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Kelsey Plum's NCAA Div. I scoring record

 
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Will Kelsey Plum's NCAA Div. I Scoring Record get broken in the next 2-4 years?
Yes, by Caitlin Clark
38%
 38%  [ 5 ]
Yes, by someone other than Caitlin Clark
0%
 0%  [ 0 ]
No, Plum will still be the record-holder at least 2-4 years from now
61%
 61%  [ 8 ]
Total Votes : 13

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Stormeo



Joined: 14 Jul 2019
Posts: 2616
Location: Seattle, WA


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PostPosted: 03/28/21 1:49 am    ::: Kelsey Plum's NCAA Div. I scoring record Reply Reply with quote

Kelsey Plum finished her college career with 3,527 points. She played in 139 total games over the course of her four years at Washington – that's an average of 34.75 games per year. Her career-PPG was 25.4 (greatly aided by her senior season where she averaged an astonishing 31.7 PPG).

Caitlin Clark has now completed her freshman year. She has scored 799 points at an average of 26.6 PPG thus far, having played in all 30 of Iowa's games this season.

If Clark were to maintain that exact PPG average for the rest of her college career, assuming her college career lasts the standard length of four full seasons, then she could break the record in her next 103 games (133 games total), or an average of 34 ⅓ games per season over the course of her next three seasons.

I think she out of anyone has the best chances of securing the record in four years.

Everyone else who has it in them would most likely have to do it in five years – which of course assumes they'd stay the bonus year. Those at Power-5/upper-echelon programs likely would not stick around that long, and simply opt to go pro after their four years of college are up (or sooner).


Other players who will have a shot at breaking the record, particularly if they utilize the bonus season of eligibility granted because of covid:

Paige Bueckers, UConn, Freshman: 581 points; averaged 20.0 PPG this season (max. 4 seasons remaining)
Charlisse Leger-Walker, Washington State, Freshman: 452 points; averaged 18.8 PPG this past season (max. 4 seasons remaining)
Dyaisha Fair, Buffalo, Sophomore: 1,239 points; averaged 24.1 PPG this past season (max. 3 seasons remaining)
Maddy Siegrist, Villanova, Sophomore: 1,126 points; averaged 22.8 PPG this past season (max. 3 seasons remaining)
Kierstan Bell, Florida Gulf Coast, Sophomore: 958 points; averaged 24.3 PPG this past season (max. 3 seasons remaining)
Ashley Joens, Iowa State, Junior: 1,680 points; averaged 24.2 PPG this past season (max. 2 seasons remaining)
Rhyne Howard, Kentucky, Junior: 1,655 points; averaged 20.7 PPG this past season (max. 2 seasons remaining)
Naz Hillmon, Michigan, Junior: 1,531 points; averaged 23.9 PPG this past season (max. 2 seasons remaining)
Anastasia Hayes, Middle Tennessee, Redshirt Junior: 1,512 points; averaged 26.5 PPG this past season (max. 2 seasons remaining)



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Last edited by Stormeo on 04/03/21 12:09 am; edited 1 time in total
ucbart



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 2038
Location: New York


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PostPosted: 03/28/21 9:38 am    ::: Re: Kelsey Plum's NCAA Div. I scoring record Reply Reply with quote

Stormeo wrote:
Kelsey Plum finished her college career with 3,527 points. She played in 139 total games over the course of her four years at Washington – that's an average of 34.75 games per year. Her career-PPG was 25.4 (greatly aided by her senior season where she averaged an astonishing 31.7 PPG).

Caitlin Clark has now completed her freshman year. She has scored 799 points at an average of 26.6 PPG thus far, having played in all 30 of Iowa's games this season.

If Clark were to maintain that exact PPG average for the rest of her college career, assuming her college career lasts the standard length of four full seasons, then she could break the record in her next 103 games (133 games total), or an average of 34 ⅓ games per season over the course of her next three seasons.

I think she out of anyone has the best chances of securing the record in four years.

Everyone else who has it in them would most likely have to do it in five years – which of course assumes they'd stay the bonus year. Those at Power-5/upper-echelon programs likely would not stick around that long, and simply opt to go pro after their four years of college are up (or sooner).


Other players who will have a shot at breaking the record, particularly if they utilize the bonus season of eligibility granted because of covid:

Paige Bueckers, UConn, Freshman: 535 points; averaging 19.8 PPG this season so far (max. 4 seasons remaining following the completion of this one)
Charlisse Leger-Walker, Washington State, Freshman: 452 points; averaged 18.8 PPG this past season (max. 4 seasons remaining)
Dyaisha Fair, Buffalo, Sophomore: 1,239 points; averaged 24.1 PPG this past season (max. 3 seasons remaining)
Maddy Siegrist, Villanova, Sophomore: 1,126 points; averaged 22.8 PPG this past season (max. 3 seasons remaining)
Kierstan Bell, Florida Gulf Coast, Sophomore: 958 points; averaged 24.3 PPG this past season (max. 3 seasons remaining)
Ashley Joens, Iowa State, Junior: 1,680 points; averaged 24.2 PPG this past season (max. 2 seasons remaining)
Rhyne Howard, Kentucky, Junior: 1,655 points; averaged 20.7 PPG this past season (max. 2 seasons remaining)
Naz Hillmon, Michigan, Junior: 1,531 points; averaged 23.9 PPG this past season (max. 2 seasons remaining)
Anastasia Hayes, Middle Tennessee, Redshirt Junior: 1,512 points; averaged 26.5 PPG this past season (max. 2 seasons remaining)


3.527 is just absurd. Plum could really fill it up.

I expect Clark to break her record in 4 years.


Ex-Ref



Joined: 04 Oct 2009
Posts: 6508



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PostPosted: 03/28/21 10:50 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

She's going to need to find 4 additional games/year (5 in one year) to do it at this same scoring pace. That sounds like a really big ask for Iowa team-wise to do.

Let's say Iowa plays one more tourney game per year (Big 10 or NCAA), her average would need to go up to 29.3 (2.7 ppg).

Or she's going to have to have a partial season like last year. NOBODY wants that.

I'm going to vote no, but reserve the right to not be surprised if she does break it. Wink



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undersized_post



Joined: 01 Mar 2021
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PostPosted: 03/28/21 11:16 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I’m voting no out of the sheer hope that Iowa can maintain a more consistently balanced offense in the coming seasons. We need Clark’s assist numbers to stay high and turnovers lower, but breaking an individual scoring record isn’t necessarily going to translate in the win column.


Stormeo



Joined: 14 Jul 2019
Posts: 2616
Location: Seattle, WA


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PostPosted: 04/03/21 12:10 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

(Updated now that Bueckers' season is officially over.)



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 4668
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 04/03/21 12:46 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Ex-Ref wrote:
She's going to need to find 4 additional games/year (5 in one year) to do it at this same scoring pace. That sounds like a really big ask for Iowa team-wise to do.

Let's say Iowa plays one more tourney game per year (Big 10 or NCAA), her average would need to go up to 29.3 (2.7 ppg).

Or she's going to have to have a partial season like last year. NOBODY wants that.

I'm going to vote no, but reserve the right to not be surprised if she does break it. Wink


34-35 games is not a big ask. This year the schedule was shortened because of Covid. Iowa played 36 games in 2018-19 and assuming the team stays successful they should play 133 game over the next 3 seasons. On the other hand keeping a 26.6 average may be more difficult, and even a minor injury could cost her a few games. She can make it if all the stars align but too many things can go wrong to expect that she will.


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