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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:05 pm ::: All-Defense Teams |
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All-Defense Teams: I know these will spark some debate, especially the presence of DMJ and Wauters on the first team. I tried to include players who reflect the league leading teams statistically in opponents' FG % to a reasonable extent. LA still leads in that category, and since most agree that backcourt defense has not been what has spurred them on, and DMJ usually guards a top player on the other team, that's gotta count for something. Some of these players might struggle in one form of defense, but excel in another form which makes up for it. Like, you don't want Tina Thompson out in space, but in terms of interior defense she is strong. Also, her team is very good defensively. Michelle Snow is solid close to the basket but not great in space. She is also an active help defender, and a big reason why her team is strong defensively...so in spite of her negative past rep, I included her. Moore is another example of a player who occasionally gets beaten by quicker players, but uses her size and physicality to annoy others. Also, she is one of the league's best double-teaming guards, which makes her an integral part of NY's defensive scheme. When she was out, we saw just how significant her role was in the Liberty D. Most of the others were no-brainers. Leslie has definitely lost a step, but still has enough physical ability and smarts to make the list. Not to mention how much LA's defense suffers in her absence. Lauren Jackson's DPOY last season was probably a reach, but she is still certainly a strong defender who alters the way offenses attack Seattle. I added Catchings on the benefit of her recent performance.
Others who I considered included Amber Holt, Alexis Hornbuckle, Essence Carson, Nicky Anosike, Taj McWilliams-Franklin and Vickie Johnson. It's hard with rookies because they show flashes of brilliance and flashes of inconsistency. Plus, they don't all play extended minutes. Essence is an example. She has had shutdown games this season against Nolan and Douglas, but she has also struggled with the savvy of Lawson and Whalen.
And it's hard to defend anyone in games where you spend 25-30 minutes on the bench, regardless of how good you are when you are out there.
Here it is. Fire away.
Position Player Team Distinction
G T. Penicheiro SAC 1ST TEAM
G D. Nolan DET 1ST TEAM
F K. Smith DET 1ST TEAM
F D. Milton-Jones LA 1ST TEAM
C A. Wauters SA 1ST TEAM
G T. Bevilaqua IND 2ND TEAM
G A. Beard WAS 2ND TEAM
F K. Douglas IND 2ND TEAM
F L. Jackson SEA 2ND TEAM
C L. Leslie LA 2ND TEAM
G L. Moore NY 3RD TEAM
G T. Wright SEA 3RD TEAM
F T. Catchings IND 3RD TEAM
F T. Thompson HOU 3RD TEAM
C M. Snow HOU 3RD TEAM
C T. Sutton-Brown IND 3RD TEAM
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Thrillrider08

Joined: 04 Jun 2007 Posts: 12140 Location: Indianapolis, IN
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:07 pm ::: |
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4 players from Indiana You better believe it. |
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DTP
Joined: 24 Dec 2005 Posts: 5925 Location: Flint Mi
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:12 pm ::: |
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I think Pierson and Ford are a little too underrated defensively. And if there was a third team give me Hornbuckle and Wiggins over Moore and Wright and Anosike over TSB and Snow._________________ www.myspace.com/dtp_3
"Thousands of hearts broken so a billionaire can save a minute fraction of her wealth...This is just beyond sad."
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:16 pm ::: |
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| Yeah I considered Pierson more strongly than Ford...only because Ford struggled a good deal early in the year due to her injuries. In past seasons Ford would rightfully have been first team and has probably been somewhat underrated defensively through her career. To me Pierson is solid but less consistent than some....though I could see adding her.
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toad455

Joined: 16 Nov 2005 Posts: 3060
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:19 pm ::: |
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FIRST TEAM
G-T. Bevilaqua, IND
G-D. Nolan, DET
F-K. Douglas, IND
F-L. Jackson, SEA
C-L. Leslie, LAS
SECOND TEAM
G-T. Penicheiro, SAC
G-L. Moore, NYL
F-K. Smith, DET
F-C. Parker, LAS
C-N. Anosike, MIN
THIRD TEAM
G-A. Hornbuckle, DET
G-A. Beard, WAS
F-T. Thompson, HOU
F-T. Catchings, IND
C-A. Wauters, SAN
_________________ LET'S GO LIBERTY!!!!!!
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Thrillrider08

Joined: 04 Jun 2007 Posts: 12140 Location: Indianapolis, IN
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:19 pm ::: |
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| DTP wrote: |
| I think Pierson and Ford are a little too underrated defensively. And if there was a third team give me Hornbuckle and Wiggins over Moore and Wright and Anosike over TSB and Snow. |
Please! TSB is 4th in blocks and top 15 in rebounding. Anosike over Snow and Hornbuckle over Moore I agree with. |
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UTexRulz23

Joined: 17 Jun 2006 Posts: 2567 Location: Austin, Texas
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:24 pm ::: |
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| Toads looks pretty similar to what mine would look like.
_________________ The Houston Comets disbanding will always be the biggest black cloud in the history of the WNBA. Pitiful.
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Richyyy

Joined: 17 Nov 2005 Posts: 9300 Location: London
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:25 pm ::: |
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| Thrillrider08 wrote: |
| DTP wrote: |
| I think Pierson and Ford are a little too underrated defensively. And if there was a third team give me Hornbuckle and Wiggins over Moore and Wright and Anosike over TSB and Snow. |
Please! TSB is 4th in blocks and top 15 in rebounding. Anosike over Snow and Hornbuckle over Moore I agree with. |
Anosike's top 15 in rebounding as well, leading the league in steals and 11th in blocks. She's played her way into the argument.
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GEF34

Joined: 23 Jul 2008 Posts: 6632 Location: Los Angeles
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:25 pm ::: |
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First Team
Tully Bevilaqua, Indiana Fever
Deanna Nolan, Detroit Shock
Lisa Leslie, Los Angeles Sparks
DeLisha Milton-Jones, Los Angeles Sparks
Katie Douglas, Indiana Fever
Second Team
Alexis Hornbuckle, Detroit Shock
Katie Smith, Detroit Shock
Tammy Sutton-Brown, Indiana Fever
Lauren Jackson, Seattle Storm
Candace Parker, Los Angeles Sparks
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:27 pm ::: |
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| Yes. With a number of really good rookies on the defensive end, there's lots of room for debate. I don't think you can go too wrong either way with Anosike or Sutton-Brown. Or with Hornbuckle and Wiggins vs. other perimeter players.
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DTP
Joined: 24 Dec 2005 Posts: 5925 Location: Flint Mi
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Posted: 07/29/08 10:31 pm ::: |
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First Team:
G- Smith, Det
G- Nolan, Det
F- Douglas, Ind
F- Jackson, Sea
C- Leslie, LAS
Second Team:
G- Bevilaqua, Ind
G Hornbuckle, Det
F- Catchings, Ind
F- Ford, Det
C- Anosike, Min
 _________________ www.myspace.com/dtp_3
"Thousands of hearts broken so a billionaire can save a minute fraction of her wealth...This is just beyond sad."
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potd41
Joined: 27 Nov 2004 Posts: 1999 Location: Mesa,AZ
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mercfan3

Joined: 23 Nov 2004 Posts: 12166
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Posted: 07/30/08 12:33 am ::: |
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Chelsea Newton should be first team, IMO.
Ticha
Smith
Newton
Anosike
Leslie
_________________ TALENT
What it takes to play a gay pirate, a gay candymaker, and a gay mad hatter, and still land a role as John Dilinger.
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 07/30/08 12:34 am ::: Re: All-Defense Teams |
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All-Defense Teams: I know these will spark some debate, especially the presence of DMJ and Wauters on the first team. I tried to include players who reflect the league leading teams statistically in opponents' FG % to a reasonable extent. LA still leads in that category, and since most agree that backcourt defense has not been what has spurred them on, and DMJ usually guards a top player on the other team, that's gotta count for something. Some of these players might struggle in one form of defense, but excel in another form which makes up for it. Like, you don't want Tina Thompson out in space, but in terms of interior defense she is strong. Also, her team is very good defensively. Michelle Snow is solid close to the basket but not great in space. She is also an active help defender, and a big reason why her team is strong defensively...so in spite of her negative past rep, I included her. Moore is another example of a player who occasionally gets beaten by quicker players, but uses her size and physicality to annoy others. Also, she is one of the league's best double-teaming guards, which makes her an integral part of NY's defensive scheme. When she was out, we saw just how significant her role was in the Liberty D. Most of the others were no-brainers. Leslie has definitely lost a step, but still has enough physical ability and smarts to make the list. Not to mention how much LA's defense suffers in her absence. Lauren Jackson's DPOY last season was probably a reach, but she is still certainly a strong defender who alters the way offenses attack Seattle. I added Catchings on the benefit of her recent performance.
Others who I considered included Amber Holt, Alexis Hornbuckle, Essence Carson, Nicky Anosike, Taj McWilliams-Franklin and Vickie Johnson. It's hard with rookies because they show flashes of brilliance and flashes of inconsistency. Plus, they don't all play extended minutes. Essence is an example. She has had shutdown games this season against Nolan and Douglas, but she has also struggled with the savvy of Lawson and Whalen.
And it's hard to defend anyone in games where you spend 25-30 minutes on the bench, regardless of how good you are when you are out there.
Here it is. Fire away.
Position Player Team Distinction
G T. Penicheiro SAC 1ST TEAM
G D. Nolan DET 1ST TEAM
F K. Smith DET 1ST TEAM
F D. Milton-Jones LA 1ST TEAM
C A. Wauters SA 1ST TEAM
G T. Bevilaqua IND 2ND TEAM
G A. Beard WAS 2ND TEAM
F K. Douglas IND 2ND TEAM
F L. Jackson SEA 2ND TEAM
C L. Leslie LA 2ND TEAM
G L. Moore NY 3RD TEAM
G C. Newton SAC 3RD TEAM
F T. Catchings IND 3RD TEAM
F T. Thompson HOU 3RD TEAM
C M. Snow HOU 3RD TEAM
C T. Sutton-Brown IND 3RD TEAM
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 07/30/08 12:35 am ::: |
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| Edited to include Newton as third team.
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p_d_swanson

Joined: 01 Dec 2004 Posts: 5661
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Posted: 07/30/08 12:57 am ::: |
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Net Defense Plus/Minus Leaders
(min. 500 Minutes Played)
+10.1 -- Nakia Sanford, Was.
+6.9 -- Chasity Melvin, Chi.
+6.4 -- Lauren Jackson, Sea.
+5.9 -- Sheryl Swoopes, Sea.
+5.8 -- Janel McCarville, N.Y.
+5.6 -- Cheryl Ford, Det.
+5.6 -- Michelle Snow, Hou.
+5.1 -- Seimone Augustus, Min.
+4.3 -- Hamchetou Maiga-Ba, Hou.
+3.7 -- Monique Currie, Was.
+3.6 -- Erin Buescher, S.A.
+3.2 -- Ticha Penicheiro, Sac.
+3.2 -- Rebekkah Brunson, Sac.
+3.2 -- Lisa Leslie, L.A.
+3.1 -- Cathrine Kraayeveld, N.Y.
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luvDhoops

Joined: 24 Jun 2005 Posts: 5223
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Posted: 07/30/08 1:04 am ::: |
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| Richyyy wrote: |
| Thrillrider08 wrote: |
| DTP wrote: |
| I think Pierson and Ford are a little too underrated defensively. And if there was a third team give me Hornbuckle and Wiggins over Moore and Wright and Anosike over TSB and Snow. |
Please! TSB is 4th in blocks and top 15 in rebounding. Anosike over Snow and Hornbuckle over Moore I agree with. |
Anosike's top 15 in rebounding as well, leading the league in steals and 11th in blocks. She's played her way into the argument. |
Someone in another thread said they thought Parker should be strongly considered. I hadn't thought about it until I read this. Parker is 2nd in blocks, 15th in steals (I think) and 1st in rebounds (mostly defensive boards). I've never paid much attention to this honor in the past. Don't know what is typically looked at.
_________________ I'm a real rebel with a cause.
- Nina Simone
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QMcCall3
Joined: 27 Jun 2008 Posts: 175
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Posted: 08/05/08 1:39 pm ::: |
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There aren't any perfect defensive statistics, but here's an approach to choosing All-Defensive teams with statistics:
http://rethinkbball.blogspot.com/2008/08/olympic-break-all-defensive-teams-yield.html
Parker should definitely be considered based on her numbers:
A few surprises (to me): Sheryl Swoopes, Janel McCarville, Sancho Lyttle (honorable mention), Seimone Augustus (honorable mention), and Morenike Atunrase (honorable mention).
DPOY: Lisa Leslie_________________ http://www.swishappeal.com
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"Basketball is like poetry in motion. Just comin' down the court, you got a defender in your way. You take him to the left. You take him back to the right. And he's fallin' back, and you just "J" right in his face. And then you look at him, and then you say, "What?" - Jesus Shuttlesworth  |
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BCBG25

Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 17954 Location: Sampa
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Posted: 08/05/08 7:30 pm ::: |
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| Moore should be nowhere near a defensive team this year. She has been torched by almost every PG in the league.
_________________ I'll change this tagline again when FFO resigns.
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 08/05/08 8:12 pm ::: |
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| QMcCall3 wrote: |
There aren't any perfect defensive statistics, but here's an approach to choosing All-Defensive teams with statistics:
http://rethinkbball.blogspot.com/2008/08/olympic-break-all-defensive-teams-yield.html
Parker should definitely be considered based on her numbers:
A few surprises (to me): Sheryl Swoopes, Janel McCarville, Sancho Lyttle (honorable mention), Seimone Augustus (honorable mention), and Morenike Atunrase (honorable mention).
DPOY: Lisa Leslie |
I wonder myself about stats being used to evaluate defense since they can be imperfect, especially with regards to whom a player guards, whether that defender requires double teams to help, and how good a help defender a player is.
All that being said, Augustus and Lyttle are definitely above average. Atunrase is a player with lots of physical skill, so I think it is fair to say she is probably good, though it is hard to evaluate a rookie playing so little. When I saw Swoopes early in the year she was awful...probably a consequence of not being in game shape. Seattle games are not televised that often so I have not seen as many of their games as I would like, but I will say that in the game against Minnesota on 7/22 Swoopes was terrific on defense. Maybe not the dominant figure she was earlier in the decade but still strong man-on-man and outstanding positionally. Augustus was 3 of 16 in that game while being guarded primarily by Swoopes and by Wright (who also is underrated defensively). So if that game was representative of Swoopes' play throughout the heart of the season, and I would gather it is, then she is a worthy candidate. Cash has also had some strong play defensively....an early season performance against Becky being particularly noteworthy. Let's face it, there's a reason Seattle's defensive numbers are so good, and there's a lot of people who contribute to their success.
Parker's also certainly good, and deserves mention as a candidate to be on these lists. Leslie is still quite good, but I think DPOY is unjust. Posts beat her one-on-one a little too often for that.
McCarville gets steals and blocks, which is not a terribly accurate reflection of her defense. She works hard, but she is only 6' 2" with short arms and not the quickest footwork. She can be overwhelmed in the post 1 on 1.
But nonetheless, it is an interesting debate. Defense is so subjective that it can be discussed at length.
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mercfan3

Joined: 23 Nov 2004 Posts: 12166
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QMcCall3
Joined: 27 Jun 2008 Posts: 175
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Posted: 08/06/08 1:33 am ::: |
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| LibWNBAFan wrote: |
McCarville gets steals and blocks, which is not a terribly accurate reflection of her defense. She works hard, but she is only 6' 2" with short arms and not the quickest footwork. She can be overwhelmed in the post 1 on 1.
But nonetheless, it is an interesting debate. Defense is so subjective that it can be discussed at length. |
Agreed...and great points about one-on-one defense.
It would be interesting to spend some time actually tracking some of these players on defense and recording stops, adjusted shots, deflections, and shots defended. I do it occasionally, but I'll be interested to focus more on some of the centers mentioned here.
However, a lot of it depends on defensive strategy too -- LA plays a fair amount of zone (as they should) which changes the dynamics of 1on1 post defense.
Who would you say are some of the better one-on-one defenders in the post?
As of right now, I feel that Sutton-Brown plays a large role in making the Fever the best defensive team right now._________________ http://www.swishappeal.com
Become a fan on Facebook: http://tinyurl.com/y8a62km
"Basketball is like poetry in motion. Just comin' down the court, you got a defender in your way. You take him to the left. You take him back to the right. And he's fallin' back, and you just "J" right in his face. And then you look at him, and then you say, "What?" - Jesus Shuttlesworth  |
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psheehy

Joined: 07 Feb 2006 Posts: 2017
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Posted: 08/06/08 6:34 am ::: |
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Not surprisingly, Q's data leans towards crediting players on the statistically better defense teams better than any of the subjective lists.
Any all defensive team list for the season to date should have a strong concentration of players from Indiana, Seattle, LA and Detroit with smatterings of individual standouts from other teams.
As far as the Swoopes question...she seemed to pick her spots to play defense early in the season. She had some great lock down possessions and some old school steals, but she didn't play defense for 40 minutes. As the season has progressed she has increased her defensive efforts and seems to have figured out her role in the team defense.
Swoopes and Wright have been the Storm's best perimeter defenders, though Tanisha seems to vary from adequate to strong from game to game. As a team, they have cut 4 percentage points off their 2007 defensive field goal percentage from 43% in 2007 to 39% this season.
_________________ Bring the Comets and the Monarchs BACK!
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 08/06/08 7:44 am ::: |
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| QMcCall3 wrote: |
| LibWNBAFan wrote: |
McCarville gets steals and blocks, which is not a terribly accurate reflection of her defense. She works hard, but she is only 6' 2" with short arms and not the quickest footwork. She can be overwhelmed in the post 1 on 1.
But nonetheless, it is an interesting debate. Defense is so subjective that it can be discussed at length. |
Agreed...and great points about one-on-one defense.
It would be interesting to spend some time actually tracking some of these players on defense and recording stops, adjusted shots, deflections, and shots defended. I do it occasionally, but I'll be interested to focus more on some of the centers mentioned here.
However, a lot of it depends on defensive strategy too -- LA plays a fair amount of zone (as they should) which changes the dynamics of 1on1 post defense.
Who would you say are some of the better one-on-one defenders in the post?
As of right now, I feel that Sutton-Brown plays a large role in making the Fever the best defensive team right now. |
I don't guess this will be a widely agreed-upon opinion, but I think Wauters has been the best this year. From a physical standpoint, she has more upper-body strength than she has earlier in her career along with good length and pretty solid foot movement. But her positioning is also very sound, and if you look for it, you'll notice that she almost never leaves her feet due to fakes by her opponent.
Sutton-Brown is also excellent in the post. Sutton-Brown is a little more physical than Wauters but slightly easier to fake out of position and more foul-prone. She is still really good though. Taj is still one of the better ones as well. Leslie's still good and adds an element of help defense that many of the other posts do not add. Milton is still super-physical and battles for every inch in the post. A healthy Ford is consistently one of the league's best. Lauren Jackson is good, but not DPOY worthy in accordance with her award last year. Thompson is good, though her D is more about being physical than anything. If a post player has the ability to create space and shoot over Thompson then she can be beaten. Her guile and smarts generally make up for that though. Snow is better than she gets credit for. Ashja Jones is arguably having her best year defensively, at least to me. I don't recall her ever being as hard to beat in the post as she has been this year.
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24duzitall

Joined: 19 May 2005 Posts: 1158 Location: Kentucky
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Posted: 08/06/08 8:14 am ::: |
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catch on the third team? did you hit your head or something?
she is currently fourth in steals per game. not bad for someone coming off a significant injury.
_________________ RIP my sweet boy Indi...my grumpy old man Charlie...precious Oliver and my sweet girl Faith
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 08/06/08 8:27 am ::: |
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| 24duzitall wrote: |
catch on the third team? did you hit your head or something?
she is currently fourth in steals per game. not bad for someone coming off a significant injury. |
No, my head is fine. But thanks for your concern. I have talked repeatedly on this board about how Catchings smothered Christon in the outdoor game. But I also took into account the games where Catchings was still getting into game shape and not the one-on-one defender that she normally is. Hence third team. I love Catch. I thought that she should have been MVP last year when she was healthy based on her overall game. I'd be the first person (actually second, after Thrill) to elevate her if I felt she deserved it. But unlike some fans of players I try to be objective about a player's performance even if I like the player.
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24duzitall

Joined: 19 May 2005 Posts: 1158 Location: Kentucky
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Posted: 08/06/08 9:03 am ::: |
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| i looked at some of the stats before i questioned you leaving catch out...nothing unobjective about it. true, she is not up to speed. she does have some stats that are better than a few of your first teamers though-like tweety has played in 10 more games and has the same number of steals. i realize that there is more than shows up on the stat sheet.
_________________ RIP my sweet boy Indi...my grumpy old man Charlie...precious Oliver and my sweet girl Faith
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p_d_swanson

Joined: 01 Dec 2004 Posts: 5661
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Posted: 08/06/08 10:07 pm ::: |
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Following is a team-by-team breakdown of primary post defenders using plus/minus data, which is more useful when comparing players' effectiveness within a specific team than across the entire WNBA. Totals for the 3/4 types listed (Buescher, Catchings, Little, Milton-Jones) are aggregate. Perhaps one player overlooked in the discussion is Alison Bales, who leads two different teams:
| Code: |
Minutes On Off Diff
Atlanta
Bales 235.9 76.8 87.0 +10.1
Feenstra 374.7 79.6 87.5 +7.8
Little 220.5 80.9 85.7 +4.8
Terry 231.5 88.0 83.9 -4.1
Lacy 494.1 87.9 82.1 -5.8
Lovelace 258.0 89.9 83.1 -6.8
Chicago
Melvin 628.2 71.4 78.3 +6.9
Fowles 174.3 76.6 73.4 -3.2
Dupree 816.5 74.7 70.9 -3.8
Fluker 194.2 77.6 73.1 -4.5
Connecticut
Raymond 277.7 70.4 75.2 +4.8
Gruda 362.0 70.9 75.5 +4.6
Jones 768.2 74.5 72.4 -2.1
Whitmore 685.7 75.7 70.6 -5.1
Detroit
Ford 636.5 72.2 77.8 +5.6
Pierson 546.8 73.4 75.7 +2.3
Humphrey 297.1 75.7 74.1 -1.6
Sanni 216.4 77.8 73.7 -4.1
Braxton 468.0 77.2 72.5 -4.6
Houston
Snow 695.0 72.1 77.7 +5.6
Lyttle 440.8 72.2 75.3 +3.1
Williams 226.2 73.6 74.2 +0.6
Thompson 792.1 75.3 70.3 -5.0
Indiana
Bales 125.7 61.4 69.4 +8.0
Ngoyisa 175.2 67.8 68.6 +0.8
Sutton-Brown 736.9 68.8 67.8 -0.9
Catchings 444.7 70.0 67.4 -2.6
Hoffman 804.5 71.0 61.0 -9.9
Los Angeles
Thomas 158.7 67.6 75.2 +7.7
Leslie 855.1 73.4 76.6 +3.2
Milton-Jones 817.6 73.5 75.8 +2.3
Moore 223.0 73.5 74.3 +0.8
Parker 899.4 75.0 70.7 -4.3
Minnesota
Hayden-Johnson 212.3 73.5 78.0 +4.5
Ohlde 440.6 75.8 77.9 +2.1
Rasmussen 333.7 77.2 77.0 -0.2
Anosike 703.6 77.1 76.9 -0.3
Houston 430.5 79.3 75.6 -3.7
New York
McCarville 631.1 72.2 78.0 +5.8
Kraayeveld 687.6 73.4 76.5 +3.1
Larkins 186.9 78.5 73.5 -5.1
Jackson 495.5 78.4 70.6 -7.8
Phoenix
Willingham 686.4 88.1 90.5 +2.4
Farris 438.1 88.4 89.4 +1.0
Pringle 269.3 89.4 88.9 -0.5
T.Smith 721.7 90.6 85.8 -4.8
Sacramento
Kelly 394.0 73.2 76.6 +3.4
Brunson 707.7 74.3 77.5 +3.2
Harper 432.4 74.6 75.9 +1.2
Williams-Strong 549.9 75.8 74.9 -0.9
San Antonio
Riley 436.6 69.2 73.5 +4.3
Buescher 708.9 70.5 74.1 +3.6
Young 843.6 71.5 72.6 +1.1
Wauters 773.2 72.5 69.8 -2.7
Seattle
Jackson 693.7 68.8 75.2 +6.4
Griffith 494.9 68.6 73.0 +4.4
Robinson 192.8 74.1 70.2 -3.9
Little 221.4 74.1 70.1 -4.0
Ely 276.3 76.6 68.9 -7.7
Washington
Sanford 621.0 69.7 79.8 +10.1
McWilliams-Franklin 862.1 73.6 74.6 +1.0
Langhorne 386.2 77.9 71.4 -6.5 |
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 08/06/08 10:42 pm ::: |
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While interesting, the single biggest flaw in those numbers is that they do not account for pace, or number of possessions faced when certain players are playing.
Take NY for example. I think some of us do actually recognize that physical post play is something that Tiffany Jackson has to work on. However, McCarville's +5.8 is really skewed due to the pace that the Lib play when Jackson is in the game as opposed to Janel. Typically (not always, but usually) Jackson replaces Janel. Oftentimes, especially early in the season, Jackson would be in the game when the Lib would be in trapping situations, which increases the pace of the game dramatically. Chances are the Lib face more possessions per 40 minutes when Jackson is in the game as opposed to Janel. Even on the offensive end, the Lib offense executes sets with less pace when Janel is playing, which also will result in fewer defensive possessions.
Now, maybe I am not completely understanding the numbers, and possessions are also accounted for? It appears that the "off" and "on" numbers equate to average points against per 40 minutes if I am understanding correctly.
It could possibly also explain why faster pace players have some lower ratings than certain counterparts even if they are better or roughly equivalent defensive players...e.g.....Anosike vs. Hayden.....Wauters vs. Riley....Parker vs. C. Thomas....Lyttle vs. Thompson. Pace is not the only thing involved, as the presence of certain players on the court might lead to turnovers and easy baskets the other way. Players who are grouped with certain players in a rotation may also factor in. Some stats might be affected by players who play more or fewer minutes in garbage time. Nolan for instance has a minus rating according to that think bball blog. Nolan averages 34 mpg, and in many games only sits for 2-5 minutes. It's not too likely that the team improves in the few minutes that she sits in those games, so the cause of the rating is probably somewhere in the far fewer games where she played less than 30 minutes...and most of those games were blowouts. According to those numbers, Indy is a better defensive team without Catch than they are with her. I understand the rationale for using the numbers, even just to compare players within a team. But there are a number of examples where you can cite the numbers and understand that there is a deeper reason as to why they show what they show. I mean, nobody thinks that Christi Thomas is LA's best post defender. And Sanford's high rating probably has more to do with the fact that Langhorne is a sieve on the defensive end than because Sanford is so great. So, they are certainly interesting to explore, and thought provoking. They are also an indicator that one can look deeper to examine why the numbers show what they show.
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QMcCall3
Joined: 27 Jun 2008 Posts: 175
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Posted: 08/06/08 11:07 pm ::: |
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| LibWNBAFan wrote: |
| QMcCall3 wrote: |
| LibWNBAFan wrote: |
McCarville gets steals and blocks, which is not a terribly accurate reflection of her defense. She works hard, but she is only 6' 2" with short arms and not the quickest footwork. She can be overwhelmed in the post 1 on 1.
But nonetheless, it is an interesting debate. Defense is so subjective that it can be discussed at length. |
Agreed...and great points about one-on-one defense.
It would be interesting to spend some time actually tracking some of these players on defense and recording stops, adjusted shots, deflections, and shots defended. I do it occasionally, but I'll be interested to focus more on some of the centers mentioned here.
However, a lot of it depends on defensive strategy too -- LA plays a fair amount of zone (as they should) which changes the dynamics of 1on1 post defense.
Who would you say are some of the better one-on-one defenders in the post?
As of right now, I feel that Sutton-Brown plays a large role in making the Fever the best defensive team right now. |
I don't guess this will be a widely agreed-upon opinion, but I think Wauters has been the best this year. From a physical standpoint, she has more upper-body strength than she has earlier in her career along with good length and pretty solid foot movement. But her positioning is also very sound, and if you look for it, you'll notice that she almost never leaves her feet due to fakes by her opponent.
Sutton-Brown is also excellent in the post. Sutton-Brown is a little more physical than Wauters but slightly easier to fake out of position and more foul-prone. She is still really good though. |
I completely agree with you on Sutton-Brown -- her fouls came up as a problem when I looked at the numbers too.
I agree with you on Wauters. But with that same rationale, I'd say Wauters seems like a better all-around defender (team & 1on1) rather than the best 1on1 defender._________________ http://www.swishappeal.com
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"Basketball is like poetry in motion. Just comin' down the court, you got a defender in your way. You take him to the left. You take him back to the right. And he's fallin' back, and you just "J" right in his face. And then you look at him, and then you say, "What?" - Jesus Shuttlesworth  |
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QMcCall3
Joined: 27 Jun 2008 Posts: 175
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Posted: 08/06/08 11:27 pm ::: |
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| LibWNBAFan wrote: |
While interesting, the single biggest flaw in those numbers is that they do not account for pace, or number of possessions faced when certain players are playing.
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I'm sure p_d_swanson has a better response to your concerns, but as a start, the paper at the following link addresses some of the strengths and weaknesses of plus/minus pretty well.
http://sonicscentral.com/apbrmetrics/viewtopic.php?t=1183&highlight=plus+minus+pace
Another thread at APBRmetrics has some (NBA) work by Dan Rosenbaum that may be helpful in determining a "formula" for defensive success in the future:
http://sonicscentral.com/apbrmetrics/viewtopic.php?t=327&highlight=plus+minus+pace
The most interesting finding to me is that players with more fouls tend to be better defenders...that does make sense conceptually, but it seems equally reasonable that players who foul less are better position defenders that don't foul (as you've said about Wauters, LibWNBAfan)...
p_d_swanson: do you know of anyone who has done adjusted plus/minus stats for the WNBA?_________________ http://www.swishappeal.com
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"Basketball is like poetry in motion. Just comin' down the court, you got a defender in your way. You take him to the left. You take him back to the right. And he's fallin' back, and you just "J" right in his face. And then you look at him, and then you say, "What?" - Jesus Shuttlesworth  |
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p_d_swanson

Joined: 01 Dec 2004 Posts: 5661
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Posted: 08/06/08 11:28 pm ::: |
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| LibWNBAFan wrote: |
| Chances are the Lib face more possessions per 40 minutes when Jackson is in the game as opposed to Janel. Even on the offensive end, the Lib offense executes sets with less pace when Janel is playing, which also will result in fewer defensive possessions. |
The overall numbers for McCarville and Jackson mirror each other almost perfectly, making it reasonably simple to compare the effects of game pace. Assuming level efficiency, the Liberty average two percent (or roughly 1.6) more possessions per 40 minutes with Jackson:
| Code: |
---- On Floor --- ---- On Bench ---
Off Def Tot Off Def Tot
McCarville 77.4 72.2 149.6 74.9 78.0 153.0
Jackson 74.2 78.4 152.6 78.6 70.6 149.2 |
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TDAO
Joined: 11 Jun 2005 Posts: 445
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Posted: 08/06/08 11:34 pm ::: |
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The studies I've seen (in the NBA, alas) haven't shown many players who actually make a difference in pace. There are a handful -- Steve Nash, for example. While per-possession numbers are preferable, per-40 minute numbers should be OK since we're comparing within teams.
The other thing to remember with a lot of these seemingly confounding defensive plus-minus numbers is that plus-minus tends to be very noisy even within an 82-game season. That goes more than double for a 34-game season, especially one with 1/4 left to play.
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 08/07/08 12:44 am ::: |
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Thanks to everyone for the input and for the extreme amount of effort that you all put in to put together those numbers.
This community as a whole is indeed a very unique one. In the approximate time of 14 months that I have been a member of this board I have gotten answers to countless statistical questions that I could not have gotten elsewhere. I've gotten to know some nice people as well as a few surprising behind-the-scenes people that one would never have suspected without knowing of this board. I've had a complete stranger from out-of-state offer me free tickets to a basketball game. I've seen family members of players (and I suspect coaches too, though I have no direct proof) post in support of their families. There's no other sports board quite like it.
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LibWNBAFan
Joined: 28 May 2007 Posts: 4725
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Posted: 08/07/08 12:54 am ::: |
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| p_d_swanson wrote: |
| LibWNBAFan wrote: |
| Chances are the Lib face more possessions per 40 minutes when Jackson is in the game as opposed to Janel. Even on the offensive end, the Lib offense executes sets with less pace when Janel is playing, which also will result in fewer defensive possessions. |
The overall numbers for McCarville and Jackson mirror each other almost perfectly, making it reasonably simple to compare the effects of game pace. Assuming level efficiency, the Liberty average two percent (or roughly 1.6) more possessions per 40 minutes with Jackson:
| Code: |
---- On Floor --- ---- On Bench ---
Off Def Tot Off Def Tot
McCarville 77.4 72.2 149.6 74.9 78.0 153.0
Jackson 74.2 78.4 152.6 78.6 70.6 149.2 |
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Thanks. It is funny, but I don't think fans as a whole are all that cognizant of the fact that Jackson's not a particularly good post defender. People often notice the athleticism of players first and foremost, and sometimes those attributes overshadow more tangible ones. I love Jackson, and she contributes in a bunch of ways. I myself thought earlier this year that Jackson should have replaced Kraayeveld as a starter. But the truth is that on the interior, Kraay has been far better this year than Tiff. Tiff defends well in space, and does some really good things at present otherwise, but on the interior I am most comfortable with Kraay on the defensive end. I certainly did not think I would say that at the beginning of the year, but it is undeniable now.
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