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ClayK
Joined: 11 Oct 2005 Posts: 11183
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Posted: 06/08/18 4:39 pm ::: |
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You pay more attention than I do, but I like Dallas giving six.
_________________ Oṃ Tāre Tuttāre Ture Svāhā
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/08/18 5:34 pm ::: |
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ClayK wrote: |
You pay more attention than I do, but I like Dallas giving six. |
I agree, but Dallas has gotten disinterested in games and allowed lesser teams to come back. I certainly wouldn't take the Fever, but I need to see more from the Wings against inferior competition to see if they have a killer instinct.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/09/18 9:53 am ::: |
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June 9
Connecticut 4 Minnesota 166
The Sun return home after a 4 game road trip. After winning their first 5 games they lost at Atlanta and escaped a second loss with a 4 point play in the final second against New York. Meanwhile the Lynx broke a four game losing streak against Washington in their last game. Perhaps Maya Moore's return to Connecticut will get her going again, but she is suffering through her worst season as a pro so far. Her scoring and rebounding aren't too far off, but her assists and steals are at career lows while her turnovers are at a career high. I like the Sun and I also like the under.
Yesterday the Sky hung in for 32 minutes against the Mercury, trailing by only 7. But over the next 7 minutes they were outscored 20-5 to send me to defeat. That moves my season record to 19-12-1.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/09/18 3:48 pm ::: |
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Nice result today as both Connecticut and under came in. That puts my record at 21-12-1. Tomorrow there should be some big lines. Phoenix. Los Angeles and New York should all be double-digit favorites and Seattle will be about 7.5 over Atlanta.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/10/18 12:13 pm ::: |
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June 10
New York 9 Indiana 158
Los Angeles 13 Chicago 163.5
Phoenix 12.5 Las Vegas 167.5
Seattle 7.5 Atlanta 166.5
New York is 2-4, Indiana is 0-7. The two teams played an overtime game in Indiana last weekend. I was looking to bet the over but the line has been adjusted up 2.5 points from their last game, even though the game was under in regulation. Despite being winless the Fever have only lost 2 games by double digits and the Liberty have not won a game by more than 6, but I can't quite get myself to trust the Fever. Pass
Los Angeles is coming off an abyssmal game vs Seattle. They scored only 63 points and lost by 25 at home. I look for a much better effort today. I won't lay the 13, but I like the over.
Phoenix has won 4 in a row after a 3 game losing streak. Briann January has settled in to her position with the Mercury and Griner has gone 50-76 from the floor over her last 5 games. Las Vegas will need to slow down Griner and I don't think they can. The early line yesterday was 15 and the total was 171. The current line looks much more reasonable. I will still take the under but I can't play a side at this line.
Seattle is coming off a thrashing of LA. Stewart, Loyd and Howard are all playing better than ever, and Sue Bird is still running the team well. Seattle is the highest scoring team this season (173) while Atlanta is the lowest (157). I think the home team can control the pace so I will take the over.
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Posted: 06/10/18 2:06 pm ::: |
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calbearman76 wrote: |
June 10
New York 9 Indiana 158
Los Angeles 13 Chicago 163.5
Phoenix 12.5 Las Vegas 167.5
Seattle 7.5 Atlanta 166 |
All 4 overs.
_________________ Silly, stupid white people might be waking up.
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/10/18 3:42 pm ::: |
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Don't give up on the Liberty. All you need is an overtime.
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Fighting Artichoke
Joined: 12 Dec 2012 Posts: 4071
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/12/18 1:44 pm ::: |
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June 12
Indiana 3 Las Vegas 160.5
Dallas 2.5 Phoenix 169.5
Seattle 10.5 Chicago 169
Los Angeles 8 Atlanta 150.5
Indiana and Las Vegas are playing for worst team in the league. Las Vegas has already won once and I believe Indiana will be able to tie them at one tonight. Look for a showcase of the top 2 draft picks, A'ja Wilson and Kelsey Mitchell. It may be a third rookie that decides this game however, as Stephanie Mavunga has played well in spurts, and I hope she will choose tonight to play well against Wilson. Fever -3.
Dallas lost to Phoenix on opening night. Now they get the Mercury at home and I believe they can get some payback. Cambage-Griner II goes to the Aussie. Dallas -2.5
Seattle beat Chicago 95-91 a few weeks ago and now they play again in Seattle, The Storm had a huge win vs LA and followed it with a pitiful loss to Atlanta. They should bounce back but I don't trust them enough to lay double digits. Pass.
Los Angeles allowed only 59 points against Chicago Sunday, the first team to be held under 60 this season. The same day Atlanta beat Seattle 67-64, the first team to win a game without scoring 70 points. (Las Vegas and Phoenix also scored less than 140 total points, so the three lowest scoring games of the season were all played on the same day.) I look for LA and Atlanta to return to scoring so I'll take this game over the very low total.
Sunday I was 1-2 as I didn't see the scoring drought coming. That leaves me at 22-14-1 for the season.
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Posted: 06/12/18 3:05 pm ::: |
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calbearman76 wrote: |
June 12 Los Angeles allowed only 59 points against Chicago Sunday, the first team to be held under 60 this season. The same day Atlanta beat Seattle 67-64, the first team to win a game without scoring 70 points. (Las Vegas and Phoenix also scored less than 140 total points, so the three lowest scoring games of the season were all played on the same day.) |
There's a direct link between that fact and my taking all 4 Overs Sunday.
On to tonight's action:
2 shit teams sparring, w/ the home team desperate for win #1 and giving 3. Anything can happen. I'll pass.
It's Kong vs Godzilla in Big D. Godzilla for the win, -2.5.
Ignoring the 3rd degree burns I suffered Sunday, I'll go Over in Seattle, 169, and LA, 150.5
_________________ Silly, stupid white people might be waking up.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/13/18 9:51 am ::: |
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July 13
Connecticut 10 Washington 170
New York 10 Las Vegas 161.5
I am off to Seattle for the Storm game on Friday so I will pass on today's games. Yesterday Indiana battled back to give me hope with an overtime but then they collapsed. Dallas continues to not hold leads. And LA and Atlanta scored 45 points in the first quarter but then put up three 31point quarters. And that is how you go 0-3, which makes me 21-17-1 for the season.
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Posted: 06/13/18 10:43 am ::: |
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You know things are bad when a 1-2 night is cause for celebration. That puts the record at 4-12-1. Putrid futility.
[June] 13
Connecticut 10 Washington 170
New York 10 Las Vegas 161.5
It's desperation time. Both favorites and both Overs.
_________________ Silly, stupid white people might be waking up.
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Posted: 06/13/18 8:02 pm ::: |
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1-3, 5-15-1.
how low
can i
go?
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/14/18 2:37 am ::: |
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cthskzfn wrote: |
1-3, 5-15-1.
how low
can i
go? |
You can’t get desperate. Maybe you should take a day off
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/14/18 2:46 am ::: |
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June 14
Atlanta 9.5 Indiana 159.5
I may not have lost a wager yesterday but I certainly lost a bet to a big rock which blew out a tire as I was driving up to Seattle. As a result I only made it as far as Eugene. I will take the under in tonight’s game.
..
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Randy
Joined: 08 Oct 2011 Posts: 10911
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Posted: 06/14/18 6:38 am ::: |
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calbearman76 wrote: |
June 14
Atlanta 9.5 Indiana 159.5
I may not have lost a wager yesterday but I certainly lost a bet to a big rock which blew out a tire as I was driving up to Seattle. As a result I only made it as far as Eugene. I will take the under in tonight’s game.
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Just FYI - its a morning game 11:30 start time.
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/15/18 12:33 pm ::: |
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June 15
Los Angeles 3.5 @Washington 160.5
Dallas 9 Las Vegas 170
Connecticut 1.5 @Seattle 173
Washington continues to be the best surprise of this young season. Los Angeles has traditionally been a week Road team although this year they have been playing better. I will take the Mystics plus the points.
Dallas has been unable to close out victories so even though I would like to lay the points I can’t trust them. The total also seems high but I will pass on the game.
I like Seattle at home, particularly since Connecticut has been struggling of late and is traveling across country for the game. I’ll take the Storm plus the points and hope to enjoy a home victory in person.
I’m
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Posted: 06/15/18 1:10 pm ::: |
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June 15
Los Angeles 3.5 @Washington 160.5
Dallas 9 Las Vegas 170
Connecticut 1.5 @Seattle 173
Since May 24th, no LA game has totaled more than 152. I'll go Under.
Can Cambage stay on the floor? Will Wilson? This may be a single-digit margin either way. LV +9.
The Storm D might be exactly what the Sun needs. Possible 200-pt affair here. Taking the Over.
_________________ Silly, stupid white people might be waking up.
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 67050 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 06/15/18 1:25 pm ::: |
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cthskzfn wrote: |
Can Cambage stay on the floor? Will Wilson? This may be a single-digit margin either way. LV +9. |
I'm not an expert, but I do know you should never bet a road team based on a number. If you don't think they can go in there and win the game, don't bet them.
_________________ I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Posted: 06/16/18 7:12 am ::: |
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cthskzfn wrote: |
June 15
Los Angeles 3.5 @Washington 160.5
Dallas 9 Las Vegas 170
Connecticut 1.5 @Seattle 173
Since May 24th, no LA game has totaled more than 152. I'll go Under.
Can Cambage stay on the floor? Will Wilson? This may be a single-digit margin either way. LV +9.
The Storm D might be exactly what the Sun needs. Possible 200-pt affair here. Taking the Over. |
Naturally, LA found its offense.
Naturally, LA missed a wide-open, "meaningless" 3 to seal my fate in Dallas.
At least the expected scoring orgy ocurred in Seattle.
1-2, 6-17-1
_________________ Silly, stupid white people might be waking up.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 06/16/18 12:25 pm ::: |
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June 16
Atlanta 4.5 at Indiana 151.5
Minnesota 7 New York 155.5
Phoenix 3.5 Connecticut 170
The Atlanta-Indiana total dropped eight points from its last game I’m still not sure that the line has adjusted enough. I will take Indiana and I will also take the under.
I don’t know what to make of Minnesota so I will pass on their game with New York. Connecticut has seemingly stopped playing defense and traveling from Seattle to Phoenix for a game the next night won’t help. I should probably play the over as well but I will just take Phoenix laying the points.
Yesterday I was one and one which brings me to 24-18-1 for the season. The game in Seattle was certainly a no defense affair I was very disappointed with the crowd which looked to be less than 3,000. I haven’t checked the box score to see what they reported.
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