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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004
Posts: 66920
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 Posted: 01/30/06 6:06 pm ::: The field of 64 |
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Through games of 1/29/06
| Code: |
1 Tennessee Duke North Carolina Connecticut
2 Maryland Ohio State Oklahoma LSU
3 Purdue Rutgers NC State Baylor
4 St John's Arizona State DePaul New Mexico
5 BYU Kentucky Georgia Minnesota
6 Texas Virginia Tech Michigan State Stanford
7 Indiana State George Washington Notre Dame Boston College
8 Temple TCU Old Dominion Florida
9 Hartford South Florida Washington Kansas State
10 Miami (FL) Texas A&M Vanderbilt Western Kentucky
11 Louisiana Tech UCLA Chattanooga Louisville
12 California Tulsa Bowling Green Virginia
13 Florida International High Point Western Illinois Wisconsin-GB
14 Dartmouth Sacred Heart Stephen F Austin Tennessee Tech
15 Marist Northern Arizona Long Beach State Loyola Marymount
16 Coppin State Southern Belmont Bucknell |
Conferences with multiple bids
ACC 8
BEast 7
SEC 6
B12 5
P10 5
B10 4
MWC 3
A10 2
SunBelt 2
Just missed: USC, Missouri, Utah, Florida State
How did I arrive at this?
Each team receives points for wins:
8 for a win over a top 25 RPI team, 5 for a 26-50, 3 for a 51-100, 2 for a 101-200, 1 for a sub-200, 0 for a non-DI
Then subtract for losses:
1 for a loss to a top 25 RPI team, 2 for a 26-50, 3 for a 51-100, 5 for a 101-200, 8 for a sub-200, 13 for a non-DI
Then subtract the team's RPI rank and half of its conference RPI rank
Let's do an example....
BYU has no wins over top 25 for 0, three over 26-50 for 15, three over 51-100 for 9, six over 101-200 for 12, and five over sub-200 for 5.
That makes 41.
The Cougars' one loss was to a top 25, so that's -1 to make 40.
They have an RPI of 19, so 40 - 19 = 21 and the MWC is #7 in CRPI so we subtract 3.5 to make a grand total of 17.5.
In comparison, the weakest #1 seed, Connecticut, has a grand total of 74. The last at-large team in, California, has a grand total of -28.5
The team RPI penalty is capped at 100. That should only affect the automatic bid teams in the 12-16 seed range.
The lowest RPI team to get an at large this time is California at #52.
In the event of a tie, the total before any RPI modification is used.
If still tied, the total with the team RPI modifier but not the CRPI modifier is used.
Many teams got moved across brackets at the same seed to avoid facing conference opponents too early in the tournament.
Occasionally teams may need to be moved up or down one seed for the same purpose, this projection has two such changes.
Miami (FL) and Louisville each moved up one seed, Louisiana Tech and Virginia each moved down one.
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dtsnms
Joined: 23 Sep 2004
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| Posted: 01/30/06 6:08 pm ::: |
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| As much as I love Rizzotti, I can't see UHartford as a #9 over Vanderbilt, UCLA, California, or Virginia, at a minimum.
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004
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| Posted: 01/30/06 6:18 pm ::: |
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| dtsnms wrote: |
| As much as I love Rizzotti, I can't see UHartford as a #9 over Vanderbilt, UCLA, California, or Virginia, at a minimum. |
Vanderbilt only two top 50 RPI wins, over Old Dominion and Western Kentucky, and a loss outside the top 100, to Arkansas.
Virginia is 2-5 over their last seven, with two losses to Florida State, one of the few ACC teams not in tournament contention.
California is 3-4 over their last seven, with losses to RPI #91 Oregon and RPI #146 Arizona.
UCLA has some nice wins, but 8 losses including one to RPI #143 UCSB.
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RubberTroll
Joined: 15 Feb 2005
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| Posted: 01/30/06 6:33 pm ::: |
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| Poor USC, tied for second in the Pac-10 and loses out, while 6th place Cal goes to the big dance. Ouch.
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toad455
Joined: 16 Nov 2005
Posts: 22474
Location: NJ
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| Posted: 01/30/06 7:05 pm ::: |
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| Depending on how Western Illinois finishes, they could be higher. Maybe a 11th seed.
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O.G.
Joined: 11 Oct 2005
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| Posted: 01/30/06 7:06 pm ::: |
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| RubberTroll wrote: |
| Poor USC, tied for second in the Pac-10 and loses out, while 6th place Cal goes to the big dance. Ouch. |
I have a feeling USC will be in there when all is said and done.
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KatValeska
Joined: 04 Oct 2004
Posts: 1830
Location: Colorado
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| Posted: 01/31/06 12:52 am ::: |
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If the selection committee convened right now there is absolutely no way, no how Mizzou ain't dancin'.
Heck, they're my darkhorse in the tourney atm.
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dtsnms
Joined: 23 Sep 2004
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| Posted: 01/31/06 9:31 am ::: |
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| I hear you pilight, but if you put them on the court, I don't see Hartford really competing.
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Joey Nations
Joined: 03 Jan 2006
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| Posted: 01/31/06 9:40 am ::: |
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How does Virginia get in over FSU? I believe FSU is 3-3 in conference play while UVA is 2-5 with a loss to FSU._________________ "People kept saying why are you looking at Maryland, why are you even talking to them? Well, look at us now!" - Crystal Langhorne, NCAA Champion
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bballfan2005
Joined: 22 Aug 2005
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| Posted: 01/31/06 3:14 pm ::: |
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| Joey Nations wrote: |
| How does Virginia get in over FSU? I believe FSU is 3-3 in conference play while UVA is 2-5 with a loss to FSU. |
Better OOC play and one conference win that's better than any of FSU's (RPI-wise). UVA's losses are all to teams within the Top 50 in RPI. Explain FSU's losses to Xavier and Tulsa.
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