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hyperetic
Joined: 11 Oct 2005 Posts: 5360 Location: Fayetteville
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mavcarter #NATC
Joined: 02 Sep 2010 Posts: 5935 Location: Chicago
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CamrnCrz1974
Joined: 18 Nov 2004 Posts: 18371 Location: Phoenix
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Posted: 05/23/19 5:48 pm ::: Re: Overabundance of talent |
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Megan Gustafson's Release By The Dallas Wings Highlights WNBA's Need For More Roster Spots |
Or it could potentially highlight the fact that Gustafson was a great college player who is not suited to the pro game (e.g., Kelly Faris, Adam Morrison)...
Or it could mean Dallas was not the proper spot for her...
Or it means that the players' union needs to push for guaranteed contracts for first round draft choices...
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toad455
Joined: 16 Nov 2005 Posts: 22474 Location: NJ
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Posted: 05/23/19 5:57 pm ::: |
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Regarding expansion(with two teams), you basically take the 6th woman off of all current rosters and put them in as a starter. The last [two] cuts off of each team this year make a roster(L. Mitchell, Gustafson, Warley-Talbert, Ashley Walker, Lianne Harper, Kelsey Bone, etc.)
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66908 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 05/23/19 5:58 pm ::: Re: Overabundance of talent |
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CamrnCrz1974 wrote: |
Or it could potentially highlight the fact that Gustafson was a great college player who is not suited to the pro game (e.g., Kelly Faris, Adam Morrison)... |
Faris and Morrison made rosters and played multiple seasons.
The men's AP POY is often less effective as a pro (Denzel Valentine, Doug McDermott, etc) but they've never gotten cut before their rookie season
_________________ I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home
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tfan
Joined: 31 May 2010 Posts: 9618
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Posted: 05/23/19 6:05 pm ::: |
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It's all relative. No matter how much talent there is it will always be a pyramid of levels (same small number at the top). People will praise someone at a lower level if they were a fan of a player in college and denigrate them if they weren't. They will bemoan the idea of having to watch someone play who was previously waived, even if that player is better than 99% of the players they routinely watch in college.
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toad455
Joined: 16 Nov 2005 Posts: 22474 Location: NJ
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Posted: 05/23/19 6:46 pm ::: |
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Also with two more teams, teams can take more of a gamble on a player and try to develop them. This season teams don't have that luxury.
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Twitter: @TBRBWAY
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tfan
Joined: 31 May 2010 Posts: 9618
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Posted: 05/23/19 7:02 pm ::: Re: Overabundance of talent |
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CamrnCrz1974 wrote: |
Or it means that the players' union needs to push for guaranteed contracts for first round draft choices... |
Minor nit: while she was one of twelve draft invitees, Gustafson was a 2nd round pick (#17). It seems like the WNBA coaches/GMs had a feeling that the college national player of the year had a size, athleticism and skillset that would not transfer to the pros.
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CamrnCrz1974
Joined: 18 Nov 2004 Posts: 18371 Location: Phoenix
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Posted: 05/23/19 7:16 pm ::: Re: Overabundance of talent |
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pilight wrote: |
CamrnCrz1974 wrote: |
Or it could potentially highlight the fact that Gustafson was a great college player who is not suited to the pro game (e.g., Kelly Faris, Adam Morrison)... |
Faris and Morrison made rosters and played multiple seasons. |
The men's AP POY is often less effective as a pro (Denzel Valentine, Doug McDermott, etc) but they've never gotten cut before their rookie season[/quote]
Making rosters and playing multiple seasons is a bit misleading, pilight. First, NBA first round picks have guaranteed contracts (and had more years guaranteed in previous CBAs, IIRC). Morrison, as a #3 pick, had multiple guaranteed years.
Second, Faris averaged 2.1 ppg in four seasons (112 games played), while shooting 36.1 percent -- which is a demonstration that she was a great college player whose game did not translate well.
Making a roster does NOT equal being suited to the pro game (which is what I said in my initial post).
pilight wrote: |
The men's AP POY is often less effective as a pro (Denzel Valentine, Doug McDermott, etc) but they've never gotten cut before their rookie season |
Code: |
1994–95 Joe Smith Maryland
1995–96 Marcus Camby UMass
1996–97 Tim Duncan Wake Forest
1997–98 Antawn Jamison North Carolina
1998–99 Elton Brand Duke
1999–00 Kenyon Martin Cincinnati
2000–01 Shane Battier Duke
2001–02 Jason Williams Duke
2002–03 David West Xavier
2003–04 Jameer Nelson Saint Joseph's
2004–05 Andrew Bogut Utah
2005–06 J. J. Redick Duke
2006–07 Kevin Durant Texas
2007–08 Tyler Hansbrough North Carolina
2008–09 Blake Griffin Oklahoma
2009–10 Evan Turner Ohio State
2010–11 Jimmer Fredette BYU
2011–12 Anthony Davis Kentucky
2012–13 Trey Burke Michigan
2013–14 Doug McDermott Creighton
2014–15 Frank Kaminsky Wisconsin
2015–16 Denzel Valentine Michigan State
2016–17 Frank Mason III Kansas
2017–18 Jalen Brunson Villanova |
Kind of a mixed bag from that group, but the recent trend has been for the AP POY to be less effective as a pro (last 5-6 years).
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ClayK
Joined: 11 Oct 2005 Posts: 11147
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Posted: 05/23/19 9:30 pm ::: |
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To beat my drum again, the quality of the product is very, very, very important to the success of the WNBA. When you have lesser talent playing more minutes, the quality of the product will inevitably go down.
_________________ Oṃ Tāre Tuttāre Ture Svāhā
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root_thing
Joined: 28 Apr 2007 Posts: 7365 Location: Underground
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Posted: 05/23/19 9:44 pm ::: |
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ClayK wrote: |
To beat my drum again, the quality of the product is very, very, very important to the success of the WNBA. When you have lesser talent playing more minutes, the quality of the product will inevitably go down. |
So, based on your logic, shouldn't we reduce the league to six teams to make the quality of play twice as high?
_________________ You can always do something else.
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66908 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 05/23/19 9:55 pm ::: |
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ClayK wrote: |
To beat my drum again, the quality of the product is very, very, very important to the success of the WNBA. When you have lesser talent playing more minutes, the quality of the product will inevitably go down. |
The decrease in talent from adding a couple of teams would be so slight as to be impossible to notice.
Take a random group of 250 people. Out of that group you'll have 50-60 women between the ages of 18 and 45. Hold tryouts and choose the best 11 athletes as a basketball team. Put them in a four team league of other teams of similar construction. At the end of the season choose an All Star Team, the best players at each position. This is the first generation All Star team.
Put the first generation All Star team in a four team league with three other first generation All Star teams. At the end of the season, choose an All Star team of the All Star teams. This will be the second generation All Star team.
Put that team in a four team league with other such teams and after the season choose an All Star team from them. By now we should have a pretty decent team, don't you think? All the people who really can't play will have been weeded out at the very least.
Repeat the process twice more to get to the fifth generation All Star team. After that many iterations we should be down to all good players. If we took the fifth generation All Stars and said these players are good enough to play in our professional league, how many teams do you think we would have?
The correct answer is about 1250 teams. Each of the fifth generation All Star teams would represent 256,000 people. To get to our current number of teams, each of which represent about 26 million people, you would have to continue through about 8.5 generations. Obviously at that point the difference between players who make it and those who don't is infinitesimal. It would be like having every woman run a 100m dash. The difference between the 132nd fastest (completing the 12th team) and the 500th fastest would probably be less than a hundredth of a second. It certainly wouldn't be a tenth of a second.
_________________ I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home
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tfan
Joined: 31 May 2010 Posts: 9618
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Posted: 05/23/19 11:40 pm ::: |
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root_thing wrote: |
ClayK wrote: |
To beat my drum again, the quality of the product is very, very, very important to the success of the WNBA. When you have lesser talent playing more minutes, the quality of the product will inevitably go down. |
So, based on your logic, shouldn't we reduce the league to six teams to make the quality of play twice as high? |
If you reduced it to two teams, every night would be like a competitive all-star game. And the entire season would be the WNBA finals.
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hyperetic
Joined: 11 Oct 2005 Posts: 5360 Location: Fayetteville
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Posted: 05/24/19 2:43 pm ::: |
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I personally think there is enough talent floating around for two more competitive teams. There will always be some team at the bottom. That's the nature of season records. Do they put up a good fight when they play? Are they working to improve? |
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toad455
Joined: 16 Nov 2005 Posts: 22474 Location: NJ
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Posted: 05/24/19 3:06 pm ::: |
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Expansion teams always have it rough. No stars join expansion teams. Always takes a few years to build up their rosters.
_________________ LET'S GO LIBERTY!!!!!!
Twitter: @TBRBWAY
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66908 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 05/24/19 3:43 pm ::: |
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toad455 wrote: |
Expansion teams always have it rough. No stars join expansion teams. Always takes a few years to build up their rosters. |
The league has had 10 expansion teams in its history. 70% of them were playoff teams within their first three seasons.
_________________ I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home
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snlMINAJ
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 1217
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Posted: 05/24/19 4:10 pm ::: |
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i think 1 more team right now (within next year or 2) is obvious. adding 2 teams, to me, would be debatable.
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Howee
Joined: 27 Nov 2009 Posts: 15737 Location: OREGON (in my heart)
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Posted: 05/24/19 5:06 pm ::: Re: Overabundance of talent |
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CamrnCrz1974 wrote: |
Quote: |
Megan Gustafson's Release By The Dallas Wings Highlights WNBA's Need For More Roster Spots |
Or it could potentially highlight the fact that Gustafson was a great college player who is not suited to the pro game (e.g., Kelly Faris, Adam Morrison)...
Or it could mean Dallas was not the proper spot for her...
Or it means that the players' union needs to push for guaranteed contracts for first round draft choices... |
I'd be inclined to pick Door #2: "not the right spot"? Frankly, I don't get why Megan didn't earn a spot when players like Stephanie Mavunga or even (my beloved) Courtney Paris DID make rosters--in my opinion, she can do what they do, and do it better.
Yep, not all Highly Accomplished/Touted College Players translate to the pro level, but I believe Megan will get there. She wasn't a flash in the pan. Her credentials were legitimate: leading all-time scorer at a top P5 school, etc., etc.; she may be delayed, but should not be denied, imo.
Thinking of Iowa--whatever became of Ally Disterhoft? She's the Iowa scorer whose record Megan broke, and as a 6' guard with a ton of talent, I always thought I'd see her playing professionally.
_________________ Oregon: Go Ducks!
"Inévitablement, les canards voleront"
Last edited by Howee on 05/24/19 10:08 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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toad455
Joined: 16 Nov 2005 Posts: 22474 Location: NJ
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Posted: 05/24/19 6:00 pm ::: |
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Meghan would have made the roster if not for the trades of Harrison & Imani McGee-Stafford.
_________________ LET'S GO LIBERTY!!!!!!
Twitter: @TBRBWAY
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StevenHW
Joined: 25 Jul 2005 Posts: 10983 Location: Sacramento, California
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Posted: 05/24/19 6:22 pm ::: Re: Overabundance of talent |
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Howee wrote: |
[snip]...Thinking of Iowa--whatever became of Ally Disterhoff? She's the Iowa scorer whose record Megan broke, and as a 6' guard with a ton of talent, I always thought I'd see her playing professionally. |
Ally is now in the financial services industry.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/ally-disterhoft
Here's her WNBA Draft profile from 2017...
https://www.wnba.com/draft2017profile/ally-disterhoft/
_________________ "The more I see of the moneyed classes, the more I understand the guillotine." -- George Bernard Shaw
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Howee
Joined: 27 Nov 2009 Posts: 15737 Location: OREGON (in my heart)
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