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The return of the prediction contest

 
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beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
Location: Lost in D.C.


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PostPosted: 10/24/09 10:45 pm    ::: The return of the prediction contest Reply Reply with quote

(It keeps coming back, like your favorite horror movie villain.)

It’s time once again for the (nearly) annual prediction contest. This is for anyone who’s brave enough to predict how your team (or teams) will do during the season. This post is the instructions; the next post is a FAQ.

Last year's top 5, for those who are wondering:

1. fancy_daniel (California) 8.1 points
2. Stephen Shirley (Middle Tennessee) 7.7 points
3. fancy_daniel (UCLA) 6.3 points
4. mercfan3 (UConn) 6.1 points
5. fancy_daniel (Stanford) 4.9 points

The entire standings are available on this thread, almost at the bottom.

Oh, yeah, the rules:

Predict your team’s record in the regular season. You can make up to six (yes, six) predictions:

Worst possible overall record
Most likely overall record
Best possible overall record

Worst possible conference record
Most likely conference record
Best possible conference record

The regular season does not include the conference tournament, so your prediction should be based on only the games currently on the schedule (except for teams in the preseason WNIT, as described below).

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament (except for the Ivy League, where you should predict the team’s finish in the conference)
Your team’s leader in scoring*
Your team’s leading rebounder*
Your team’s leader in assists*
Your team’s leader in steals*

*All of these are totals, not averages, and are through whatever day I do the final calculations.

For purposes of this contest, all games in the preseason NIT count (which means you have to figure out how far your team will go) and you stop predicting at the end of the regular schedule (which means you don’t predict conference tournament results). That pretty much means that any team not in the preseason NIT should have 27 games.

I’m going to score the contest like this:

1 point for reaching the worst possible record
1 point for reaching the most likely record
2 additional points for hitting the most likely record exactly
1 point for hitting the best record exactly
-1 point for a record better than the best predicted record
0.1 points for getting a tiebreaker right
-0.1 points for getting a tiebreaker wrong
(No adjustment if you don’t try to answer a tiebreaker.)

Entries are due before your team plays its first game. You can enter as many times as you want, but you have to have a different team for each entry. You can enter by posting in this thread, sending me a PM on this board or emailing me at beknightedru at aol dot com. I will post all of the entries when the last team has played its first game and will provide updates along the way.

If you have questions, check out the FAQ in the next post.


beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
Location: Lost in D.C.


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PostPosted: 10/24/09 11:01 pm    ::: Re: The return of the prediction contest Reply Reply with quote

The FAQ, as promised, with a brand new example.

1. Can I make the same prediction for best and likely or worst and likely records?

Sure. It may not be prudent, but I won’t stop you.

2. Do I have to predict everything?

No, but you limit the number of points you can get if you don’t predict a best record (or a likely record). If you don’t predict a worst record, I will treat the likely record as your prediction for the worst record for purposes of calculating points.

3. Is there a prize?

You’re kidding, right?

4. How many predictions can I make?

You can make predictions for as many teams as you like, but no more than one set of predictions per team.

5. Suppose I guess wrong about the preseason WNIT or just mess up the number of games?

I will give you credit for everything but the two points for hitting the likely prediction dead on if your team has the number of wins or no more than the number of losses you predict. (E.g., if you say your team’s best possible record is 22-6 and it’s actually 21-6 or 22-5, you will get credit for meeting the “best” prediction.) I will not penalize you for exceeding the “best” prediction unless your team has both more than the number of predicted wins and fewer than the number of predicted losses.

6. When will you post updates and final results?

I'll try for two updates, with the first no sooner than early January, and the final results will be posted once all games are played and all tiebreakers are decided. I will try to post the final results before the NCAA bids are announced, but that depends on my work schedule, etc. I may try to post results to a web site and update them more frequently if I can make it work. If that happens, I will let everyone know.

7. Is there some way I can keep track of how I’m doing?

See above.

8. What is your favorite color?

Blue. No, yel-- auuuuuuuugh!

(This replaces last year's laden swallow joke.)

9. How does the tiebreaker work?

You make as many of the predictions as you want. You get a tenth of a point for each one you get right, but lose a tenth of a point for each one you get wrong. This approach keeps all the players who get a certain number of points ahead of everyone who got one less point and behind everyone who got one more point.

10. Why do I get penalized if my team does better than I predicted?

Well, first of all, in that case you should be happy enough that you were wrong, and not complain. More important, the idea is to predict your team’s record accurately, so of course you should be penalized for guessing wrong.

11. Can you give me an example?

Sure. If L.D. Vol predicts that Tennessee will have a best possible record of 26-3, a likely record of 23-6 and a worst possible record of 22-7 plus a best possible conference record of 12-2, a likely conference record of 13-3 and a worst possible conference record of 10-4, and Tennessee actually goes 25-4 overall and 13-3 in conference, she'd get 2 points for the overall record (1 for hitting the worst possible record and 1 for hitting the likely record) and 4 points for the conference record (1 for hitting the worst possible record, 1 for hitting the likely record and 2 for getting it exactly), for a base total of 6 points.

If she predicted that Tennessee would reach the conference final, made no prediction about the leading scorer, said that Vicki Baugh would lead the team in rebounds, and that Taber Spani would lead in assists and steals, and the team actually won the conference tournament, Baugh led in rebounds, and Spani led in neither assists or steals, she'd lose 0.2 of a point (minus one-tenth each for the conference tournament, assists and steals predictions, plus one-tenth for the rebounding prediction and zero for the leading scorer because she made no prediction). Her final score would, therefore be 6 minus 0.2 or 5.8.

12. Remind me again, what games am I predicting?

All of your team's regular season games before the conference tournament (or, in the Ivy League, any required playoff game). DO NOT include the conference tournament.

If your team is in the preseason WNIT, you just have to guess how well it will do to figure out what to predict. Sorry about that.


newkid



Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 340
Location: Austin, TX


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PostPosted: 10/24/09 11:20 pm    ::: Re: The return of the prediction contest Reply Reply with quote

TEXAS

Worst possible overall record 17-13
Most likely overall record 22-8
Best possible overall record 24-6

Worst possible conference record 8-8
Most likely conference record 11-5
Best possible conference record 13-3

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament
semifinal
Your team’s leader in scoring* Raven
Your team’s leading rebounder* Reed
Your team’s leader in assists* Fontenette
Your team’s leader in steals* Fontenette


goSWIN$22



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Posts: 247
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PostPosted: 10/25/09 9:47 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

UConn

Worst possible overall record: 26-4
Most likely overall record:29-1
Best possible overall record: 30-0

Worst possible conference record 14-2
Most likely conference record 16-0
Best possible conference record 16-0

The regular season does not include the conference tournament, so your prediction should be based on only the games currently on the schedule (except for teams in the preseason WNIT, as described below).

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament (except for the Ivy League, where you should predict the team’s finish in the conference) Win League Postseason Championship

Your team’s leader in scoring* Maya Moore
Your team’s leading rebounder* Tina Charles
Your team’s leader in assists* Lorin Dixon
Your team’s leader in steals* Tiffany Hayes

*All of these are totals, not averages, and are through whatever day I do the final calculations.



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pilight



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PostPosted: 10/25/09 10:22 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Mercer

Best possible 26-3
Worst possible 6-23
Likely 17-12

Best conference 20-0
Worst conference 5-15
Likely conference 13-7

ASun tournament: semifinals
Leading scorer Courtney Ford
Leading rebounder Courtney Ford
Leading assists LaToya Jackson
Leading steals Courtney Ford



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pasteurize



Joined: 07 Oct 2008
Posts: 177
Location: Queens, NY


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PostPosted: 10/25/09 4:53 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Well, I was awful last year... but here goes again!

Rutgers

Worst possible overall record 18-12
Most likely overall record 22-8
Best possible overall record 24-6

Worst possible conference record 9-7
Most likely conference record 12-4
Best possible conference record 14-2

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament* semifinal
Your team’s leader in scoring* Rushdan
Your team’s leading rebounder* Junaid
Your team’s leader in assists* Speed
Your team’s leader in steals* Ray


Queenie



Joined: 18 Nov 2004
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PostPosted: 10/26/09 10:46 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I don't think I've played this before, so if I end up looking like a complete idiot, don't laugh too hard at me, 'kay?

St. John's

Worst possible overall record: 13-14
Most likely overall record: 19-8
Best possible overall record: 23-4

Lot of variance? We have five freshmen and the Big East is in flux. We almost lost at home to Monmouth, then played UConn to 13 in the same season.

Worst possible conference record: 5-10
Most likely conference record: 8-7
Best possible conference record: 12-3

Our BEast schedule is jacked up. We can either be epic win or epic fail.

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Quarterfinals
Your team’s leader in scoring: Da'Shena Stevens
Your team’s leading rebounder: Da'Shena Stevens
Your team’s leader in assists: Sky Lindsay (but not by much)
Your team’s leader in steals: Joy McCorvey



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bricklayer



Joined: 30 Jan 2009
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PostPosted: 10/26/09 3:07 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Hawaii

Worst possible overall record: 6-23
Most likely overall record: 9-20
Best possible overall record: 13-16

Worst possible conference record: 3-13
Most likely conference record: 6-10
Best possible conference record: 8-8

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: First Round
Your team’s leader in scoring: Keisha Kanekoa
Your team’s leading rebounder: Dita Liepkalne
Your team’s leader in assists: Keisha Kanekoa
Your team’s leader in steals: Keisha Kanekoa


bricklayer



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Posts: 992
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PostPosted: 10/26/09 3:14 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Stanford

Worst possible overall record: 21-8
Most likely overall record: 25-4
Best possible overall record: 28-1

Worst possible conference record: 14-4
Most likely conference record: 16-2
Best possible conference record: 18-0

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Champion
Your team’s leader in scoring: Jayne Appel
Your team’s leading rebounder: Jayne Appel
Your team’s leader in assists: JJ Hones
Your team’s leader in steals: Jeanette Pohlen


bricklayer



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PostPosted: 10/26/09 3:44 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Portland State

Worst possible overall record: 17-12
Most likely overall record: 21-8
Best possible overall record: 24-5

Worst possible conference record: 10-6
Most likely conference record: 13-3
Best possible conference record: 14-2

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Champion
Your team’s leader in scoring: Claire Faucher
Your team’s leading rebounder: Kelli Valentine
Your team’s leader in assists: Claire Faucher
Your team’s leader in steals: Claire Faucher


beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
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PostPosted: 10/26/09 4:46 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Queenie wrote:
I don't think I've played this before, so if I end up looking like a complete idiot, don't laugh too hard at me, 'kay?


But, wait - that's part of the fun!


Queenie



Joined: 18 Nov 2004
Posts: 8016
Location: Queens


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PostPosted: 10/26/09 5:24 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

beknighted wrote:
Queenie wrote:
I don't think I've played this before, so if I end up looking like a complete idiot, don't laugh too hard at me, 'kay?


But, wait - that's part of the fun!


"Too hard" is the operative clause.



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beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
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PostPosted: 10/26/09 9:00 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Queenie wrote:
beknighted wrote:
Queenie wrote:
I don't think I've played this before, so if I end up looking like a complete idiot, don't laugh too hard at me, 'kay?


But, wait - that's part of the fun!


"Too hard" is the operative clause.


I hate to think how much people were laughing at me last year - I ended up with 1.1 points out of a possible 8.5.


sbjules



Joined: 22 Dec 2004
Posts: 2200



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PostPosted: 10/26/09 9:11 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

UCSB. It'll be an interesting year, I think. I have no idea what will happen, really. Five freshmen, a couple of them will be quite good, I think.

Worse overall record 20-10
Most likely overall record 23-7
Best possible overall records 27-3

Worst possible conference 13-3
Most likely conference record 14-2
Best possible conference records 16-0

Will win conference tournament

Team's leader in scoring Mekia Valentine
Team's leader in rebounds Mekia Valentine
Team's leader in assists Emilie Johnson
Team's leader in steals Meagan Williams


deanjet



Joined: 03 Nov 2004
Posts: 364



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PostPosted: 10/27/09 7:38 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Arkansas

Worst possible overall record: 13-16
Most likely overall record: 20-9
Best possible overall record: 23-6

Worst possible conference record: 6-10
Most likely conference record: 9-7
Best possible conference record: 11-5

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Quarterfinals
Your team’s leader in scoring: C'eira Ricketts
Your team’s leading rebounder: Ashley McCray
Your team’s leader in assists: C'eira Ricketts
Your team’s leader in steals: C'eira Ricketts



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SouthernFan



Joined: 06 Feb 2009
Posts: 206



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PostPosted: 10/27/09 8:32 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

South Carolina

Worst possible overall record: 14-14
Most likely overall record:19-9
Best possible overall record : 22-6

Worst possible conference record: 5-11
Most likely conference record:9-7
Best possible conference record: 11-5

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: 2nd round
Your team’s leader in scoring* Kelsey Bone
Your team’s leading rebounder* Charenee Stephens
Your team’s leader in assists* Lakeisha Sutton
Your team’s leader in steals* Lakeisha Sutton


goldy



Joined: 08 Apr 2009
Posts: 423



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PostPosted: 10/28/09 2:46 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS

Worst possible overall record: 16-13
Most likely overall record: 19-10
Best possible overall record : 20-9

Worst possible conference record: 7-11
Most likely conference record: 11-7
Best possible conference record: 13-5

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Semifinals
Your team’s leader in scoring* Ashley Ellis-Milan
Your team’s leading rebounder* Ashley Ellis-Milan
Your team’s leader in assists* Brittany McCoy
Your team’s leader in steals* Brittany McCoy


bullsky



Joined: 04 Jun 2005
Posts: 17713



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PostPosted: 10/28/09 9:25 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Illinois Fighting Illini

Worst possible overall record: 13-15
Most likely overall record: 19-9
Best possible overall record: 22-6

Worst possible conference record : 6-12
Most likely conference record 10-8
Best possible conference record 14-4

How far your team will get in the conference tournament (except for the Ivy League, where you should predict the team’s finish in the conference) : Title Game

Your team’s leader in scoring: Jenna Smith
Your team’s leading rebounder: Destiny Williams
Your team’s leader in assists: Lydia McCully
Your team’s leader in steals: Lacey Simpson



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bacabuck



Joined: 28 May 2009
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PostPosted: 10/28/09 3:53 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The Ohio State University

Worst possible overall record: 27-5
Most likely overall record: 29-3
Best possible overall record : 32-0

Worst possible conference record: 15-3
Most likely conference record: 17-1
Best possible conference record: 18-0

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Champion
Your team’s leader in scoring* Jantel Lavender
Your team’s leading rebounder* Jantel Lavender
Your team’s leader in assists* Samantha Prahalis
Your team’s leader in steals* Shavelle Little


cattekin



Joined: 26 Apr 2007
Posts: 172
Location: San Mateo, Calif.


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PostPosted: 10/30/09 3:40 am    ::: Re: The return of the prediction contest Reply Reply with quote

University of the Pacific

Worst possible overall record 11-17
Most likely overall record 13-15
Best possible overall record 15-13

Worst possible conference record 6-10
Most likely conference record 7-9
Best possible conference record 8-8

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Quarterfinal

Your team’s leader in scoring: Gretchen Tiernan
Your team’s leading rebounder: Andrea Swanson
Your team’s leader in assists: Eliza Dy
Your team’s leader in steals: Eliza Dy


cattekin



Joined: 26 Apr 2007
Posts: 172
Location: San Mateo, Calif.


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PostPosted: 10/30/09 4:42 am    ::: Re: The return of the prediction contest Reply Reply with quote

UC Davis

Worst possible overall record 17-11
Most likely overall record 20-9
Best possible overall record 23-6

Worst possible conference record 11-5
Most likely conference record 13-3
Best possible conference record 14-2

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Champion

Your team’s leader in scoring: Haylee Donaghe
Your team’s leading rebounder: Paige Mintun
Your team’s leader in assists: Anna Harp
Your team’s leader in steals: Haylee Donaghe


cattekin



Joined: 26 Apr 2007
Posts: 172
Location: San Mateo, Calif.


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PostPosted: 10/30/09 4:56 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

sbjules wrote:
UCSB

Team's leader in scoring Mekia Valentine
Team's leader in rebounds Mekia Valentine
Team's leader in assists Emilie Johnson
Team's leader in steals Meagan Williams


UCSB leader in intelligent plays that don't show in the stat sheet: Jordan Franey

How many other preseason all-conference picks probably won't lead their team in some statistical category?

Oh, how I love Franey. If UC Davis doesn't have the huge year I think the Aggies should have, then I hope the Gauchos hang on until the second round of the NCAA regional at Arco Arena.


ScottS



Joined: 16 Jan 2009
Posts: 210



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PostPosted: 10/30/09 6:38 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Baylor

Worst possible overall record: 22-8
Most likely overall record: 26-4
Best possible overall record : 30-0

Worst possible conference record: 13-3
Most likely conference record: 14-2
Best possible conference record: 16-0

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Finals
Your team’s leader in scoring* Britney Griner
Your team’s leading rebounder* Britney Griner
Your team’s leader in assists* Melissa Jones
Your team’s leader in steals* Melissa Jones


sbjules



Joined: 22 Dec 2004
Posts: 2200



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PostPosted: 10/30/09 10:06 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

cattekin wrote:
sbjules wrote:
UCSB

Team's leader in scoring Mekia Valentine
Team's leader in rebounds Mekia Valentine
Team's leader in assists Emilie Johnson
Team's leader in steals Meagan Williams


UCSB leader in intelligent plays that don't show in the stat sheet: Jordan Franey

How many other preseason all-conference picks probably won't lead their team in some statistical category?

Oh, how I love Franey. If UC Davis doesn't have the huge year I think the Aggies should have, then I hope the Gauchos hang on until the second round of the NCAA regional at Arco Arena.


I'm a big fan of Franey also. We call her floor burn Franey. She even did her dive after the ball in the practice we went to.

I've been hearing a lot about UCDavis, it should be a battle this year.


Stephen Shirley



Joined: 18 Dec 2006
Posts: 344



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PostPosted: 10/30/09 10:36 am    ::: Re: The return of the prediction contest Reply Reply with quote

Middle TN

Worst possible overall record -- 0-27 (Is this a gimme question or what?)
Most likely overall record -- 22-5
Best possible overall record -- 25-2

Worst possible conference record -- 0-18 (Chalk up another point)
Most likely conference record -- 16-2
Best possible conference record -- 18-0

How far your team will get in the conference tournament -- Champs
Your team’s leader in scoring -- Alysha Clark (duh)
Your team’s leading rebounder -- Alysha Clark
Your team’s leader in assists -- Chelsia Lymon
Your team’s leader in steals --Chelsia Lymon


newkid



Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 340
Location: Austin, TX


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PostPosted: 10/30/09 3:35 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I think ScottS has been drinking the green kool-aid. In the spirit of friendly competition, I submit my Horn's eye view of Baylor's 2009-10 season. Wink

Baylor

Worst possible overall record: 20-10
Most likely overall record: 24-6
Best possible overall record : 26-4

Worst possible conference record: 10-6
Most likely conference record: 12-4
Best possible conference record: 13-3

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Finals
Your team’s leader in scoring* Melissa Jones
Your team’s leading rebounder* Britney Griner
Your team’s leader in assists* Kelli Griffin
Your team’s leader in steals* Melissa Jones


ScottS



Joined: 16 Jan 2009
Posts: 210



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PostPosted: 10/30/09 4:24 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

NewKid,
Your numbers are not much different from mine. But, we are ranked #7. I also don't think you took a close look at our non-conference schedule.


YourCrimsonNightmare



Joined: 12 Dec 2006
Posts: 86



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PostPosted: 10/30/09 11:06 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Oklahoma

The new era arrives...


Worst possible overall record 21-9
Most likely overall record 24-6
Best possible overall record 26-4

Worst possible conference record 9-7
Most likely conference record 12-4
Best possible conference record 14-2

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: runnerup.

Your team’s leader in scoring: Whitney Hand
Your team’s leading rebounder: Joanna McFarland
Your team’s leader in assists: Danielle Robinson
Your team’s leader in steals: Danielle Robinson


newkid



Joined: 27 Jun 2008
Posts: 340
Location: Austin, TX


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PostPosted: 10/30/09 11:55 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

ScottS wrote:
NewKid,
Your numbers are not much different from mine. But, we are ranked #7. I also don't think you took a close look at our non-conference schedule.


In conference play, my best possible is your worst possible. That's the main difference. I expect more from OK than apparently many folks do. I think Griner will be amazing, but I don't think it will be this year. I am really looking forward to seeing her on TV soon, and in person later in the season.


beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
Location: Lost in D.C.


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PostPosted: 11/03/09 9:55 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

bump

Remember, you can enter any time up to tip-off in your team's first regular season game.


ScottS



Joined: 16 Jan 2009
Posts: 210



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PostPosted: 11/03/09 11:44 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

newkid wrote:
ScottS wrote:
NewKid,
Your numbers are not much different from mine. But, we are ranked #7. I also don't think you took a close look at our non-conference schedule.


In conference play, my best possible is your worst possible. That's the main difference. I expect more from OK than apparently many folks do. I think Griner will be amazing, but I don't think it will be this year. I am really looking forward to seeing her on TV soon, and in person later in the season.


New Kid,
The way I did mine was take all the games I considered tough and having us go 50% in those. Now mind you, we are ranked ahead of everyone on our schedule. So while you might say I'm "drinking the koolaid", others might say my prediction is too low.


fancy_daniel



Joined: 12 Oct 2005
Posts: 4038
Location: Los Angeles


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PostPosted: 11/03/09 4:48 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Stanford

Worst possible overall record - 24-5
Most likely overall record - 27-2
Best possible overall record - 29-0

Worst possible conference record - 16-2
Most likely conference record - 17-1
Best possible conference record - 18-0

How far your team will get in the conference tournament - Champion
Your team’s leader in scoring* - Jayne Appel
Your team’s leading rebounder* - Jayne Appel
Your team’s leader in assists* - Jeanette Pohlen
Your team’s leader in steals* - Jeanette Pohlen


Kailapea



Joined: 28 Feb 2006
Posts: 571
Location: Northridge, CA


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PostPosted: 11/03/09 7:31 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

UCLA

Worst possible overall record: 15-14
Most likely overall record: 20 - 9
Best possible overall record: 24-5

Worst possible conference record: 6-12
Most likely conference record: 12 - 6
Best possible conference record: 16-2

The regular season does not include the conference tournament, so your prediction should be based on only the games currently on the schedule (except for teams in the preseason WNIT, as described below).

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament (except for the Ivy League, where you should predict the team’s finish in the conference)

Play for the conference championship

Your team’s leader in scoring* - Dorena Campbell
Your team’s leading rebounder* - Christina Nzekwe
Your team’s leader in assists* - Dorena Campbell
Your team’s leader in steals* - Darxia Morris

*All of these are totals, not averages, and are through whatever day I do the final calculations.



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fancy_daniel



Joined: 12 Oct 2005
Posts: 4038
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PostPosted: 11/04/09 2:49 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

California

Worst possible overall record - 18-11
Most likely overall record - 22-7
Best possible overall record - 25-4

Worst possible conference record - 11-7
Most likely conference record - 13-5
Best possible conference record - 15-3

How far your team will get in the conference tournament – Semifinals
Your team’s leader in scoring* - Alexis Gray-Lawson
Your team’s leading rebounder* - Brenna Heater
Your team’s leader in assists* - Natasha Vital
Your team’s leader in steals* - Lauren Greif


beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
Location: Lost in D.C.


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PostPosted: 11/04/09 10:34 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

We now have more entries than last year.

Just as a reminder, the preseason WNIT kicks off on November 13. I'm not sure if anyone has a game scheduled before then.


fancy_daniel



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Posts: 4038
Location: Los Angeles


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PostPosted: 11/04/09 5:21 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Washington

Worst possible overall record - 13-5
Most likely overall record - 18-10
Best possible overall record - 21-7

Worst possible conference record - 7-11
Most likely conference record - 10-8
Best possible conference record - 13-5

How far your team will get in the conference tournament - Quarters
Your team’s leader in scoring* - Sami Whitcomb
Your team’s leading rebounder* - Regina Rogers
Your team’s leader in assists* - Christina Rozier
Your team’s leader in steals* - Sami Whitcomb


beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
Location: Lost in D.C.


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PostPosted: 11/07/09 8:23 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

We're up to 24 entries now (plus mine, which won't come before Friday).

Can we get it up to 30?


ajdawg7



Joined: 19 Aug 2005
Posts: 408



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PostPosted: 11/11/09 12:51 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Washington

Worst Possible Overall Record 8-20
Most Likely Overall Record 11-17
Best Possible Overall Record 16-12

Worst Possible Conference Record 3-15
Most Likely Conference Record 6-10
Best Possible Conference Record 9-9

Distance in Conference Tourney - Quarters
Team Leader in Scoring - Sami Whitcomb
Team Leader in Rebounding - Regina Rogers
Team Leader in Assists - Sami Whitcomb or Sarah Morton
Team Leader in Steals - Sami Whitcomb



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NoDakSt



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PostPosted: 11/11/09 1:33 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

North Dakota State

Worst Possible Overall Record 17 - 12
Most Likely Overall Record 20 -9
Best Possible Overall Record 23-6

Worst Possible Conference Record 12-6
Most Likely Conference Record 14-4
Best Possible Conference Record 16-2

Distance in Conference Tourney - Finals (will fall to SoDakSt
Team Leader in Scoring - Abby Plucker
Team Leader in Rebounding - Abbly Plucker
Team Leader in Assists - Katie Birkel
Team Leader in Steals - Ashley Samuelson



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Bretter



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PostPosted: 11/11/09 4:37 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Kansas Jayhawks! I hope I added these up right..

Worst possible overall record 19-10
Most likely overall record 21-8
Best possible overall record 25-4

Worst possible conference record 9-7
Most likely conference record 11-5
Best possible conference record 14-2

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament* Finals
Your team’s leader in scoring* McCray
Your team’s leading rebounder* Sutherland
Your team’s leader in assists* Goodrich
Your team’s leader in steals* McCray


JayeRunner



Joined: 09 Apr 2005
Posts: 436



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PostPosted: 11/11/09 10:45 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The Ohio State University

Worst possible overall record: 26-4
Most likely overall record: 27-3
Best possible overall record: 28-2

Worst possible conference record: 16-2
Most likely conference record: 17-1
Best possible conference record: 18-0


For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament: Champions
Your team’s leader in scoring* Jantel Lavender
Your team’s leading rebounder* Jantel Lavender
Your team’s leader in assists* Samantha Prahalis (who, from her picture on the OSU website, appears to have gotten rid of the bangs!)
http://www.ohiostatebuckeyes.com/ViewArticle.dbml?SPSID=87814&SPID=10422&DB_OEM_ID=17300&ATCLID=1513584&Q_SEASON=2009
Your team’s leader in steals* Shavelle Little


RUscarlet77



Joined: 27 Nov 2005
Posts: 31



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PostPosted: 11/11/09 11:21 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Rutgers

Worst possible overall record 18-12
Most likely overall record 23-7
Best possible overall record 25-5

Worst possible conference record 10-6
Most likely conference record 13-3
Best possible conference record 14-2

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament* semifinal
Your team’s leader in scoring* Rushdan
Your team’s leading rebounder* McCurdy
Your team’s leader in assists* Speed
Your team’s leader in steals* Ray


fancy_daniel



Joined: 12 Oct 2005
Posts: 4038
Location: Los Angeles


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PostPosted: 11/13/09 12:17 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Arizona State

Worst possible overall record - 15-14
Most likely overall record - 19-10
Best possible overall record - 22-7

Worst possible conference record - 8-10
Most likely conference record - 11-7
Best possible conference record - 13-5

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament* semifinal
Your team’s leader in scoring* - Danielle Orsillo
Your team’s leading rebounder* - Kali Bennett
Your team’s leader in assists* - Sabrina McKinney
Your team’s leader in steals* - Tenaya Watson


fancy_daniel



Joined: 12 Oct 2005
Posts: 4038
Location: Los Angeles


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PostPosted: 11/13/09 12:32 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

UCLA

Worst possible overall record – 16-13
Most likely overall record – 21-8
Best possible overall record - 24-5

Worst possible conference record – 9-9
Most likely conference record – 12-6
Best possible conference record – 14-4

How far your team will get in the conference tournament - Finals
Your team’s leader in scoring – Doreena Campbell
Your team’s leading rebounder – Atonye Nyingfa
Your team’s leader in assists – Doreena Campbell
Your team’s leader in steals – Nina Earl


icey23



Joined: 23 Sep 2004
Posts: 4934
Location: Campus of LSU,Louisiana


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PostPosted: 11/13/09 2:58 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

LSU


Worst possible overall record - 15-17
Most likely overall record - 28-5
Best possible overall record - 32-1

Worst possible conference record - 6-10
Most likely conference record - 14-2
Best possible conference record - 16-0

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament* Finals
Your team’s leader in scoring* - Hightower
Your team’s leading rebounder* - Black
Your team’s leader in assists* - Eason
Your team’s leader in steals* -Grahm



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beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
Location: Lost in D.C.


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PostPosted: 11/13/09 3:32 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I think we may have a record number of entrants already.

Remember, you can enter until tip-off of your team's first game.

Enter by posting here, by sending me a PM or by sending email to beknightedru@aol.com.


beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
Location: Lost in D.C.


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PostPosted: 11/13/09 10:14 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Rutgers

This is such a crapshoot this year, but I've been humiliated before.

Worst possible overall record - 17-12
Most likely overall record - 22-7
Best possible overall record - 26-3

Worst possible conference record - 9-7
Most likely conference record - 12-4
Best possible conference record - 15-1

For tiebreaking purposes, also predict any or all of the following:

How far your team will get in the conference tournament - Semifinals
Your team’s leader in scoring - Ray
Your team’s leading rebounder - Oliver
Your team’s leader in assists - Rushdan
Your team’s leader in steals - Rushdan

Oh, all my totals ignore the game against a D-III team, Kean University, which doesn't count for NCAA purposes, but I'm assuming it's a win.


beknighted



Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 4376
Location: Lost in D.C.


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PostPosted: 11/15/09 9:57 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Bumped one more time. We're up to 33 entries.


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