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2022-2023 Big Ten Season Thread

 
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Durantula



Joined: 30 Mar 2013
Posts: 5156



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PostPosted: 06/17/22 10:38 pm    ::: 2022-2023 Big Ten Season Thread Reply Reply with quote

ESPN Way Too Early Top 25 updated on June 14, 2022 https://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/story/_/id/34086750/women-college-basketball-way-too-early-top-25-2022-23

6. Iowa
12. Indiana
15. Ohio State
18. Maryland
22. Nebraska

The home, away, and home/away pairings for each team have been released. https://bigten.org/news/2022/6/15/general-2022-23-big-ten-conference-womens-basketball-opponents-announced.aspx


Durantula



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PostPosted: 06/19/22 5:24 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I saw this article saying that Wisconsin got a favorable Big Ten schedule. https://www.buckys5thquarter.com/2022/6/18/23172809/wisconsin-badgers-womens-basketball-big-ten-conference-schedule-released-favorable-draw

I doubt they are going to be in contention for the NCAA tournament so among those contenders who got the best draws and who got the hardest draws?

INDIANA
Home: Maryland, Nebraska, Rutgers, Wisconsin
Away: Michigan State, Minnesota, Northwestern, Penn State
Home/Away: Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio State, Purdue

IOWA
Home: Minnesota, Northwestern, Purdue, Rutgers
Away: Illinois, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State
Home/Away: Indiana, Maryland, Nebraska, Penn State, Wisconsin

MARYLAND
Home: Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State
Away: Indiana, Northwestern, Purdue, Wisconsin
Home/Away: Iowa, Michigan State, Nebraska, Ohio State, Rutgers

MICHIGAN
Home: Illinois, Iowa, Northwestern, Penn State
Away: Maryland, Minnesota, Purdue, Wisconsin
Home/Away: Indiana, Michigan State, Nebraska, Ohio State, Rutgers

MICHIGAN STATE
Home: Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Rutgers
Away: Illinois, Nebraska, Northwestern, Ohio State
Home/Away: Maryland, Michigan, Penn State, Purdue, Wisconsin

NEBRASKA
Home: Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin
Away: Indiana, Minnesota, Purdue, Rutgers
Home/Away: Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, Northwestern

NORTHWESTERN
Home: Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Minnesota
Away: Iowa, Michigan, Penn State, Rutgers
Home/Away: Illinois, Nebraska, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin

OHIO STATE
Home: Illinois, Iowa, Michigan State, Purdue
Away: Nebraska, Penn State, Rutgers, Wisconsin
Home/Away: Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Northwestern

PURDUE
Home: Maryland, Michigan, Nebraska, Wisconsin
Away: Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State, Rutgers
Home/Away: Indiana, Michigan State, Minnesota, Northwestern, Penn State


undersized_post



Joined: 01 Mar 2021
Posts: 2368
Location: midwest


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PostPosted: 06/19/22 10:01 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Durantula wrote:
I saw this article saying that Wisconsin got a favorable Big Ten schedule. https://www.buckys5thquarter.com/2022/6/18/23172809/wisconsin-badgers-womens-basketball-big-ten-conference-schedule-released-favorable-draw

I doubt they are going to be in contention for the NCAA tournament so among those contenders who got the best draws and who got the hardest draws?


Interesting topic. Of course it's hard to say because some teams will inevitably disappoint or exceed preseason expectations, but that doesn't stop us from speculating!

In my opinion, the best six teams in the Big Ten will be the same six who finished at the top of the conference last year and made the NCAA tournament: Ohio State, Maryland, Indiana, Michigan, Nebraska, and Iowa. One quick way to measure difficulty would be to see how many games everyone plays against those six teams, and whether those games are home or away.

Iowa: 8 games (3 home, 5 away)
Maryland, Michigan, and Ohio State, Nebraska: 8 games (4 home, 4 away)
Indiana: 8 games (5 home, 3 away)

Interestingly, all of these top-tier teams play exactly 8 games against others from that top tier. But Iowa only gets 3 home games while Indiana has 5. From this perspective, Iowa has the most difficult draw against the best teams, while Indiana got a favorable draw against the best teams.

---

An inverse way of looking at it would be to see how many times everyone faces the worst teams. Let's just say the 6 worst teams will be the teams Durantula did not include among the contenders, plus Purdue (sorry Boilermakers), so: Penn State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Rutgers, Minnesota, and Purdue.

Michigan, Nebraska, and Ohio State: 7 games (3 home, 4 away)
Maryland: 7 games (4 home, 3 away)
Indiana: 8 games (4 home, 4 away)
Iowa: 8 games (5 home, 3 away)
Northwestern: 9 games (4 home, 5 away)
Michigan State: 9 games (5 home, 4 away)


So among the 6 top-tier teams, Iowa should have the easiest time taking care of the bottom of the league, since they play 8 games against those teams with 5 being home. Indiana also gets 8 games against my predicted worst 6 teams. However, the "middle of the pack" teams (Northwestern and Michigan State) have it even easier against the worst group of times, getting to play them a total of 9 times.

---

Accounting for both of these "methods," I'd say Indiana has the most favorable draw, since they get an additional game against the bottom of the league (relative to the other contenders) and they get to face more of their difficult opponents at home. Iowa's difficult away slate against their fellow contenders is balanced out by their additional game against the bottom of the league. In other words, they should have a slightly easier time defending their home court but the pressure will be on to win some big games on the road.

Overall, I'd say the conference did a good job balancing schedules among the six teams who should be at the top of the league.



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mzonefan



Joined: 15 Oct 2005
Posts: 4521
Location: Ann Arbor, MI


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PostPosted: 06/22/22 1:17 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Great analysis!


purduefanatic



Joined: 10 Aug 2011
Posts: 2813
Location: Indiana


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PostPosted: 06/22/22 5:26 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Yep, completely agree. I was calculating all that as well. Very well done and said!


lynxmania



Joined: 18 Feb 2011
Posts: 10418
Location: Minnesota


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PostPosted: 06/22/22 5:37 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Great post undersized_post!



Just be ready for when the Golden Gophers come to town lmao Laughing



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undersized_post



Joined: 01 Mar 2021
Posts: 2368
Location: midwest


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PostPosted: 06/22/22 5:57 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

lynxmania wrote:
Just be ready for when the Golden Gophers come to town lmao Laughing


I always am nervous! Truly. You had us on the ropes at home this past year...
Also, I'm excited to see the much-hyped, highly-ranked freshman class for Minnesota that we've been hearing so much about.



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Durantula



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Posts: 5156



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PostPosted: 06/22/22 6:13 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Its one thing to have a freshman play big minutes at one spot. Minnesota lost so many veterans that they will have to rely on numerous freshmen for big minutes, without the benefit of having that veteran presence to guide them just based off what they lost. It will be a tough year and maybe expectations are too high on their Freshman class.


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