chicago 163
New York 4.5 Connecticut 163
Minnesota 9.5 Washington 166.5
Dallas 3 @San Antonio 164.5
Seattle 5 Phoenix 160

Haven't won a game in a week, but I'm trying not to second guess myself. I'll take Atlanta over Chicago and Dallas over San Antonio. I'll also take New York-Connecticut over 163. Time to turn things around.


Atl. Minn. Dallas

You are a brave man, agreeing with me when I am in such a slump. Best of luck.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 12083
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus.


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PostPosted: 06/24/17 6:50 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for June 23:

Atlanta 3.5 Chicago 163
New York 4.5 Connecticut 163
Minnesota 9.5 Washington 166.5
Dallas 3 @San Antonio 164.5
Seattle 5 Phoenix 160

Haven't won a game in a week, but I'm trying not to second guess myself. I'll take Atlanta over Chicago and Dallas over San Antonio. I'll also take New York-Connecticut over 163. Time to turn things around.


Atl. Minn. Dallas


2-1, 12-11. (4-2 last 6, may be getting on track...)



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/24/17 12:31 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 24:

Los Angeles 6 Indiana 167.5

These teams played earlier and the Fever came away with a 93-90 home victory. The line has moved down .5 point but the total has gone up 9.5 points. I'll take Indiana and the under.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/25/17 3:43 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for 6/25:

Connecticut 5 @Dallas 174.5
Washington 5.5 @Chicago 172.5
Minnesota 18.5 San Antonio 155.5

I included the Connecticut game for informational purposes only as the game started a few minutes ago. I like 18.5 points so I will take San Antonio to cover.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/27/17 10:15 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 27:

Washington 4.5 Seattle 166
Los Angeles 1.5 @Connecticut 170

Last week I was mired in a 5 game skid, nut I have bounced back to go 4-2, leaving me at 36-20 for the year. Today I'll take Washington and lay the points.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/28/17 10:38 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 28:

Indiana 3.5 @Chicago 165

More interesting scheduling from the WNBA. The Fever play their only two games in Chicago within 10 days. On June 18 Indiana was a 1 point favorite and won 91-79. Today the game has been bet up to 3.5, which is enough for me to take the Sky, even if they are winless at home. The Indiana win was their only road win this season.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/29/17 5:33 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 29:

Washington 6.5 New York 169
Connecticut 6.5 Seattle 168

I have made the point before that the early, overseas lines are not always reliable. Both games today opened at 4 overseas, but opened at 6.5 here this morning. I will still lay the points with the Sun, but I can't quite to get on the Mystics now. But I will take the Mystics under.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 06/30/17 3:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for June 30:

Los Angeles 7.5 @Atlanta 158
Chicago 2 @San Antonio 155.5
Minnesota 7.5 @Phoenix 163

Yesterday's 2 wins brings me to 3-1 for the week and an overall record of 39-21 (65%). I was expecting to take the under in the LA-Atlanta game, but the total was dropped 5 points from when they played earlier this season. The Monique Currie trade makes me a little wary of San Antonio, but I will take the Sky-Stars game over. Phoenix started off the season as a defensive team, but they have gone over 6 of their last 8. Likewise Minnesota has gone over in 5 of their last 6. I'll take the Lynx-Mercury over. Strangely, even though I generally look long and hard at home underdogs and there are three today, I can't quite get to any of them, so just the 2 overs to wind up June.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/01/17 11:53 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 1:

Connecticut 3 @Indiana 166.5
Dallas 4.5 Seattle 173.5

Both Connecticut and Indiana have played better than I expected and are both at 7-7. When they played earlier Indiana was a 6.5 favorite and won by 2, but now they are a 3 point underdog. In their last 7 games the total points in Sun games have averaged 178, with the lowest total being 166. I like the Fever but not quite enough to make it a pick, but I will take the over.

Seattle got off to a hot start this season because of a 6 game home stand where they went 5-1, with the only loss to Minnesota. But the road has been a different story with a 1-5 record, the only win coming over San Antonio. The Storm are playing their third road game in 5 days and I think that means another loss. I'll take the Wings.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/02/17 7:29 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Somehow I had a misstep this morning and did not properly post my picks. The odds were:

Los Angeles 6.5 Washington 167.5
New York 4.5 @Atlanta 155.5

I actually had taken LA and over in the first game and Atlanta and under in the second, which would have garnered me a 3-1 record, but since they weren't posted, they don't count. That leaves my record at 42-22 (65.6%).


There are no games the next two days. I will be on the road the rest of the week, but hopefully I will be able to make my posts from Las Vegas.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/05/17 12:34 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

[Odds for July 5:

Dallas 6.5 Atlanta 165
Connecticut 9.5 @San Antonio 163.5
Phoenix Pk Washington 162.5

Sitting in Las Vegas at my favorite sports book (the Westgate Superbook) watching Wimbledon on 5 of their 15 big screen TVs. I may make a few more wagers, but for purposes of my picks I like the Mercury to win and also go over the total.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/06/17 10:45 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 6:

Minnesota 6.5 Los Angeles 165
Seattle 3.5 New York 161


The Las Vegas trip started off well with two wins. Tonight we are treated to the first head to head match up of last year's finalists. I look for the Lynx to show they are the team to beat so I will lay the points. Seattle is at home where they are very good. The Liberty have been inconsistent. I'll take the Storm.

Now it is time to face the 110 degree heat.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 12083
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus.


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PostPosted: 07/06/17 1:10 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

If i were you, I'd stay in LV the rest of the W season and live large.

Tonight we go head-head as I hedge twice:

LA +6.5
NY +3.5



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/06/17 4:40 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
If i were you, I'd stay in LV the rest of the W season and live large.

Tonight we go head-head as I hedge twice:

LA +6.5
NY +3.5


I can't say I'm rooting for you, but good luck. If I were to stay down here I'd be living smaller, because the weather (currently 112 at 2:30) is what is really hot. Then again, I could benefit by losing 10 or 50 pounds.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 3852
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 07/07/17 12:19 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 7:

Indiana 1 @Atlanta 158
Phoenix 10 @San Antonio 156

Atlanta has not been a good home team, but with the exception of a few games in Chicago Indiana is winless on the road. It is rare that a line catches me off guard this far into the season but I am quite surprised to see the Fever favored. I'll take the Dream. I also like the under. The teams played last month in Indiana and scored only 64 points in the first half, even though the final total was 159. Atlanta has generally played lower scoring games at home.

This game marks the return of Monique Currie to San Antonio which should motivate her. But there are many cross currents favoring the home team. The Stars embarrassed themselves in the last game and should come out ready to atone. The Mercury had a big win two nights ago and could be flat. Taurasi (and perhaps the whole team) could be looking forward to Penny Taylor's retirement ceremony Sunday. I'll take the Stars and also take the over.

Yesterday I split my two picks to leave me at 45-23 for the season. Today I will be going to see the NBA summer league and the biggest diva in all of round ball (sorry Diana and Angel), Lonzo Ball. Six games on two courts. Wouldn't it be great if the WNBA did this in the present for one day? Better to be inside than out in the projected 115 degree heat this afternoon. Then it's a 7 hour drive home overnight to end my Vegas stay..


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