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ClayK



Joined: 11 Oct 2005
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PostPosted: 12/19/19 11:25 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

It's also possible to cap the MOV at, say, 25, to give no advantage to running up the score.



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GlennMacGrady



Joined: 03 Jan 2005
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PostPosted: 12/19/19 1:01 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

pilight wrote:

The best ratings systems use . . . .


"Best system" makes me think of an empirical question and also an empirical suggestion for you, pilight.

Which of the rating/ranking systems have been the most historically accurate in predicting the outcome of the NCAA tournament in your "fun bracket" over the years? Of course, that measures their predictive accuracy only as of their end-of-season rankings/ratings in March, when all the systems tend to converge.

The suggestion would be to take a snapshot of these ranking/rating systems at the ends of November, December, January and February -- and then compare how those earlier season ratings compare with the later NCAA tournament outcome. This would give some empirical evidence of which system is best in early and mid-season.
pilight



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PostPosted: 12/19/19 1:09 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Massey and Sagarin have been the best in the Fun Bracket over the years, with several wins each and consistently finishing near the top. RPI has only won once in 16 years (2008) and is usually well off the pace.



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