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Mercury @ Dream - 9/08/21
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Who will win this game?
Mercury
41%
 41%  [ 7 ]
Dream
58%
 58%  [ 10 ]
Total Votes : 17

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pilight



Joined: 23 Sep 2004
Posts: 63562
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PostPosted: 09/08/21 8:22 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Richyyy wrote:
mercfan wrote:
Also, I need a data expert here. If the Mercury win out, what is the best case scenario? Is the 2 seed possible at all?

Yes. But needs help.


I can't decide what result in the late game is better for the Merc. Phoenix can win a tiebreaker over Vegas, but Minnesota's closing schedule is so soft that losing twice more seems impossible.



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TotalCardinalMove



Joined: 13 Oct 2013
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PostPosted: 09/08/21 8:30 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

pilight wrote:
Richyyy wrote:
mercfan wrote:
Also, I need a data expert here. If the Mercury win out, what is the best case scenario? Is the 2 seed possible at all?

Yes. But needs help.


I can't decide what result in the late game is better for the Merc. Phoenix can win a tiebreaker over Vegas, but Minnesota's closing schedule is so soft that losing twice more seems impossible.



I’d think a MN loss is more beneficial. I believe Phoenix would leapfrog the Lynx if LV were to win.


pilight



Joined: 23 Sep 2004
Posts: 63562
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PostPosted: 09/08/21 8:41 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

TotalCardinalMove wrote:
pilight wrote:
Richyyy wrote:
mercfan wrote:
Also, I need a data expert here. If the Mercury win out, what is the best case scenario? Is the 2 seed possible at all?

Yes. But needs help.


I can't decide what result in the late game is better for the Merc. Phoenix can win a tiebreaker over Vegas, but Minnesota's closing schedule is so soft that losing twice more seems impossible.



I’d think a MN loss is more beneficial. I believe Phoenix would leapfrog the Lynx if LV were to win.


They'd be tied in the loss column and the Lynx own the tiebreaker. I'm leaning a little towards that being a better result for Phoenix.

If Vegas wins, Phoenix needs the Aces to lose to both Chicago and Dallas AND the Lynx to lose to either Indiana or Washington.

If Minnesota wins, Phoenix needs the Aces to lose to either Chicago or Dallas AND the Lynx to lose twice in their last four (three against Indiana, one against Washington).



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RI_Sun_Fan



Joined: 16 Jan 2010
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PostPosted: 09/08/21 8:47 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Imagine a 4 way tie at 22-10. 5 way tie can't happen since SEA and PHX can't win out.




Last edited by RI_Sun_Fan on 09/08/21 8:56 pm; edited 1 time in total
pilight



Joined: 23 Sep 2004
Posts: 63562
Location: Where the action is


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PostPosted: 09/08/21 8:55 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

RI_Sun_Fan wrote:
Imagine a 4 or a 5 way tie at 22-10


Can't be a five way because Phoenix and Seattle have a game against each other left. Connecticut wins any four way tie breaker.



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RI_Sun_Fan



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PostPosted: 09/08/21 8:59 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Personally I'm routing for the Aces in that game. I'm hoping CT finishes 1st and Seattle finishes 3rd (other side of the bracket from CT)


ChicagoAnnie



Joined: 04 Sep 2009
Posts: 8489
Location: St. Paul, MN


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PostPosted: 09/08/21 9:21 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

pilight wrote:
mercfan wrote:
The opportunities to take this game are presenting themselves.


Atlanta's not good enough to put games away


WOW!


mercfan3



Joined: 23 Nov 2004
Posts: 19030



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PostPosted: 09/09/21 7:22 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

How did we win this one. Laughing

Nice to see Bria get some quality minutes and do something with them. We’ll need her. It was especially nice to see her going to the basket. That can be scary after an ACL tear (although she didn’t tear hers going to the basket which might help..)



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