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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/07/17 1:39 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
LA +6.5
NY +3.5


1-1, 13-12.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/07/17 1:53 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 7:

Indiana 1 @Atlanta 158
Phoenix 10 @San Antonio 156


Atlanta +1/158 O
Pho -10/156 O



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/08/17 8:29 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 7:

Indiana 1 @Atlanta 158
Phoenix 10 @San Antonio 156


Atlanta +1/158 O
Pho -10/156 O


3-1, 16-13



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
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PostPosted: 07/08/17 12:39 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 8:

Connecticut 3 Washington 168
Minnesota 14.5 @Chicago 166.5
Los Angeles 6 @Seattle 162.5

Vegas is in the rearview mirror, but it was a very successful trip. Finishing off with a 3-1 record yesterday, I got my record back up to 67% (48-24). I also got to see Lonzo Ball lose in his opening Summer League game. 15.000 wildly excited fans to see two teams that, if they were combined still couldn't beat any full NBA team. For basketball fans it is a wonderful excuse to spend a few days in Las Vegas.

Nothing jumps out to me today like Atlanta did yesterday. I will take the Sky as well as taking the game under. These two teams opened up the season with a 70-61 Lynx win. While I don't expect another game like that, I expect that Minnesota will control the game, and that should mean slowing up the game in the second half. The Lynx have been favored by more than 10 five times this season and have yet to cover, winning by an average of only 7.2 points per game.

I also have a lean to Seattle at home, but the Storm have been very disappointing of late so I will stay off the game.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/08/17 6:07 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 8:

Connecticut 3 Washington 168
Minnesota 14.5 @Chicago 166.5
Los Angeles 6 @Seattle 162.5


Wash +3
LA -6



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/08/17 8:05 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 8:

Connecticut 3 Washington 168
Minnesota 14.5 @Chicago 166.5
Los Angeles 6 @Seattle 162.5


Wash +3
LA -6


...and the Mystics bet was winning for the first 39:56:02. Laughing Laughing Laughing



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/09/17 9:54 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 8:

Connecticut 3 Washington 168
Minnesota 14.5 @Chicago 166.5
Los Angeles 6 @Seattle 162.5


Wash +3
LA -6


...and the Mystics bet was winning for the first 39:56:02. :lol: :lol: :lol:


That certainly was a bad beat.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/09/17 10:34 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 9:

Atlanta 1.5 Dallas 166.5
Phoenix 5 New York 159.5

As we near the end of the first half of the season (half the regular season games will have been played at noon pacific time Wednesday) there are two games that could have significant bearing on the playoffs. Atlanta and Dallas are battling with Seattle and Indiana for the last two playoff spots. Phoenix and New York appear to be battling for the two first round byes along with Connecticut and Washington.

I continue to believe that Atlanta is being underrated. I like the Dream to get another win against a middle of the road team and climb back to .500, and will lay the 1.5 points. Phoenix has won 3 of their last 4 games and I believe they will continue their good play, but I can't lay 5 points against a Liberty team that has already beaten the Mercury twice this season. I will take the over however, as Phoenix has gone over the total in 9 of their last 11 games. The Liberty has gone under in its last three games which gives me some pause, but not enough to get off the over.

Yesterday I won with the Sky but lost on the under to leave me at 49-25 (66%).


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/09/17 12:31 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 8:

Connecticut 3 Washington 168
Minnesota 14.5 @Chicago 166.5
Los Angeles 6 @Seattle 162.5


Wash +3
LA -6


...and the Mystics bet was winning for the first 39:56:02. Laughing Laughing Laughing


0-2, 16-15



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/09/17 12:33 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 9:

Atlanta 1.5 Dallas 166.5
Phoenix 5 New York 159.5


ATL -1.5
PHO -5



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/10/17 9:56 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 9:

Atlanta 1.5 Dallas 166.5
Phoenix 5 New York 159.5


ATL -1.5
PHO -5


2-0, 18-15



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Last edited by cthskzfn on 07/11/17 4:49 pm; edited 1 time in total
calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/11/17 8:13 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cthskzfn wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 9:

Atlanta 1.5 Dallas 166.5
Phoenix 5 New York 159.5


ATL -1.5
PHO -5


2-0, 18-16


It looks like you are cheating yourself. Your prior record was 16-15, so I think you are 18-15. As for me, I went 1-1 thanks to Phoenix and New York scoring only 57 points in the second half (93 in the first). That leaves me at 50-26.

Hopefully the odds for tomorrow's early games will come out tonight.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 12052
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PostPosted: 07/11/17 4:49 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
cthskzfn wrote:
calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 9:

Atlanta 1.5 Dallas 166.5
Phoenix 5 New York 159.5


ATL -1.5
PHO -5


2-0, 18-16


It looks like you are cheating yourself. Your prior record was 16-15, so I think you are 18-15. As for me, I went 1-1 thanks to Phoenix and New York scoring only 57 points in the second half (93 in the first). That leaves me at 50-26.

Hopefully the odds for tomorrow's early games will come out tonight.


Indeed. Laughing



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/12/17 9:29 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 12:

Indiana 9 San Antonio 157.5
Dallas 3.5 @Chicago 171
Connecticut 4 @Seattle 169
Phoenix 7.5 Atlanta 160

Indiana has played well at home winning their first 5 games, but they have lost their last two. While they have yet to beat a team by double digits at home that is what they have to do today. And the Stars are the perfect team for that. I'll take the Fever. When I took Chicago +14.5 vs. the Lynx I had no idea that they would have covered -14.5. I suspect the Sky will crash down to earth, so I will take the Wings -3.5. The Sun started 1-5 in May, but have been one of the best teams since June 1, going 9-2. The Storm started 4-1 in May but have been 4-8 since. I like the Storm at home, but in this case Connecticut had 3 days off and is playing a day game (3pm eastern instead of 10pm). For that reason I will pass. Phoenix has been playing well, winning its last three games by 8 or more, including wins over Washington and New York, two teams I have ranked higher than the Dream. I'll take the Mercury.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/13/17 12:51 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 13:

Los Angeles 7 Connecticut 167

Yesterday was not good, 0-3. I shouldn't be making decisions that early in the morning. Today I will take Connecticut and just hope they aren't satisfied with 1 win on their west coast trip. The Sun have won 10 of their last 12, but they did play yesterday.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/14/17 5:52 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 14:

Washington 7 @Indiana 164.5
New York 7 Chicago 161.5
Minnesota 6.5 @Phoenix 166.5

The Mystics and Fever are both on 3 game losing streaks.(My losing streak is 4) Emma Meesseman has played well since returning, so in honor of Bastille Day I will take both Washington and the over. Vive La France.

Chicago has gone over the last three games while New York has gone under the last 4. But the Liberty have played much higher scoring games at home. I will take the over.

As for the game of the night, I will just watch.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/15/17 6:32 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 15:

Seattle 6.5 Atlanta 160

Seattle is only 3-8 over the last 11 games, but has two very winnable games leading into the all-star break, today against Atlanta and Tuesday vs. Chicago. Atlanta is 1-6 on the road since winning its first two games, but that 1 win came against Seattle exactly one month ago. I probably could have played Seattle at the opening line of 3.5, but at 6.5 I have to pass. The Storm has gone under in their last 4 games, but in their first game the teams totaled 177 points. Both teams last played Wednesday so they are well rested. If I was going well I'd probably feel more comfortable, but being in a slump I can't be that confident. Still, I will take the over.


calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/16/17 1:26 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Odds for July 16:

New York 6.5 Washington 154
Connecticut 14.5 San Antonio 160
Dallas 6 Chicago 170
Minnesota 15.5 Phoenix 162

Today is a good day to talk about injuries. With EDD and Taylor Hill playing would have been a 3 point favorite. Indeed there were some foreign sportsbooks that posted that line yesterday. That is strange, but anyone who watched their last game knew that Hill would be out, and had to question EDD's status. This morning New York opened a 2.5 point favorite, but the bettors thought that wasn't a big enough adjustment. The line has moved up 4 points to 6.5. The total was also affected, from 159 last night to 155.5 when the game opened this morning to 154 now. The other big injury is Brittney Griner. The Lynx would have been a favorite regardless, probably about 10. The total was 166.5 when they played last week, but without Griner the line was opened at 163 and was bet down to as low as 159 before rebounding to its current spot. Clearly when injuries occur there is an added uncertainty because you don't have the same current information. As a result there is usually more line movement as different bettors evaluate injuries differently. But what really makes it difficult is that the WNBA doesn't even report injuries as a matter of course. As a result that additional uncertainty makes for even bigger moves. It sure would be nice if the league were more forthcoming about injuries.

Last night hopefully marks a turnaround. Seattle went over easily yesterday and I properly stayed off the Storm because of the line move.

Today I'll take Washington as the line move seems to have gotten out of hand. Unless the Mystics just don't play inspired because of the injuries this number looks good. I will also take the Sun over. The Sun totals have gone over 160 points in 12 of their last 13 games. Even though the 1 was against the Stars, I still like this game over. I also like the Wings to bounce back against the Sky. Three plays.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/16/17 2:06 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
Odds for July 16:

New York 6.5 Washington 154
Connecticut 14.5 San Antonio 160
Dallas 6 Chicago 170
Minnesota 15.5 Phoenix 162


NY -6.5
Dallas -6
SA +14.5
Minn -15.5



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/16/17 3:54 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Huskies fan, You must be thinking Kelsey Plum is an all-star.


cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/16/17 4:03 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I'd say the SUN, ESPECIALLY Banham, owed me one, and god bless KP. Smile

Fittingly it was another stupid, idiotic, ridiculous turnover by Banham which effed me in their first game against SA.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/16/17 6:28 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

When a push feels like a win. Laughing



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calbearman76



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PostPosted: 07/16/17 6:28 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

More tremendous handicapping. But why didn't Chicago foul? We deserved a win, not a tie.


Richyyy



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PostPosted: 07/16/17 7:06 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I always think it's incredibly unfair (or incredibly lucky, if you're on the other side) when a spread gets covered in overtime. The difference between the teams was 0 when the game came to it's standard endpoint. If that changes in this extra five minutes they decided to play, I shouldn't be punished for that.



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cthskzfn



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PostPosted: 07/16/17 7:31 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

calbearman76 wrote:
More tremendous handicapping. But why didn't Chicago foul? We deserved a win, not a tie.


lol...greedy, but yeah. Stars would have. Smile



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