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Bracketology 2018

 
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mzonefan



Joined: 15 Oct 2005
Posts: 2890
Location: Ann Arbor, MI


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PostPosted: 01/02/18 2:02 pm    ::: Bracketology 2018 Reply Reply with quote

http://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/bracketology


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1924
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 01/02/18 3:49 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Creme's methodology for selecting conference winners creates anomalies, particularly at this time of year. He has Cleveland St (instead of Green Bay), Western Illinois (San Diego St), Buffalo (Ball St) and Creighton (DePaul) as conference winners, which somewhat affects the number of at large berths available. With that caveat, I believe his selection of at-large teams is correct.


YlwJckt999



Joined: 11 Jun 2017
Posts: 13



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PostPosted: 01/02/18 7:35 pm    ::: Bracket Reply Reply with quote

I'm sure that the official NCAA bracket is supposed to be non-biased. However, I would bet good money that Miss St is on the same side of the bracket as Uconn come March.


Phil



Joined: 22 Oct 2011
Posts: 915



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PostPosted: 01/04/18 4:00 pm    ::: Re: Bracket Reply Reply with quote

YlwJckt999 wrote:
I'm sure that the official NCAA bracket is supposed to be non-biased. However, I would bet good money that Miss St is on the same side of the bracket as Uconn come March.


Why?

Do you think they would prefer a match-up in the semi's rather than the Finals? If so, why?


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1924
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PostPosted: 01/18/18 5:35 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Charlie Crème updated his Bracketology today.

Baylor gets the fourth #1 seed

7 teams each from Big 10, ACC and Pac 12

Last 4 in: LSU, USC, St John's, Purdue

First 4 out: Buffalo, Houston, Miami, Kansas St


Baylor gets a #1 seed without a top 25 RPI win. Rutgers (4 seed),California (5) and Marquette (6) also do not have a top 25 win. Houston is the second team out despite not having a top 100 win.

South Dakota is given the automatic bid from the Summit League, allowing South Dakota St to steal an at large berth. If SDSU actually wins the Summit that would put Buffalo in the field for this projection.


mikeyc22



Joined: 20 Apr 2006
Posts: 2242
Location: Connecticut


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PostPosted: 01/18/18 7:49 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

At least the committee was consistent compared to last year and put Baylor at #9.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1924
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PostPosted: 01/18/18 7:59 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

mikeyc22 wrote:
At least the committee was consistent compared to last year and put Baylor at #9.


I agree with the Committee 100%, but I don't agree with Lobo et al.'s commentary. If Baylor sweeps through the Big 12 there will be enough good wins to make up for their weak non-conference schedule. Three wins over Texas will prove they deserve a #1 seed. It is just that right now they have none.


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1924
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 01/18/18 8:09 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Top 16 reveal by the NCAA Committee:

Connecticut
Mississippi St
Louisville
Oregon

Tennessee
Notre Dame
Texas
South Carolina

Baylor
Ohio St
Florida St
UCLA

Missouri
Texas A&M
Rutgers
Georgia

These seeds agreed with mine in all respects except that I had Missouri as a 3 instead of UCLA and I had Oklahoma St a 4 instead of Rutgers.


joetro



Joined: 30 Nov 2006
Posts: 313



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PostPosted: 01/18/18 9:16 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

By what metric is Oregon ahead of ND? ND with better schedule and more top wins.


Phil



Joined: 22 Oct 2011
Posts: 915



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PostPosted: 01/18/18 10:04 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

joetro wrote:
By what metric is Oregon ahead of ND? ND with better schedule and more top wins.


Maybe they finalized it when the ND TN game was in the first quarter Smile


Marquette Fan



Joined: 06 Mar 2005
Posts: 2009



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PostPosted: 01/18/18 10:08 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

This has Marquette playing Quinnipiac in the first round again - I doubt that match-up would be repeated. I also don't see Marquette ending up with that high a seed (6).


calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1924
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 01/18/18 11:17 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Phil wrote:
joetro wrote:
By what metric is Oregon ahead of ND? ND with better schedule and more top wins.


Maybe they finalized it when the ND TN game was in the first quarter :)


The issue with Notre Dame is how they will play with their injuries. After the Louisville game it was hard to make them a 1 seed. If they win out, which would include wins at Duke and Florida St, they will be rated over Oregon, even if the Ducks run the table also.


PRballer



Joined: 18 Apr 2007
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PostPosted: 01/19/18 8:01 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Can conference teams now match up as early as Sweet 16? Or is it Elite 8? Georgetown and UConn were on the same seed line as a #5 and #1 so they met up in Sweet 16.

Asking because if you’d put Mississippi State in Kansas City, it would make sense to have Missouri there as well - just not sure they can go in as a #4 with an SEC rival as a #1.


cthskzfn



Joined: 21 Nov 2004
Posts: 9329
Location: In a world where a dbag like Trump isn't potus. If u were in my safe space, you'd have to be f'd up


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PostPosted: 01/19/18 11:19 am    ::: Reply Reply with quote

Oregon isn't a Top 4 team.



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Queenie



Joined: 18 Nov 2004
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PostPosted: 01/19/18 12:00 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I don't think I object, but I'm not sure I'd put St. John's in, and hell, I'm a St. John's fan. (Also, I miss Charlie putting little notes in the bracket about why teams were moving up and down.)

I... might actually consider some way of getting to Storrs for an Iowa-FGCU shootout. And I don't wanna go to Storrs.



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pilight



Joined: 23 Sep 2004
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PostPosted: 01/19/18 12:02 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

I love this bracket for Mercer



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calbearman76



Joined: 02 Nov 2009
Posts: 1924
Location: Carson City


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PostPosted: 01/19/18 12:49 pm    ::: Reply Reply with quote

PRballer wrote:
Can conference teams now match up as early as Sweet 16? Or is it Elite 8? Georgetown and UConn were on the same seed line as a #5 and #1 so they met up in Sweet 16.

Asking because if you’d put Mississippi State in Kansas City, it would make sense to have Missouri there as well - just not sure they can go in as a #4 with an SEC rival as a #1.


Conference teams can not meet before the Sweet 16. Generally teams from the same conference do not meet until the elite 8, but this rule has been violated, and when you get multiple conferences with seven or eight teams it is more likely to happen.


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