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Vulnerable Republican senate seats

 
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Shades



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PostPosted: 09/25/20 10:40 am    ::: Vulnerable Republican senate seats Reply Reply with quote

Unfortunately Mitch McConnell doesn’t appear to be one of the vulnerable ones, but if the Democrats can flip the Senate, at least he becomes much less relevant.
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PostPosted: 09/25/20 11:37 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

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PostPosted: 09/25/20 12:37 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The Democrats will take Gardner's seat in Colorado and lose Jones' in Alabama.

I'd rate seven of the others as winnable by either side; six Republican and one Democratic.

Gary Peters (Michigan) is the only other Democrat in danger. He's been steadily losing ground to Iraq War veteran John James.

The other endangered Republicans are Susan Collins (Maine), Steve Daines (Montana), Joni Ernst (Iowa), Martha McSally (Arizona), David Perdue (Georgia), and Thom Tillis (North Carolina).



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PostPosted: 09/26/20 2:43 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

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PostPosted: 10/05/20 10:26 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

https://twitter.com/jennycohn1/status/1312812320003776512

Georgia conservatives: stealing elections since (at least) 2002.



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Shades



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PostPosted: 10/08/20 10:25 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

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PostPosted: 10/08/20 10:54 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

RCP moved McSally's seat to Lean D and Graham's to tossup



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PostPosted: 10/10/20 9:07 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I see the two key races as Ernst in Iowa and Tillis in North Carolina. Others could change if there is a general shift in the next 3 weeks, but most likely those will provide the answer. If either party gets both they should control the Senate.


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PostPosted: 10/30/20 9:45 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

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PostPosted: 11/06/20 2:18 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

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PostPosted: 11/06/20 3:08 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

The Dems got slaughtered in the congressional races and did little to nothing in the senate



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PostPosted: 11/10/20 6:52 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

pilight wrote:
The Dems got slaughtered in the congressional races and did little to nothing in the senate


As of Tuesday morning, the Democrats had lost a net of four seats to the Republicans. Nowhere near a slaugther (1994 was a slaughter), but the Democrats did not build on the party's majority (and it was expected that the party would gain 5-10 seats).

As for the Senate, one way to look at it is this. Right now, Republicans have 49 seats, with Democrats at 46, and Independents (both of whom caucus with Democrats at 2). Alaska would put the Republicans at 50. And lets say there is a split in the Georgia runoff elections.

So it would look like this (in my scenario):
Republicans: 51
Democrats 47:
Independents: 2

It is a vastly different scenario if, say, Collins had lost Maine and McSally had won Arizona. Whereas there is a chance for people to cross party lines - Collins (ME) and Murkowski (AK) come to mind, while others (e.g., Romney (UT)) may do so depending on the issue - it would have been very different with McSally as part of the 51 instead of Collins.


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PostPosted: 11/10/20 8:38 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

AP has the Republicans up six not counting NY-11 or NY-22. CA-21 and UT-4 are not looking good for the Dems either. Yeah, it's not 1994 but it's pretty bad considering the expectations.

As for the senate, I'll be surprised if the GOP doesn't win both the run-offs. I'd rate Warnock's chances as slim and Ossoff's as none.



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PostPosted: 11/19/20 12:01 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

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PostPosted: 11/19/20 5:48 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Shades wrote:
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Robert Reich is a great example of the modern Democratic elite. Their position on American workers is essentially the same as the Republican elite - “fuck ‘em” but they add sanctimonious rhetoric that isn’t backed up by policy. When he was Clinton’s Secretary of LABOR he was presented with an approved H-1B (a visa allegedly only for workers who can’t be found in the USA and who allegedly must be paid prevailing wages) application for a computer programmer in which the listed wage rate was the minimum wage. Reich was not outraged at all. Just his normal Mister Rogers self, and gave a shoulder-shrug answer about the H-1B law having “no teeth”.


Iluvacc



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PostPosted: 11/21/20 11:29 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

As long as that grifter aka Loeffler is ousted!


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