RebKell's Junkie Boards

[cthskzfn]

Are there 10?

_________________
Silly, stupid white people might be waking up.

[b1207]

I count 14 that seem legit to me:

Baylor
Duke
Florida State
Maryland
Mississippi State
Notre Dame
Ohio State
Oregon State
South Carolina
Stanford
Tennessee
Texas
UCONN
Washington

[Happycappie25]

Yes...below UConn look at the upsets...look at the margins...you got a lot of good teams who could make a run...last year you had everything unpredictable but the end...I have 15.

The Elephants

UConn - Still undefeated still the champions until defeated

Baylor - Upset by Texas but I still have them here.

The Top Contenders

South Carolina - I'm not Enamored with them...but they win and do very well but they don't have the big game look to them...Losing to Tennessee getting by with a little help from the Ref against Miss State.

Maryland - Unwise seeding be damned, this team has a lot of bullets in the chambers. Played UConn well.

Florida St. - Kinda slipped off some radars after being knocked off by NC State but I think they got the tools to get not just to the f4 but the title game.

Mississippi St. - Honestly Think they are a little overrated...But 1 loss and a spot in the 1 line has its perks. Has to prove they have the 6th gear for Post Season tho...there are 6s and 7s who could certainly crash the party...The fairy godmother's union is in full effect this year as it was last year.

Notre Dame: Been taking steps back but still very dangerous...if not MORE dangerous when forgotten.

Laying in the weeds, ready to pounce:

Stanford - despite the loss to UCLA...they have a good balanced attack and can wreak havoc on the bracket...clear contender

Duke - Hate McCallie, Hate their system but they're racking up wins and can't go against their track record, I'll take em before an Ohio St

Oregon St. - Can the Big Orange Beavers go full frontal one more time and hit the F4? They are leading a pac 12 that is LEGIT and going to pull more than 1 upset. Have got to have the eyes on them.

UCLA - Had them on an extensive List of Cinderellas but the win over Stanford puts them here...for now. I can see it tho..lots of Balance...could pull a UW could even do more than that.

Cinderellas:

Tennessee: They are inconsistent win when they feel like it...but when they feel like it seems to be when the lights are brightest...Can see it...made the E8 with bells on after a year where they needed a big Conference tourney run just to ensure they made the dance...Can NOT count out.

Texas: So the committee wants to touch themselves over SOS...here ya go...rough record due to a near suicidal Non Conference Schedule. Beat Baylor almost had the next tier up but needs to show some consistency and a good draw (aka Not drawing UConn) but a team to be feared.

NC State: The upset kids...yes they have bad losses and a poor SOS and will have a low seed...but if there's another UW in the mix...it'd be them...has proven beyond a reasonable doubt that they're fearless and wont be blinded by the names across from them and they know their name on the front means something. You have marks on the side of your plane of Duke, Louisville, ND, and FSU...you make this list...Period.

UW: Best Player good record, wild card in Oshaor but I wouldn't put them much higher despite a better seed this year...I see them as a bit one dimensional...but are they dangerous...YOU BET. Legit contender...Yes.

The big thing here is there are no mids...but any Power 5 (AAC doesn't count aside from that one obvious one) team who gets a Bid short of maybe a last team in 10 seed IMHO has a shot to make the 16...therefore 15 teams to make it to the 4...this may have the same result (but its not a fete accompli that it was last year) but it wont have the usual suspects...there will be great battles and no matter how much ESPN wants it...UConn is not bulletproof this year.

Lets put it this way I can add 5 fringes in Ohio St, Louisville, Cuse, Kentucky and Michigan and say 20 out of 64 need to be looked at and I wouldn't be put in a straitjacket.

Any Power 5 is dangerous...don't trust the DePauls, Marquettes and USFs of the world but they can't be scoffed at...This tourney will be a lot of fun...if ESPN will show the games and not make insults like they did last year

_________________
"Leave it to the NCAA women's basketball committee to turn a glass slipper into glass ceiling" Graham Hays

[Happycappie25]

[myrtle]

Pretty much agree with HCappie. It also depends a huge amount on matchups. Most of these teams do better/worse depending on the type of opponent... strong running, pressing, athleticism, 3 pt shooting, post play, etc...

I would add Ohio State to the Cinderellas. They have a huge amount of talent if they ever put it all together.

_________________
For there is always light,
if only we’re brave enough to see it.
If only we’re brave enough to be it.
- Amanda Gorman

[Durantula]

My 10:

1. UConn
2. Baylor
3. Notre Dame
4. South Carolina
5. Maryland
6. Florida State
7. UCLA
8. Washington
9. Texas
10. Ohio State

There are definitely more than 10 though this year so that makes things this March maybe a little more exciting than past years. Then again last year you had two Cinderellas make it when no one expected so it would be fitting for this year people to expect chaos and the final 4 to be all 1 seeds. I know I am omitting Mississippi State but I just think some other teams that are ranked lower may have more upside. Clearly they have produced where other more talented teams have not.

[NoDakSt]

[Fighting Artichoke]

[Happycappie25]

[cthskzfn]

Mine, in no order:

UConn
S. Carolina
Maryland
Baylor
FSU
Texas
ND
Duke
MS ST

_________________
Silly, stupid white people might be waking up.

[ucbart]

[dtbtbtb]

I think only 8 teams have a realistic chance:
UConn
Baylor
Florida State
Maryland
Mississippi State
Notre Dame
South Carolina
Texas

[SocksTerp]

[Phil]

UConn
Baylor
Florida State
Louisville

[patsweetpat]

nm

[J-Spoon]

I'm only kind of good at the college game, but here goes 3 tiers of four

likely ff if all goes according to plan

Uconn
Baylor
SC
Maryland

ready to jump in if someone above stumbles

FSU
ND
Oregon ST
Miss ST

top talent can get you places, even inconsistent talent

Washington
Tenn
Ohio St
Texas

[Happycappie25]

[Fighting Artichoke]

[pilight]

Not many people would have picked Syracuse as a likely F4 team last year, but there they were. In my first attempt I wound up with almost 30 teams. I'm working on narrowing it down to 10.

_________________
I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home

[ArtBest23]

[cthskzfn]

[Phil]

[ArtBest23]

[Jlcarter]

I think a lot of it will depend . On how the bracket and seeds are set up.

[Phil]